Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-06 07:31:41

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
52.3 neutral
20d Trend
+2.4%
5d Trend
-2.1%
EMA20 Dist
+0.1%
ATR%
2.9%
Range Pos
68%
Bounce Ratio
1.0×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

9
Lifetime
Confidence: 83%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
5.9/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.8/10
Raw Quality 10.7/100
× Confidence 0.83 = 8.9

30-Day Momentum

0
-13.0%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
3
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 0.0 Conf: 0.61×
Cooling (-9 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (83%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
32,647
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-05-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
265 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$8,953.58
Current Value
$8,298.53
Period P&L
$-659.59
Max Drawdown
-15.4%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.08

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
22
Winners / Losers
14 / 8
Best Trade
+5.34%
Worst Trade
-9.22%
Avg Trade Return
-0.28%
Avg Hold Time
2.1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$128,071.12
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-659.59
Net P&L (after fees)
$-659.59
Gross Return
-7.37%
Net Return (after fees)
-7.37%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 OXY Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 265 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 22 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Reversion had $8,953.58 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 5, 2025 9:30am ET $39.41 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL May 6, 2025 9:30am ET $39.43 0 $0.00 $8,958.12 +$4.54
(+0.1%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
2 🟢 BUY May 15, 2025 9:30am ET $42.61 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL May 15, 2025 2:25pm ET $43.05 0 $0.00 $9,050.44 +$92.32
(+1.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
3 🟢 BUY May 19, 2025 9:30am ET $42.06 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL May 20, 2025 9:30am ET $42.11 0 $0.00 $9,061.19 +$10.75
(+0.1%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
4 🟢 BUY May 22, 2025 9:30am ET $40.22 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL May 22, 2025 11:50am ET $40.68 0 $0.00 $9,164.46 +$103.27
(+1.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2025 2:00pm ET $43.85 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jun 24, 2025 11:15am ET $42.90 0 $0.00 $8,965.91 $-198.55
(-2.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Aug 1, 2025 10:00am ET $42.72 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Aug 1, 2025 11:40am ET $43.15 0 $0.00 $9,055.78 +$89.87
(+1.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2025 10:15am ET $46.64 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Sep 4, 2025 10:15am ET $46.15 0 $0.00 $8,960.72 $-95.06
(-1.1%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Oct 2, 2025 9:35am ET $46.23 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Oct 2, 2025 10:10am ET $45.12 0 $0.00 $8,746.51 $-214.21
(-2.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Nov 4, 2025 9:30am ET $40.00 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Nov 5, 2025 9:30am ET $40.16 0 $0.00 $8,781.87 +$35.36
(+0.4%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Nov 19, 2025 9:30am ET $41.22 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Nov 19, 2025 1:20pm ET $41.67 0 $0.00 $8,877.72 +$95.85
(+1.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Dec 8, 2025 9:30am ET $41.70 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Dec 9, 2025 9:30am ET $41.42 0 $0.00 $8,819.42 $-58.30
(-0.7%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 9:45am ET $41.57 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 10:00am ET $40.71 0 $0.00 $8,637.10 $-182.32
(-2.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
13 🟢 BUY Jan 15, 2026 9:30am ET $43.18 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 15, 2026 10:05am ET $43.65 0 $0.00 $8,730.10 +$93.00
(+1.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
14 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2026 9:30am ET $43.93 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2026 10:35am ET $44.37 0 $0.00 $8,817.22 +$87.12
(+1.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
15 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 9:30am ET $45.43 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 9:30am ET $45.54 0 $0.00 $8,838.56 +$21.34
(+0.2%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
16 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 3:45pm ET $53.88 164 $8,835.50
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2026 9:30am ET $56.71 164 $9,299.62 $9,302.68 +$464.12
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
5.7d held
17 🟢 BUY Mar 13, 2026 9:30am ET $57.40 162 $9,298.80
🔴 SELL Mar 19, 2026 10:20am ET $60.28 162 $9,764.91 $9,768.79 +$466.11
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
6d held
18 🟢 BUY Mar 20, 2026 2:00pm ET $60.94 160 $9,751.20
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 2:50pm ET $64.20 160 $10,272.02 $10,289.61 +$520.82
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
6d held
19 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 1:20pm ET $66.37 155 $10,287.35
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 1:10pm ET $61.52 155 $9,535.60 $9,537.86 $-751.75
(-7.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
20 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 3:50pm ET $62.79 151 $9,481.29
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $57.00 151 $8,607.00 $8,663.57 $-874.29
(-9.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.7d held
21 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 11:35am ET $59.79 144 $8,609.76
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 9:35am ET $55.58 144 $8,004.24 $8,058.05 $-605.52
(-7.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.9d held
22 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 3:35pm ET $55.85 144 $8,041.68
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET $57.51 144 $8,282.16 $8,298.53 +$240.48
(+3.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
11.7d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $8,298.53
Net Profit/Loss: $-1,701.47
Total Return: -17.01%
Back to Reversion