Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-06 07:47:39

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
48.3 neutral
20d Trend
+3.5%
5d Trend
-2.6%
EMA20 Dist
-2.0%
ATR%
5.7%
Range Pos
51%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

6
Lifetime
Confidence: 75%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
2.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.4/10
Raw Quality 7.4/100
× Confidence 0.75 = 5.6

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (75%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
38,450
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-05-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
265 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$10,011.26
Current Value
$8,767.22
Period P&L
$-1,244.04
Max Drawdown
-7.5%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.33

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
15
Winners / Losers
7 / 8
Best Trade
+5.07%
Worst Trade
-7.15%
Avg Trade Return
-0.87%
Avg Hold Time
3.1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$87,981.22
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,244.04
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,244.04
Gross Return
-12.43%
Net Return (after fees)
-12.43%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 GLD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 265 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 15 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Reversion had $10,011.26 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 12, 2025 9:30am ET $298.10 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL May 13, 2025 9:30am ET $298.68 0 $0.00 $10,030.40 +$19.14
(+0.2%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 24, 2025 9:35am ET $304.05 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2025 9:35am ET $305.18 0 $0.00 $10,066.56 +$36.16
(+0.4%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Oct 21, 2025 9:30am ET $386.47 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Oct 21, 2025 10:40am ET $377.37 0 $0.00 $9,830.09 $-236.47
(-2.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Nov 14, 2025 9:30am ET $371.75 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Nov 14, 2025 9:55am ET $375.58 0 $0.00 $9,929.64 +$99.55
(+1.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Dec 29, 2025 9:30am ET $402.83 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Dec 30, 2025 9:30am ET $402.85 0 $0.00 $9,930.12 +$0.48
(+0.0%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 10:20am ET $486.66 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 10:25am ET $476.92 0 $0.00 $9,735.32 $-194.80
(-2.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Jan 30, 2026 9:30am ET $469.51 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 30, 2026 10:00am ET $458.16 0 $0.00 $9,508.37 $-226.95
(-2.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2026 9:30am ET $437.58 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2026 10:45am ET $428.34 0 $0.00 $9,314.43 $-193.94
(-2.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 9:30am ET $443.18 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 11:40am ET $448.25 0 $0.00 $9,420.90 +$106.47
(+1.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Feb 12, 2026 11:10am ET $454.95 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 13, 2026 9:30am ET $460.02 0 $0.00 $9,522.30 +$101.40
(+1.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 11:40am ET $470.95 20 $9,419.00
🔴 SELL Mar 16, 2026 12:40pm ET $457.88 20 $9,157.60 $9,260.90 $-261.40
(-2.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
12 🟢 BUY Mar 18, 2026 9:30am ET $446.07 20 $8,921.40
🔴 SELL Mar 20, 2026 2:50pm ET $414.17 20 $8,283.40 $8,622.90 $-638.00
(-7.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.2d held
13 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET $400.75 21 $8,415.75
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 9:40am ET $421.07 21 $8,842.47 $9,049.62 +$426.72
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
7d held
14 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 2:05pm ET $437.87 20 $8,757.40
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 9:30am ET $434.85 20 $8,697.00 $8,989.22 $-60.40
(-0.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
11.8d held
15 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 9:30am ET $442.73 20 $8,854.60
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET $431.63 20 $8,632.60 $8,767.22 $-222.00
(-2.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
12d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $8,767.22
Net Profit/Loss: $-1,232.78
Total Return: -12.33%
Back to Reversion