Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 07:14:09

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
23.9 oversold
20d Trend
-14.4%
5d Trend
-9.1%
EMA20 Dist
-9.2%
ATR%
3.4%
Range Pos
3%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 5, 2026

10
Lifetime
Confidence: 86%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
6.6/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.8/10
Raw Quality 11.4/100
× Confidence 0.86 = 9.8

30-Day Momentum

16
+2.3%
30d Return
60%
Win Rate
5
Trades
1.1×
Profit Factor
Quality: 22.2 Conf: 0.70×
Steady (+6 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (86%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,770
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
61 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$9,328.05
Current Value
$8,295.78
Period P&L
$-1,032.27
Max Drawdown
-11.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.24

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
8
Winners / Losers
4 / 4
Best Trade
+5.71%
Worst Trade
-10.37%
Avg Trade Return
-1.31%
Avg Hold Time
6.1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$113,474.17
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,032.27
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,032.27
Gross Return
-11.07%
Net Return (after fees)
-11.07%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 ADBE Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 61 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 8 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Reversion had $9,328.05 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 11, 2026 9:50am ET $257.73 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 12, 2026 9:30am ET $260.77 0 $0.00 $9,437.85 +$109.80
(+1.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 9:30am ET $281.41 33 $9,286.53
🔴 SELL Mar 13, 2026 9:30am ET $252.22 33 $8,323.26 $8,474.58 $-963.27
(-10.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
7d held
3 🟢 BUY Mar 16, 2026 9:30am ET $248.02 34 $8,432.85
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 9:30am ET $237.34 34 $8,069.56 $8,111.29 $-363.29
(-4.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
4 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET $236.38 34 $8,036.92
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 9:30am ET $241.50 34 $8,211.00 $8,285.37 +$174.08
(+2.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 9:30am ET $243.27 34 $8,271.18
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 9:55am ET $225.51 34 $7,667.51 $7,681.70 $-603.67
(-7.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 3:10pm ET $237.97 32 $7,615.04
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 9:30am ET $251.55 32 $8,049.60 $8,116.26 +$434.56
(+5.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 11:15am ET $248.58 32 $7,954.56
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 11:15am ET $241.80 32 $7,737.60 $7,899.30 $-216.96
(-2.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET $240.97 32 $7,711.04
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 10:15am ET $253.36 32 $8,107.52 $8,295.78 +$396.48
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
5d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $8,295.78
Net Profit/Loss: $-1,704.22
Total Return: -17.04%
Back to Reversion