Compendium › Reversion › PANW
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
PANW
Alpaca Tradeable

Reversion's Analysis

Last Year: 2025-05-06 to present • 26 trades in period

+7.74%
Last Year Return
$10,527.69
Current Value
69%
Win Rate
$9,770.94
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 05:17:48

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
18.4 oversold
20d Trend
-19.1%
5d Trend
-12.6%
EMA20 Dist
-11.6%
ATR%
3.8%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.0×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 5, 2026

21
Lifetime
Confidence: 90%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
1.8/35
Total Return
6.6/25
Win Rate
8.2/15
Profit Factor
0.6/15
Consistency
5.7/10
Raw Quality 22.9/100
× Confidence 0.90 = 20.7

30-Day Momentum

44
+15.1%
30d Return
80%
Win Rate
5
Trades
2.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 62.6 Conf: 0.70×
Accelerating (+23 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (90%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
26,312
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-05-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
264 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$9,770.94
Current Value
$10,527.69
Period P&L
$756.75
Max Drawdown
-10.1%
Sharpe Ratio
0.10

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
26
Winners / Losers
18 / 8
Best Trade
+6.05%
Worst Trade
-7.19%
Avg Trade Return
+0.36%
Avg Hold Time
1.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$154,781.25
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$756.75
Net P&L (after fees)
$756.75
Gross Return
+7.74%
Net Return (after fees)
+7.74%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 PANW Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 264 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 26 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Reversion had $9,770.94 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 21, 2025 9:30am ET $180.69 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL May 21, 2025 10:30am ET $182.95 0 $0.00 $9,892.98 +$122.04
(+1.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Jul 1, 2025 11:10am ET $195.83 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 1, 2025 12:50pm ET $198.23 0 $0.00 $10,013.09 +$120.11
(+1.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 10, 2025 9:50am ET $200.15 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 10, 2025 11:15am ET $196.05 0 $0.00 $9,808.09 $-205.00
(-2.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 21, 2025 2:10pm ET $197.17 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 21, 2025 2:20pm ET $200.31 0 $0.00 $9,961.94 +$153.85
(+1.6%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 29, 2025 12:15pm ET $197.84 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 29, 2025 12:25pm ET $200.08 0 $0.00 $10,074.19 +$112.25
(+1.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 30, 2025 9:30am ET $178.94 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 30, 2025 10:30am ET $181.02 0 $0.00 $10,190.67 +$116.48
(+1.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 31, 2025 9:30am ET $176.10 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 1, 2025 9:30am ET $171.32 0 $0.00 $9,918.21 $-272.46
(-2.7%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Aug 1, 2025 9:40am ET $169.13 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 1, 2025 10:20am ET $171.19 0 $0.00 $10,037.69 +$119.48
(+1.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Oct 14, 2025 9:35am ET $208.22 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 15, 2025 9:35am ET $208.33 0 $0.00 $10,042.97 +$5.28
(+0.1%) 		END_OF_DAY
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Oct 29, 2025 9:30am ET $216.32 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 29, 2025 9:35am ET $219.38 0 $0.00 $10,183.73 +$140.76
(+1.4%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Nov 14, 2025 9:30am ET $199.12 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 14, 2025 9:35am ET $201.25 0 $0.00 $10,292.36 +$108.63
(+1.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Nov 20, 2025 10:05am ET $192.62 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 20, 2025 10:15am ET $195.01 0 $0.00 $10,419.29 +$126.93
(+1.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
13 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2026 9:35am ET $190.53 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 9, 2026 9:35am ET $191.20 0 $0.00 $10,455.47 +$36.18
(+0.3%) 		END_OF_DAY
0m held
14 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 10:05am ET $183.09 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 10:20am ET $185.46 0 $0.00 $10,590.85 +$135.38
(+1.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
15 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 9:35am ET $179.96 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 9:55am ET $175.30 0 $0.00 $10,320.57 $-270.28
(-2.6%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
16 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 9:40am ET $170.79 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 10:15am ET $167.27 0 $0.00 $10,109.67 $-210.90
(-2.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
17 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 9:50am ET $160.99 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 10:10am ET $164.20 0 $0.00 $10,308.38 +$198.71
(+2.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
18 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 9:55am ET $162.26 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 2:30pm ET $158.46 0 $0.00 $10,068.98 $-239.40
(-2.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
19 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 9:45am ET $161.64 62 $10,021.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 13, 2026 9:45am ET $170.04 62 $10,542.79 $10,590.09 +$521.11
(+5.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
7d held
20 🟢 BUY Mar 17, 2026 12:05pm ET $169.28 62 $10,495.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 10:05am ET $157.26 62 $9,750.12 $9,844.85 $-745.24
(-7.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
6.9d held
21 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 11:15am ET $156.70 62 $9,715.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 9:45am ET $145.43 62 $9,016.66 $9,146.11 $-698.74
(-7.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held
22 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 9:50am ET $158.17 57 $9,015.69 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 3:15pm ET $167.74 57 $9,561.18 $9,691.60 +$545.49
(+6.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
6.2d held
23 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 9:35am ET $169.73 57 $9,674.61 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 9:45am ET $157.54 57 $8,979.50 $8,996.49 $-695.11
(-7.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
24 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 1:25pm ET $160.71 55 $8,839.15 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET $170.40 55 $9,372.00 $9,529.34 +$532.85
(+6.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held
25 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 9:30am ET $166.61 57 $9,496.77 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 9:55am ET $175.35 57 $9,995.23 $10,027.80 +$498.46
(+5.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1d held
26 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET $173.73 57 $9,902.61 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 10:25am ET $182.50 57 $10,402.50 $10,527.69 +$499.89
(+5.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
4d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,527.69
Net Profit/Loss: +$527.69
Total Return: +5.28%
Back to Reversion