Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-06-22 14:58:44

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
20
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 1.0
Quiet
RSI(14)
41.2 neutral
20d Trend
-2.2%
5d Trend
-1.3%
EMA20 Dist
-1.9%
ATR%
1.8%
Range Pos
63%
Bounce Ratio
0.9×
Green/Red 10d
5/5

Strategy Score Scored Jun 22, 2026

15
Lifetime
Confidence: 75%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.8/35
Total Return
4.3/25
Win Rate
7.5/15
Profit Factor
0.5/15
Consistency
6.4/10
Raw Quality 19.4/100
× Confidence 0.75 = 14.5

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (75%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
36,691
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-06-23 → 2026-06-22
Trading Days
265 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$9,114.38
Current Value
$10,228.86
Period P&L
$1,114.48
Max Drawdown
-10.2%
Sharpe Ratio
0.65

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
9
Winners / Losers
6 / 3
Best Trade
+3.87%
Worst Trade
-1.99%
Avg Trade Return
+1.31%
Avg Hold Time
9.9d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$151,613.87
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,114.48
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,114.48
Gross Return
+12.23%
Net Return (after fees)
+12.23%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 IWM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 265 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 9 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Reversion had $9,114.38 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 1, 2025 9:40am ET $214.28 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Aug 4, 2025 9:30am ET $216.53 0 $0.00 $9,208.88 +$94.50
(+1.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 9:30am ET $251.21 36 $9,043.56
🔴 SELL Mar 16, 2026 10:30am ET $250.30 36 $9,010.80 $9,176.12 $-32.76
(-0.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
3 🟢 BUY Mar 18, 2026 9:30am ET $248.54 36 $8,947.44
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 9:30am ET $245.09 36 $8,823.24 $9,051.92 $-124.20
(-1.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
12d held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 2:05pm ET $250.83 36 $9,029.88
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 9:30am ET $260.53 36 $9,379.08 $9,401.12 +$349.20
(+3.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
11.8d held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 2:25pm ET $267.70 35 $9,369.50
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 2:25pm ET $277.00 35 $9,695.00 $9,726.62 +$325.50
(+3.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET $276.10 35 $9,663.50
🔴 SELL May 8, 2026 9:30am ET $283.98 35 $9,939.30 $10,002.42 +$275.80
(+2.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
7 🟢 BUY May 11, 2026 12:45pm ET $285.81 34 $9,717.54
🔴 SELL May 21, 2026 12:45pm ET $280.11 34 $9,523.74 $9,808.62 $-193.80
(-2.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
8 🟢 BUY May 22, 2026 3:30pm ET $284.64 34 $9,677.76
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 3:30pm ET $289.60 34 $9,846.40 $9,977.26 +$168.64
(+1.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 9:30am ET $289.64 34 $9,847.76
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET $297.04 34 $10,099.36 $10,228.86 +$251.60
(+2.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
12d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,228.86
Net Profit/Loss: +$228.86
Total Return: +2.29%
Back to Reversion