Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-06 05:17:58

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
45 neutral
20d Trend
-0.3%
5d Trend
-10.0%
EMA20 Dist
-6.7%
ATR%
7.8%
Range Pos
52%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 5, 2026

13
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
9.3/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.3/10
Raw Quality 13.5/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 13.3

30-Day Momentum

3
-8.1%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
4
Trades
0.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 5.2 Conf: 0.66×
Cooling (-10 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
33,410
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-05-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
265 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$9,743.72
Current Value
$8,826.92
Period P&L
$-916.80
Max Drawdown
-17.6%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.04

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
73
Winners / Losers
47 / 26
Best Trade
+5.73%
Worst Trade
-7.20%
Avg Trade Return
-0.10%
Avg Hold Time
15.5h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$157,881.13
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-916.80
Net P&L (after fees)
$-916.80
Gross Return
-9.41%
Net Return (after fees)
-9.41%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MRNA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 265 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 73 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Reversion had $9,743.72 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 6, 2025 9:30am ET $27.09 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL May 6, 2025 9:45am ET $26.46 0 $0.00 $9,515.75 $-227.97
(-2.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
2 🟢 BUY May 7, 2025 11:05am ET $23.78 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL May 7, 2025 12:00pm ET $24.10 0 $0.00 $9,645.71 +$129.96
(+1.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
3 🟢 BUY May 14, 2025 11:05am ET $24.36 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL May 15, 2025 9:30am ET $23.71 0 $0.00 $9,388.80 $-256.91
(-2.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
4 🟢 BUY May 20, 2025 12:40pm ET $27.87 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL May 20, 2025 1:05pm ET $28.18 0 $0.00 $9,492.96 +$104.16
(+1.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
5 🟢 BUY May 21, 2025 9:40am ET $27.08 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL May 21, 2025 10:45am ET $26.42 0 $0.00 $9,260.21 $-232.75
(-2.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
6 🟢 BUY May 23, 2025 9:30am ET $26.11 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL May 23, 2025 10:00am ET $26.42 0 $0.00 $9,368.18 +$107.97
(+1.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
7 🟢 BUY May 28, 2025 9:45am ET $26.11 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL May 28, 2025 10:00am ET $26.44 0 $0.00 $9,486.32 +$118.14
(+1.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
8 🟢 BUY May 30, 2025 9:30am ET $26.00 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL May 30, 2025 11:45am ET $26.29 0 $0.00 $9,590.06 +$103.74
(+1.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2025 9:50am ET $26.47 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2025 10:50am ET $26.74 0 $0.00 $9,686.86 +$96.80
(+1.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2025 9:30am ET $27.40 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2025 9:35am ET $27.68 0 $0.00 $9,787.47 +$100.61
(+1.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2025 9:30am ET $26.86 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2025 9:35am ET $27.29 0 $0.00 $9,945.81 +$158.34
(+1.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2025 9:45am ET $26.23 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2025 10:45am ET $26.53 0 $0.00 $10,059.13 +$113.32
(+1.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
13 🟢 BUY Jul 8, 2025 1:05pm ET $32.19 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jul 8, 2025 1:45pm ET $32.55 0 $0.00 $10,171.45 +$112.32
(+1.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
14 🟢 BUY Jul 11, 2025 9:35am ET $33.37 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jul 11, 2025 10:00am ET $33.84 0 $0.00 $10,314.33 +$142.88
(+1.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
15 🟢 BUY Jul 14, 2025 9:55am ET $32.62 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jul 14, 2025 10:10am ET $32.96 0 $0.00 $10,422.09 +$107.76
(+1.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
16 🟢 BUY Jul 15, 2025 11:00am ET $31.77 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jul 16, 2025 11:00am ET $31.94 0 $0.00 $10,477.85 +$55.76
(+0.5%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
17 🟢 BUY Jul 29, 2025 9:30am ET $33.05 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jul 29, 2025 10:55am ET $32.35 0 $0.00 $10,255.95 $-221.90
(-2.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
18 🟢 BUY Jul 31, 2025 10:05am ET $31.12 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jul 31, 2025 11:45am ET $30.47 0 $0.00 $10,043.74 $-212.21
(-2.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
19 🟢 BUY Aug 1, 2025 9:30am ET $27.15 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Aug 1, 2025 9:35am ET $27.71 0 $0.00 $10,250.38 +$206.64
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
20 🟢 BUY Aug 6, 2025 9:50am ET $26.90 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Aug 7, 2025 9:50am ET $26.83 0 $0.00 $10,223.71 $-26.67
(-0.3%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
21 🟢 BUY Aug 14, 2025 9:35am ET $26.04 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Aug 14, 2025 10:30am ET $26.32 0 $0.00 $10,333.47 +$109.76
(+1.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
22 🟢 BUY Aug 20, 2025 10:15am ET $27.17 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Aug 20, 2025 11:00am ET $26.61 0 $0.00 $10,118.77 $-214.70
(-2.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
23 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2025 9:30am ET $26.16 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Aug 21, 2025 11:40am ET $26.43 0 $0.00 $10,221.06 +$102.29
(+1.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
24 🟢 BUY Aug 25, 2025 9:35am ET $26.43 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Aug 25, 2025 11:00am ET $25.89 0 $0.00 $10,014.24 $-206.82
(-2.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
25 🟢 BUY Sep 8, 2025 9:30am ET $24.31 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2025 3:45pm ET $24.58 0 $0.00 $10,125.15 +$110.91
(+1.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
26 🟢 BUY Sep 12, 2025 9:30am ET $24.98 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Sep 12, 2025 9:50am ET $25.30 0 $0.00 $10,254.75 +$129.60
(+1.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
27 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2025 9:40am ET $24.52 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2025 10:15am ET $24.85 0 $0.00 $10,392.69 +$137.94
(+1.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
28 🟢 BUY Sep 19, 2025 9:40am ET $25.02 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Sep 19, 2025 10:15am ET $25.28 0 $0.00 $10,499.10 +$106.41
(+1.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
29 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2025 2:15pm ET $25.76 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2025 9:30am ET $26.08 0 $0.00 $10,630.28 +$131.18
(+1.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
30 🟢 BUY Sep 25, 2025 9:35am ET $25.02 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Sep 25, 2025 10:05am ET $25.42 0 $0.00 $10,799.88 +$169.60
(+1.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
31 🟢 BUY Oct 6, 2025 9:40am ET $27.90 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Oct 7, 2025 9:35am ET $27.31 0 $0.00 $10,571.28 $-228.60
(-2.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
32 🟢 BUY Oct 7, 2025 9:45am ET $27.13 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Oct 7, 2025 10:00am ET $27.42 0 $0.00 $10,684.09 +$112.81
(+1.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
33 🟢 BUY Oct 10, 2025 11:20am ET $26.84 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Oct 10, 2025 3:10pm ET $26.29 0 $0.00 $10,463.20 $-220.89
(-2.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
34 🟢 BUY Oct 14, 2025 9:30am ET $26.29 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Oct 14, 2025 9:55am ET $26.60 0 $0.00 $10,586.27 +$123.07
(+1.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
35 🟢 BUY Oct 16, 2025 2:15pm ET $27.42 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Oct 17, 2025 9:30am ET $26.67 0 $0.00 $10,298.47 $-287.80
(-2.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
36 🟢 BUY Oct 17, 2025 9:35am ET $26.67 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Oct 17, 2025 1:05pm ET $26.06 0 $0.00 $10,064.94 $-233.53
(-2.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
37 🟢 BUY Oct 21, 2025 9:50am ET $26.67 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Oct 21, 2025 10:05am ET $26.97 0 $0.00 $10,178.04 +$113.10
(+1.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
38 🟢 BUY Oct 23, 2025 10:00am ET $25.93 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Oct 23, 2025 10:25am ET $26.24 0 $0.00 $10,297.60 +$119.56
(+1.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
39 🟢 BUY Oct 29, 2025 2:35pm ET $24.47 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Oct 29, 2025 3:55pm ET $24.72 0 $0.00 $10,402.60 +$105.00
(+1.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
40 🟢 BUY Oct 31, 2025 9:30am ET $27.23 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Oct 31, 2025 9:55am ET $27.83 0 $0.00 $10,631.80 +$229.20
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
41 🟢 BUY Nov 3, 2025 9:30am ET $26.40 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Nov 3, 2025 9:55am ET $25.70 0 $0.00 $10,350.40 $-281.40
(-2.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
42 🟢 BUY Nov 6, 2025 11:15am ET $23.73 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Nov 6, 2025 11:40am ET $23.98 0 $0.00 $10,459.40 +$109.00
(+1.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
43 🟢 BUY Nov 13, 2025 9:30am ET $25.81 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Nov 13, 2025 9:55am ET $26.10 0 $0.00 $10,578.88 +$119.48
(+1.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
44 🟢 BUY Nov 14, 2025 9:30am ET $24.30 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Nov 14, 2025 11:20am ET $24.68 0 $0.00 $10,744.18 +$165.30
(+1.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
45 🟢 BUY Nov 20, 2025 12:40pm ET $23.20 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Nov 20, 2025 2:15pm ET $22.73 0 $0.00 $10,524.63 $-219.55
(-2.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
46 🟢 BUY Dec 1, 2025 9:30am ET $24.94 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Dec 1, 2025 10:20am ET $24.41 0 $0.00 $10,299.39 $-225.24
(-2.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
47 🟢 BUY Dec 15, 2025 9:30am ET $28.96 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Dec 15, 2025 11:05am ET $29.25 0 $0.00 $10,402.34 +$102.95
(+1.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
48 🟢 BUY Dec 23, 2025 9:55am ET $34.16 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Dec 23, 2025 10:20am ET $33.45 0 $0.00 $10,184.98 $-217.36
(-2.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
49 🟢 BUY Dec 26, 2025 9:45am ET $31.76 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Dec 26, 2025 3:50pm ET $31.11 0 $0.00 $9,976.98 $-208.00
(-2.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
50 🟢 BUY Jan 7, 2026 9:30am ET $34.74 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 9:40am ET $35.13 0 $0.00 $10,088.42 +$111.44
(+1.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
51 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2026 9:30am ET $35.34 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 8, 2026 1:10pm ET $34.57 0 $0.00 $9,867.54 $-220.88
(-2.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
52 🟢 BUY Jan 12, 2026 9:30am ET $33.57 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 12, 2026 9:50am ET $32.87 0 $0.00 $9,662.44 $-205.10
(-2.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
53 🟢 BUY Jan 14, 2026 11:25am ET $40.26 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 14, 2026 1:25pm ET $40.77 0 $0.00 $9,785.20 +$122.76
(+1.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
54 🟢 BUY Jan 15, 2026 9:55am ET $39.45 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 15, 2026 11:10am ET $39.92 0 $0.00 $9,901.76 +$116.56
(+1.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
55 🟢 BUY Jan 22, 2026 11:55am ET $53.24 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 22, 2026 12:05pm ET $53.85 0 $0.00 $10,014.61 +$112.85
(+1.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
56 🟢 BUY Jan 23, 2026 9:30am ET $49.63 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 23, 2026 9:35am ET $48.01 0 $0.00 $9,688.99 $-325.62
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
57 🟢 BUY Jan 26, 2026 10:20am ET $46.81 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 26, 2026 10:35am ET $47.32 0 $0.00 $9,795.55 +$106.56
(+1.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
58 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 11:55am ET $45.80 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 12:45pm ET $46.41 0 $0.00 $9,926.10 +$130.55
(+1.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
59 🟢 BUY Jan 30, 2026 9:40am ET $45.38 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 30, 2026 11:00am ET $44.24 0 $0.00 $9,676.49 $-249.61
(-2.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
60 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2026 9:30am ET $42.48 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2026 10:30am ET $43.02 0 $0.00 $9,799.07 +$122.58
(+1.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
61 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 1:00pm ET $40.92 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 1:40pm ET $41.40 0 $0.00 $9,913.79 +$114.72
(+1.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
62 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 10:00am ET $39.61 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 10:25am ET $40.25 0 $0.00 $10,073.77 +$159.98
(+1.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
63 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 1:20pm ET $43.39 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 2:40pm ET $42.31 0 $0.00 $9,823.21 $-250.56
(-2.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
64 🟢 BUY Feb 12, 2026 11:25am ET $39.03 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 12, 2026 12:05pm ET $39.47 0 $0.00 $9,932.37 +$109.16
(+1.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
65 🟢 BUY Feb 13, 2026 12:25pm ET $42.54 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 13, 2026 2:20pm ET $43.13 0 $0.00 $10,068.67 +$136.30
(+1.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
66 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 9:30am ET $50.90 197 $10,027.30
🔴 SELL Mar 9, 2026 9:30am ET $53.50 197 $10,539.50 $10,580.87 +$512.20
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
67 🟢 BUY Mar 12, 2026 9:30am ET $54.77 193 $10,570.61
🔴 SELL Mar 20, 2026 3:25pm ET $50.85 193 $9,815.01 $9,825.27 $-755.60
(-7.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
8.2d held
68 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 3:55pm ET $51.26 191 $9,790.66
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 12:45pm ET $53.97 191 $10,308.75 $10,343.36 +$518.09
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
69 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 10:00am ET $52.80 195 $10,296.00
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 10:10am ET $49.00 195 $9,555.00 $9,602.36 $-741.00
(-7.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
70 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 2:25pm ET $50.65 189 $9,572.85
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 9:30am ET $50.99 189 $9,637.11 $9,666.62 +$64.26
(+0.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
11.8d held
71 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 1:00pm ET $52.49 184 $9,658.16
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET $55.50 184 $10,212.00 $10,220.46 +$553.84
(+5.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held
72 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 11:10am ET $54.17 188 $10,183.96
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 9:40am ET $50.37 188 $9,469.56 $9,506.06 $-714.40
(-7.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6.9d held
73 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 9:45am ET $48.28 196 $9,461.90
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 11:05am ET $44.81 196 $8,782.76 $8,826.92 $-679.14
(-7.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $8,826.92
Net Profit/Loss: $-1,173.08
Total Return: -11.73%
Back to Reversion