Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-06 07:47:39

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
47.7 neutral
20d Trend
-0.8%
5d Trend
-0.8%
EMA20 Dist
-0.1%
ATR%
4.5%
Range Pos
9%
Bounce Ratio
2.0×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

12
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
7.8/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.5/10
Raw Quality 12.3/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 12.2

30-Day Momentum

29
+7.8%
30d Return
67%
Win Rate
6
Trades
1.3×
Profit Factor
Quality: 39.5 Conf: 0.74×
Accelerating (+17 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
39,707
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-05-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
265 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$8,943.12
Current Value
$8,666.65
Period P&L
$-276.47
Max Drawdown
-27.9%
Sharpe Ratio
0.00

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
70
Winners / Losers
41 / 29
Best Trade
+8.43%
Worst Trade
-7.36%
Avg Trade Return
+0.00%
Avg Hold Time
14.7h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$159,133.62
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-276.47
Net P&L (after fees)
$-276.47
Gross Return
-3.09%
Net Return (after fees)
-3.09%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 NIO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 265 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 70 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Reversion had $8,943.12 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 6, 2025 9:30am ET $3.90 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL May 6, 2025 12:10pm ET $3.94 0 $0.00 $9,046.44 +$103.32
(+1.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
2 🟢 BUY May 13, 2025 9:35am ET $4.11 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL May 13, 2025 11:15am ET $4.17 0 $0.00 $9,189.63 +$143.19
(+1.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
3 🟢 BUY May 19, 2025 9:30am ET $3.98 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL May 19, 2025 11:25am ET $4.03 0 $0.00 $9,294.69 +$105.06
(+1.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
4 🟢 BUY May 23, 2025 9:30am ET $3.79 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL May 27, 2025 9:30am ET $3.66 0 $0.00 $8,977.25 $-317.44
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
5 🟢 BUY May 27, 2025 9:35am ET $3.67 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL May 28, 2025 9:30am ET $3.71 0 $0.00 $9,075.09 +$97.84
(+1.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
6 🟢 BUY May 30, 2025 9:30am ET $3.56 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL May 30, 2025 9:45am ET $3.60 0 $0.00 $9,189.93 +$114.84
(+1.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2025 9:30am ET $3.39 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2025 9:40am ET $3.48 0 $0.00 $9,420.01 +$230.08
(+2.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2025 9:30am ET $3.61 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2025 11:00am ET $3.67 0 $0.00 $9,576.29 +$156.28
(+1.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2025 9:40am ET $3.65 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2025 10:25am ET $3.69 0 $0.00 $9,694.24 +$117.95
(+1.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 13, 2025 9:30am ET $3.54 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jun 16, 2025 9:30am ET $3.53 0 $0.00 $9,680.53 $-13.71
(-0.1%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Jul 16, 2025 9:30am ET $4.08 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jul 16, 2025 10:25am ET $3.99 0 $0.00 $9,464.53 $-216.00
(-2.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Jul 18, 2025 11:55am ET $4.35 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jul 18, 2025 2:50pm ET $4.41 0 $0.00 $9,584.16 +$119.63
(+1.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
13 🟢 BUY Jul 23, 2025 11:00am ET $4.96 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jul 23, 2025 11:35am ET $5.01 0 $0.00 $9,690.53 +$106.37
(+1.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
14 🟢 BUY Jul 24, 2025 9:40am ET $4.80 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jul 24, 2025 10:30am ET $4.86 0 $0.00 $9,801.52 +$110.99
(+1.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
15 🟢 BUY Jul 30, 2025 9:30am ET $4.57 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jul 31, 2025 9:30am ET $4.49 0 $0.00 $9,619.28 $-182.24
(-1.9%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
16 🟢 BUY Aug 4, 2025 9:30am ET $4.82 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Aug 4, 2025 10:25am ET $4.72 0 $0.00 $9,412.90 $-206.38
(-2.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
17 🟢 BUY Aug 12, 2025 9:30am ET $4.71 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Aug 12, 2025 9:50am ET $4.60 0 $0.00 $9,202.90 $-210.00
(-2.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
18 🟢 BUY Aug 14, 2025 9:30am ET $4.50 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Aug 14, 2025 10:15am ET $4.40 0 $0.00 $8,998.20 $-204.70
(-2.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
19 🟢 BUY Aug 25, 2025 1:00pm ET $6.11 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Aug 25, 2025 1:05pm ET $6.17 0 $0.00 $9,090.41 +$92.21
(+1.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
20 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2025 9:30am ET $6.57 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2025 11:15am ET $6.42 0 $0.00 $8,884.81 $-205.60
(-2.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
21 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2025 9:45am ET $6.14 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2025 10:05am ET $6.22 0 $0.00 $9,000.65 +$115.84
(+1.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
22 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2025 9:30am ET $6.34 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2025 9:45am ET $6.16 0 $0.00 $8,745.05 $-255.60
(-2.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
23 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2025 9:30am ET $6.13 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Sep 4, 2025 9:50am ET $5.99 0 $0.00 $8,552.40 $-192.65
(-2.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
24 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2025 9:30am ET $5.64 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Sep 10, 2025 9:40am ET $5.71 0 $0.00 $8,665.26 +$112.86
(+1.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
25 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2025 9:40am ET $7.17 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2025 10:10am ET $7.01 0 $0.00 $8,468.05 $-197.21
(-2.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
26 🟢 BUY Sep 26, 2025 9:30am ET $7.27 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Sep 26, 2025 10:05am ET $7.11 0 $0.00 $8,281.81 $-186.24
(-2.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
27 🟢 BUY Oct 3, 2025 9:30am ET $7.64 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Oct 6, 2025 9:30am ET $7.68 0 $0.00 $8,319.75 +$37.94
(+0.5%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
28 🟢 BUY Oct 7, 2025 9:30am ET $7.47 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Oct 7, 2025 11:35am ET $7.31 0 $0.00 $8,147.08 $-172.67
(-2.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
29 🟢 BUY Oct 9, 2025 9:30am ET $7.59 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Oct 9, 2025 2:10pm ET $7.44 0 $0.00 $7,980.87 $-166.21
(-2.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
30 🟢 BUY Oct 10, 2025 9:30am ET $7.28 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Oct 10, 2025 10:55am ET $7.12 0 $0.00 $7,800.03 $-180.84
(-2.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
31 🟢 BUY Oct 14, 2025 9:30am ET $6.92 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Oct 14, 2025 12:45pm ET $6.99 0 $0.00 $7,884.56 +$84.53
(+1.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
32 🟢 BUY Oct 16, 2025 9:30am ET $6.53 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Oct 16, 2025 9:35am ET $6.62 0 $0.00 $7,993.07 +$108.51
(+1.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
33 🟢 BUY Oct 17, 2025 9:30am ET $6.57 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Oct 17, 2025 9:50am ET $6.66 0 $0.00 $8,107.22 +$114.15
(+1.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
34 🟢 BUY Oct 21, 2025 9:30am ET $6.82 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Oct 22, 2025 9:30am ET $6.91 0 $0.00 $8,215.80 +$108.58
(+1.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
35 🟢 BUY Oct 31, 2025 9:35am ET $6.87 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Oct 31, 2025 10:05am ET $6.96 0 $0.00 $8,315.94 +$100.14
(+1.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
36 🟢 BUY Nov 4, 2025 9:30am ET $7.10 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Nov 4, 2025 9:40am ET $7.21 0 $0.00 $8,450.72 +$134.78
(+1.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
37 🟢 BUY Nov 6, 2025 3:25pm ET $7.23 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Nov 7, 2025 9:30am ET $6.92 0 $0.00 $8,087.00 $-363.72
(-4.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
38 🟢 BUY Nov 7, 2025 9:35am ET $6.82 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Nov 7, 2025 9:50am ET $6.94 0 $0.00 $8,223.87 +$136.87
(+1.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
39 🟢 BUY Nov 12, 2025 9:30am ET $6.43 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Nov 12, 2025 12:55pm ET $6.50 0 $0.00 $8,313.33 +$89.46
(+1.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
40 🟢 BUY Nov 13, 2025 10:45am ET $6.27 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Nov 14, 2025 9:30am ET $6.06 0 $0.00 $8,040.38 $-272.95
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
41 🟢 BUY Nov 14, 2025 9:35am ET $6.08 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Nov 14, 2025 9:45am ET $6.21 0 $0.00 $8,205.63 +$165.25
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
42 🟢 BUY Nov 18, 2025 9:35am ET $5.92 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Nov 18, 2025 1:20pm ET $5.98 0 $0.00 $8,289.13 +$83.50
(+1.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
43 🟢 BUY Nov 20, 2025 11:40am ET $5.60 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Nov 20, 2025 12:35pm ET $5.48 0 $0.00 $8,111.83 $-177.30
(-2.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
44 🟢 BUY Nov 25, 2025 9:30am ET $5.50 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Nov 25, 2025 11:00am ET $5.57 0 $0.00 $8,220.61 +$108.78
(+1.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
45 🟢 BUY Nov 26, 2025 11:25am ET $5.41 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Nov 26, 2025 3:40pm ET $5.48 0 $0.00 $8,326.79 +$106.18
(+1.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
46 🟢 BUY Dec 1, 2025 9:35am ET $5.35 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Dec 1, 2025 9:45am ET $5.24 0 $0.00 $8,147.85 $-178.94
(-2.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
47 🟢 BUY Dec 3, 2025 9:30am ET $4.88 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Dec 3, 2025 9:40am ET $4.98 0 $0.00 $8,308.07 +$160.22
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
48 🟢 BUY Dec 9, 2025 9:30am ET $5.00 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Dec 9, 2025 11:35am ET $5.06 0 $0.00 $8,399.42 +$91.35
(+1.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
49 🟢 BUY Dec 11, 2025 9:30am ET $4.97 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Dec 11, 2025 10:20am ET $5.03 0 $0.00 $8,500.88 +$101.46
(+1.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
50 🟢 BUY Dec 31, 2025 9:30am ET $5.16 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Dec 31, 2025 9:50am ET $5.05 0 $0.00 $8,324.93 $-175.95
(-2.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
51 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 9:30am ET $4.97 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 10:25am ET $4.87 0 $0.00 $8,157.33 $-167.60
(-2.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
52 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2026 9:50am ET $4.69 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 8, 2026 10:25am ET $4.75 0 $0.00 $8,257.38 +$100.05
(+1.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
53 🟢 BUY Jan 13, 2026 9:30am ET $4.77 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 14, 2026 9:30am ET $4.59 0 $0.00 $7,932.31 $-325.07
(-3.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
54 🟢 BUY Jan 14, 2026 9:35am ET $4.60 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 15, 2026 9:35am ET $4.57 0 $0.00 $7,872.49 $-59.82
(-0.8%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
55 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 9:35am ET $4.58 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 12:00pm ET $4.63 0 $0.00 $7,958.49 +$86.00
(+1.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
56 🟢 BUY Jan 23, 2026 9:45am ET $4.67 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 26, 2026 9:45am ET $4.67 0 $0.00 $7,954.23 $-4.26
(-0.1%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
57 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 10:50am ET $4.65 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 11:10am ET $4.73 0 $0.00 $8,081.28 +$127.05
(+1.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
58 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2026 9:30am ET $4.53 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2026 9:50am ET $4.42 0 $0.00 $7,885.15 $-196.13
(-2.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
59 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 3:25pm ET $4.72 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 9:30am ET $5.12 0 $0.00 $8,549.81 +$664.66
(+8.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
0m held
60 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 9:30am ET $4.76 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 9:40am ET $4.84 0 $0.00 $8,685.05 +$135.24
(+1.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
61 🟢 BUY Feb 13, 2026 9:30am ET $4.83 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 13, 2026 9:40am ET $4.90 0 $0.00 $8,810.91 +$125.86
(+1.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
62 🟢 BUY Mar 12, 2026 1:45pm ET $5.57 1,583 $8,809.40
🔴 SELL Mar 13, 2026 10:40am ET $5.88 1,583 $9,308.04 $9,309.56 +$498.65
(+5.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
20.9h held
63 🟢 BUY Mar 16, 2026 1:10pm ET $6.04 1,541 $9,307.64
🔴 SELL Mar 20, 2026 10:10am ET $5.61 1,541 $8,648.09 $8,650.01 $-659.55
(-7.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held
64 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET $5.75 1,505 $8,649.24
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 2:15pm ET $5.34 1,505 $8,039.86 $8,040.64 $-609.37
(-7.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.2d held
65 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET $6.07 1,323 $8,037.22
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 9:35am ET $6.42 1,323 $8,491.41 $8,494.83 +$454.19
(+5.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
4d held
66 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 9:35am ET $6.13 1,385 $8,490.05
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 11:05am ET $6.45 1,385 $8,926.33 $8,931.11 +$436.28
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held
67 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 2:20pm ET $6.52 1,369 $8,925.88
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 3:55pm ET $6.86 1,369 $9,386.55 $9,391.78 +$460.67
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.1d held
68 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 9:30am ET $6.74 1,393 $9,390.21
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 10:15am ET $6.24 1,393 $8,699.28 $8,700.85 $-690.93
(-7.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
69 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET $6.15 1,414 $8,696.10
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET $6.60 1,414 $9,332.40 $9,337.15 +$636.30
(+7.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
70 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 9:30am ET $6.26 1,491 $9,333.21
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 11:35am ET $5.81 1,491 $8,662.71 $8,666.65 $-670.50
(-7.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $8,666.65
Net Profit/Loss: $-1,333.35
Total Return: -13.33%
Back to Reversion