Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 09:46:37

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
30.4 neutral
20d Trend
-15.2%
5d Trend
-20.7%
EMA20 Dist
-16.9%
ATR%
7.4%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.7×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

37
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
7.5/35
Total Return
14.3/25
Win Rate
7.2/15
Profit Factor
3.1/15
Consistency
5.4/10
Raw Quality 37.4/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 36.7

30-Day Momentum

60
+26.0%
30d Return
83%
Win Rate
6
Trades
2.4×
Profit Factor
Quality: 80.5 Conf: 0.74×
Accelerating (+23 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,774
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$10,121.23
Current Value
$18,086.12
Period P&L
$7,964.89
Max Drawdown
-23.9%
Sharpe Ratio
0.66

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
15
Winners / Losers
13 / 2
Best Trade
+19.91%
Worst Trade
-7.80%
Avg Trade Return
+4.18%
Avg Hold Time
1.9d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$331,684.96
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$7,964.89
Net P&L (after fees)
$7,964.89
Gross Return
+78.69%
Net Return (after fees)
+78.69%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AMD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 15 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Reversion had $10,121.23 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 11, 2026 10:20am ET $209.63 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 10:40am ET $212.12 0 $0.00 $10,240.75 +$119.52
(+1.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 12, 2026 11:25am ET $206.24 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 12, 2026 12:35pm ET $208.62 0 $0.00 $10,357.37 +$116.62
(+1.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 1:55pm ET $196.65 52 $10,226.06
🔴 SELL Mar 11, 2026 9:40am ET $207.57 52 $10,793.90 $10,925.21 +$567.84
(+5.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.8d held
4 🟢 BUY Mar 12, 2026 9:40am ET $202.10 54 $10,913.41
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET $206.40 54 $11,145.33 $11,157.13 +$231.92
(+2.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
11d held
5 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET $201.39 55 $11,076.45
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 9:30am ET $211.51 55 $11,632.78 $11,713.46 +$556.33
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
6 🟢 BUY Mar 26, 2026 9:30am ET $217.85 53 $11,546.31
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET $201.85 53 $10,698.05 $10,865.20 $-848.26
(-7.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
7 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 3:10pm ET $193.90 56 $10,858.68
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 3:25pm ET $203.74 56 $11,409.44 $11,415.96 +$550.76
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET $204.05 55 $11,222.75
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 11:20am ET $214.54 55 $11,799.43 $11,992.64 +$576.68
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.8h held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 1:00pm ET $219.36 54 $11,845.44
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $232.37 54 $12,547.98 $12,695.18 +$702.54
(+5.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 9:40am ET $244.32 51 $12,460.32
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 10:35am ET $256.55 51 $13,084.05 $13,318.91 +$623.73
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 12:45pm ET $273.34 48 $13,120.51
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 9:30am ET $291.27 48 $13,980.96 $14,179.36 +$860.45
(+6.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
12 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 1:15pm ET $305.58 46 $14,056.68
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 9:30am ET $336.83 46 $15,494.41 $15,617.09 +$1,437.73
(+10.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
20.3h held
13 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 9:35am ET $338.27 46 $15,560.42
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET $311.88 46 $14,346.25 $14,402.92 $-1,214.17
(-7.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.9h held
14 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 9:35am ET $321.40 44 $14,141.60
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 2:50pm ET $337.47 44 $14,848.68 $15,110.00 +$707.08
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
5.3h held
15 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 9:35am ET $355.94 42 $14,949.48
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 9:30am ET $426.80 42 $17,925.60 $18,086.12 +$2,976.12
(+19.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $18,086.12
Net Profit/Loss: +$8,086.12
Total Return: +80.86%
Back to Reversion