Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-06-22 14:52:20

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
20
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 1.0
Quiet
RSI(14)
44.7 neutral
20d Trend
-0.8%
5d Trend
+1.1%
EMA20 Dist
-0.8%
ATR%
2.1%
Range Pos
55%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Jun 22, 2026

25
Lifetime
Confidence: 81%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
4.2/35
Total Return
9.2/25
Win Rate
8.3/15
Profit Factor
2.3/15
Consistency
7.3/10
Raw Quality 31.2/100
× Confidence 0.81 = 25.2

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (81%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,900
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-23 → 2026-06-22
Trading Days
63 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)

Market Closed (3 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$10,402.45
Current Value
$11,169.89
Period P&L
$767.44
Max Drawdown
-9.8%
Sharpe Ratio
0.28

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
8
Winners / Losers
4 / 4
Best Trade
+6.30%
Worst Trade
-4.74%
Avg Trade Return
+1.07%
Avg Hold Time
9.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$168,031.85
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$767.44
Net P&L (after fees)
$767.44
Gross Return
+7.38%
Net Return (after fees)
+7.38%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AXP Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 63 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 8 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Reversion had $10,402.45 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 17, 2026 3:55pm ET $300.85 34 $10,228.90
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 3:55pm ET $292.46 34 $9,943.81 $10,051.46 $-285.09
(-2.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 9:50am ET $300.70 33 $9,923.26
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $319.66 33 $10,548.78 $10,676.98 +$625.52
(+6.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
7d held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 9:30am ET $314.16 33 $10,367.32
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 9:35am ET $331.20 33 $10,929.76 $11,239.43 +$562.45
(+5.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
6d held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 9:45am ET $328.58 34 $11,171.72
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET $313.02 34 $10,642.68 $10,710.39 $-529.04
(-4.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
11d held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 2:25pm ET $317.55 33 $10,479.15
🔴 SELL May 8, 2026 2:25pm ET $316.43 33 $10,442.35 $10,673.60 $-36.79
(-0.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
6 🟢 BUY May 11, 2026 3:10pm ET $312.03 34 $10,609.02
🔴 SELL May 21, 2026 3:10pm ET $309.71 34 $10,530.14 $10,594.72 $-78.88
(-0.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
7 🟢 BUY May 22, 2026 3:50pm ET $311.79 33 $10,289.07
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 3:50pm ET $313.26 33 $10,337.58 $10,643.23 +$48.51
(+0.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 9:30am ET $309.73 34 $10,530.82
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2026 3:10pm ET $325.22 34 $11,057.48 $11,169.89 +$526.66
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
9.2d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,169.89
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,169.89
Total Return: +11.70%
Back to Reversion