Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 08:49:46

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
43.2 neutral
20d Trend
-4.5%
5d Trend
-4.7%
EMA20 Dist
-2.7%
ATR%
3.8%
Range Pos
74%
Bounce Ratio
0.9×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score PRO Scored May 6, 2026

76
Lifetime
Confidence: 86%
Score ≥ 70 + Momentum ≥ 40

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
15.0/25
Win Rate
14.4/15
Profit Factor
14.6/15
Consistency
8.6/10
Raw Quality 87.6/100
× Confidence 0.86 = 75.6

30-Day Momentum

54
+24.2%
30d Return
100%
Win Rate
3
Trades
10.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 88.3 Conf: 0.61×
Declining (-21 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (86%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
39,615
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-05-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
265 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$11,451.09
Current Value
$16,334.10
Period P&L
$4,883.01
Max Drawdown
-3.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.51

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
21
Winners / Losers
17 / 4
Best Trade
+10.08%
Worst Trade
-7.12%
Avg Trade Return
+1.79%
Avg Hold Time
2.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$190,372.04
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$4,883.01
Net P&L (after fees)
$4,883.01
Gross Return
+42.64%
Net Return (after fees)
+42.64%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 GOOGL Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 265 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 21 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Reversion had $11,451.09 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 7, 2025 10:50am ET $157.82 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL May 7, 2025 11:10am ET $154.62 0 $0.00 $11,221.05 $-230.04
(-2.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
2 🟢 BUY May 20, 2025 1:30pm ET $163.86 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL May 21, 2025 9:35am ET $165.61 0 $0.00 $11,340.05 +$119.00
(+1.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
3 🟢 BUY May 23, 2025 9:45am ET $168.10 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL May 23, 2025 1:15pm ET $169.79 0 $0.00 $11,453.28 +$113.23
(+1.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2025 9:30am ET $208.73 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2025 3:35pm ET $210.82 0 $0.00 $11,566.06 +$112.78
(+1.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 25, 2025 9:30am ET $242.08 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Sep 25, 2025 10:15am ET $245.16 0 $0.00 $11,710.82 +$144.76
(+1.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Oct 21, 2025 11:10am ET $246.16 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Oct 21, 2025 12:10pm ET $249.33 0 $0.00 $11,860.00 +$149.18
(+1.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Nov 7, 2025 9:45am ET $278.34 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Nov 10, 2025 9:30am ET $284.02 0 $0.00 $12,098.56 +$238.56
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Nov 13, 2025 9:35am ET $279.00 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Nov 14, 2025 9:30am ET $273.00 0 $0.00 $11,840.77 $-257.79
(-2.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Nov 20, 2025 11:55am ET $294.57 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Nov 21, 2025 9:30am ET $298.33 0 $0.00 $11,990.97 +$150.20
(+1.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 9:35am ET $321.78 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 10:30am ET $325.77 0 $0.00 $12,138.60 +$147.63
(+1.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 10:00am ET $328.64 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 12:10pm ET $332.85 0 $0.00 $12,290.16 +$151.56
(+1.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 9:30am ET $314.86 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 9:35am ET $322.64 0 $0.00 $12,593.58 +$303.42
(+2.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
13 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 10:10am ET $320.27 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 10:30am ET $323.93 0 $0.00 $12,736.32 +$142.74
(+1.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
14 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 9:40am ET $315.09 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 10:05am ET $318.94 0 $0.00 $12,890.44 +$154.12
(+1.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
15 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 9:30am ET $295.99 43 $12,727.57
🔴 SELL Mar 11, 2026 10:30am ET $311.03 43 $13,374.29 $13,537.16 +$646.72
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
5d held
16 🟢 BUY Mar 12, 2026 3:55pm ET $303.88 44 $13,370.72
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET $302.70 44 $13,319.02 $13,485.46 $-51.70
(-0.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
10.7d held
17 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET $298.99 45 $13,454.64
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET $277.69 45 $12,496.16 $12,526.98 $-958.48
(-7.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
18 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 2:30pm ET $273.29 45 $12,298.05
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 1:15pm ET $287.08 45 $12,918.60 $13,147.53 +$620.55
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.8h held
19 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 2:15pm ET $297.88 44 $13,106.72
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $320.42 44 $14,098.70 $14,139.51 +$991.98
(+7.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
6.8d held
20 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 9:30am ET $315.90 44 $13,899.82
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 11:45am ET $332.33 44 $14,622.52 $14,862.21 +$722.70
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
5.1d held
21 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 9:35am ET $339.69 43 $14,606.67
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 9:30am ET $373.92 43 $16,078.56 $16,334.10 +$1,471.89
(+10.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
10d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $16,334.10
Net Profit/Loss: +$6,334.10
Total Return: +63.34%
Back to Reversion