Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-07 09:19:54

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
58.2 neutral
20d Trend
+92.9%
5d Trend
-10.5%
EMA20 Dist
+4.3%
ATR%
12.0%
Range Pos
60%
Bounce Ratio
0.8×
Green/Red 10d
2/8

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

24
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.8/35
Total Return
7.7/25
Win Rate
8.4/15
Profit Factor
0.5/15
Consistency
6.6/10
Raw Quality 23.9/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 23.7

30-Day Momentum

56
+21.7%
30d Return
83%
Win Rate
6
Trades
2.4×
Profit Factor
Quality: 75.6 Conf: 0.74×
Accelerating (+32 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
23,499
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-05-07 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
260 days
Data Gaps
2 days with gaps

Data Gap Notice

The following dates had fewer candles than expected. This could be due to early market closes, API rate limits during data collection, or low volume periods. Simulation results may be slightly affected.

2025-06-23 (26 candles), 2025-06-24 (no data)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$10,431.73
Current Value
$10,734.73
Period P&L
$303.00
Max Drawdown
-30.6%
Sharpe Ratio
0.03

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
49
Winners / Losers
28 / 21
Best Trade
+7.93%
Worst Trade
-7.80%
Avg Trade Return
+0.11%
Avg Hold Time
23.9h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$166,653.15
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$303.00
Net P&L (after fees)
$303.00
Gross Return
+2.90%
Net Return (after fees)
+2.90%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 NET Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 260 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 49 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Reversion had $10,431.73 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2025 9:35am ET $173.67 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2025 9:40am ET $176.22 0 $0.00 $10,584.53 +$152.80
(+1.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2025 2:35pm ET $174.03 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2025 3:15pm ET $169.60 0 $0.00 $10,318.73 $-265.80
(-2.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 1, 2025 10:35am ET $190.55 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jul 1, 2025 11:05am ET $185.22 0 $0.00 $10,031.18 $-287.55
(-2.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 8, 2025 11:05am ET $188.22 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jul 8, 2025 11:25am ET $190.46 0 $0.00 $10,149.90 +$118.72
(+1.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 10, 2025 9:45am ET $189.61 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jul 10, 2025 10:00am ET $184.30 0 $0.00 $9,868.47 $-281.43
(-2.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 22, 2025 9:40am ET $193.25 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jul 23, 2025 9:30am ET $188.15 0 $0.00 $9,608.37 $-260.10
(-2.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Aug 1, 2025 9:30am ET $196.65 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Aug 1, 2025 9:55am ET $199.13 0 $0.00 $9,727.65 +$119.28
(+1.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Aug 19, 2025 9:45am ET $197.72 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Aug 19, 2025 9:50am ET $199.79 0 $0.00 $9,829.08 +$101.43
(+1.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Aug 20, 2025 9:45am ET $189.79 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Aug 20, 2025 10:40am ET $185.71 0 $0.00 $9,621.26 $-207.82
(-2.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Aug 29, 2025 9:50am ET $208.97 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2025 9:30am ET $201.01 0 $0.00 $9,254.88 $-366.38
(-3.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2025 9:35am ET $202.57 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2025 9:45am ET $204.98 0 $0.00 $9,363.33 +$108.45
(+1.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2025 9:45am ET $222.25 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2025 1:05pm ET $224.98 0 $0.00 $9,477.99 +$114.66
(+1.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
13 🟢 BUY Sep 25, 2025 9:30am ET $213.89 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Sep 25, 2025 10:15am ET $216.23 0 $0.00 $9,581.17 +$103.18
(+1.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
14 🟢 BUY Sep 30, 2025 10:20am ET $211.70 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Sep 30, 2025 11:10am ET $214.04 0 $0.00 $9,686.70 +$105.53
(+1.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
15 🟢 BUY Oct 9, 2025 9:30am ET $215.23 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Oct 9, 2025 11:05am ET $218.20 0 $0.00 $9,820.17 +$133.47
(+1.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
16 🟢 BUY Oct 10, 2025 11:15am ET $218.81 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Oct 10, 2025 3:35pm ET $213.50 0 $0.00 $9,586.35 $-233.82
(-2.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
17 🟢 BUY Oct 14, 2025 9:30am ET $214.49 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Oct 14, 2025 10:40am ET $217.00 0 $0.00 $9,697.01 +$110.66
(+1.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
18 🟢 BUY Oct 17, 2025 9:40am ET $206.38 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Oct 17, 2025 9:50am ET $208.74 0 $0.00 $9,805.71 +$108.70
(+1.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
19 🟢 BUY Nov 4, 2025 9:30am ET $237.80 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Nov 4, 2025 9:45am ET $242.27 0 $0.00 $9,989.19 +$183.48
(+1.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
20 🟢 BUY Nov 7, 2025 9:35am ET $218.83 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Nov 7, 2025 9:40am ET $221.85 0 $0.00 $10,124.86 +$135.67
(+1.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
21 🟢 BUY Nov 12, 2025 11:00am ET $227.17 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Nov 13, 2025 9:35am ET $221.74 0 $0.00 $9,885.94 $-238.92
(-2.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
22 🟢 BUY Nov 14, 2025 9:30am ET $206.08 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Nov 14, 2025 9:40am ET $208.45 0 $0.00 $9,997.57 +$111.63
(+1.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
23 🟢 BUY Nov 17, 2025 9:30am ET $206.40 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Nov 17, 2025 2:30pm ET $201.74 0 $0.00 $9,773.65 $-223.92
(-2.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
24 🟢 BUY Nov 18, 2025 9:30am ET $196.29 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Nov 18, 2025 9:45am ET $198.95 0 $0.00 $9,903.98 +$130.33
(+1.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
25 🟢 BUY Nov 21, 2025 9:45am ET $187.42 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Nov 21, 2025 10:25am ET $183.46 0 $0.00 $9,697.93 $-206.05
(-2.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
26 🟢 BUY Nov 25, 2025 9:40am ET $187.08 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Nov 25, 2025 10:40am ET $189.38 0 $0.00 $9,814.97 +$117.04
(+1.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
27 🟢 BUY Dec 11, 2025 9:40am ET $208.62 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Dec 12, 2025 9:40am ET $207.11 0 $0.00 $9,744.00 $-70.97
(-0.7%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
28 🟢 BUY Dec 12, 2025 10:05am ET $202.58 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Dec 12, 2025 10:40am ET $204.68 0 $0.00 $9,844.66 +$100.66
(+1.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
29 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 9:35am ET $194.46 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 6, 2026 2:30pm ET $196.56 0 $0.00 $9,949.66 +$105.00
(+1.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
30 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2026 9:30am ET $197.83 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 8, 2026 9:50am ET $193.42 0 $0.00 $9,729.28 $-220.38
(-2.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
31 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 9:35am ET $181.07 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 12:45pm ET $177.36 0 $0.00 $9,532.65 $-196.63
(-2.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
32 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 11:45am ET $172.90 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 22, 2026 9:45am ET $169.37 0 $0.00 $9,338.14 $-194.51
(-2.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
33 🟢 BUY Jan 27, 2026 3:50pm ET $205.73 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 28, 2026 9:35am ET $198.62 0 $0.00 $9,018.19 $-319.95
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
34 🟢 BUY Jan 28, 2026 9:40am ET $197.80 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 28, 2026 11:15am ET $193.55 0 $0.00 $8,826.94 $-191.25
(-2.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
35 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 9:30am ET $180.20 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 10:00am ET $176.21 0 $0.00 $8,635.42 $-191.52
(-2.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
36 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 9:35am ET $176.50 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 9:55am ET $172.65 0 $0.00 $8,450.62 $-184.80
(-2.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
37 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 12:05pm ET $165.76 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 2:50pm ET $167.50 0 $0.00 $8,537.62 +$87.00
(+1.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
38 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 11:10am ET $163.58 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 11:20am ET $165.24 0 $0.00 $8,623.94 +$86.32
(+1.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
39 🟢 BUY Feb 11, 2026 11:25am ET $192.02 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 11:50am ET $187.82 0 $0.00 $8,439.14 $-184.80
(-2.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
40 🟢 BUY Feb 12, 2026 12:10pm ET $183.29 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 12, 2026 2:35pm ET $185.99 0 $0.00 $8,563.34 +$124.20
(+1.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
41 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 9:30am ET $190.00 45 $8,550.00
🔴 SELL Mar 9, 2026 10:55am ET $199.64 45 $8,983.80 $8,997.14 +$433.80
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
42 🟢 BUY Mar 11, 2026 12:20pm ET $209.76 42 $8,809.92
🔴 SELL Mar 18, 2026 1:15pm ET $221.46 42 $9,301.32 $9,488.54 +$491.40
(+5.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
7d held
43 🟢 BUY Mar 20, 2026 2:35pm ET $217.04 43 $9,332.51
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 10:35am ET $201.55 43 $8,666.65 $8,822.68 $-665.86
(-7.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6.8d held
44 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 2:20pm ET $207.03 42 $8,695.26
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $223.45 42 $9,384.69 $9,512.11 +$689.43
(+7.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
6.8d held
45 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 9:30am ET $205.20 46 $9,439.20
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 11:00am ET $189.19 46 $8,702.74 $8,775.65 $-736.46
(-7.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.5h held
46 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 2:05pm ET $179.59 48 $8,620.32
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 10:35am ET $188.69 48 $9,057.12 $9,212.45 +$436.80
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
20.5h held
47 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 9:45am ET $194.96 47 $9,163.35
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 9:30am ET $205.33 47 $9,650.51 $9,699.61 +$487.16
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
4d held
48 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET $200.42 48 $9,620.16
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 12:05pm ET $210.86 48 $10,121.28 $10,200.73 +$501.12
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.1d held
49 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 3:30pm ET $208.54 48 $10,010.16
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 9:30am ET $219.67 48 $10,544.16 $10,734.73 +$534.00
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
5.8d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,734.73
Net Profit/Loss: +$734.73
Total Return: +7.35%
Back to Reversion