Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-06 09:46:22

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
59.7 neutral
20d Trend
+0.8%
5d Trend
+3.3%
EMA20 Dist
+2.2%
ATR%
1.5%
Range Pos
64%
Bounce Ratio
2.8×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

29
Lifetime
Confidence: 80%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
5.1/35
Total Return
10.0/25
Win Rate
9.6/15
Profit Factor
4.1/15
Consistency
6.7/10
Raw Quality 35.5/100
× Confidence 0.80 = 28.6

30-Day Momentum

38
+8.8%
30d Return
67%
Win Rate
3
Trades
10.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 62.0 Conf: 0.61×
Steady (+9 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (80%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,835
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$10,193.14
Current Value
$11,518.73
Period P&L
$1,325.59
Max Drawdown
-10.4%
Sharpe Ratio
0.60

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
7
Winners / Losers
4 / 3
Best Trade
+6.85%
Worst Trade
-2.33%
Avg Trade Return
+1.81%
Avg Hold Time
6.8d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$128,832.00
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,325.59
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,325.59
Gross Return
+13.00%
Net Return (after fees)
+13.00%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 BAC Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 7 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Reversion had $10,193.14 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 13, 2026 9:35am ET $51.57 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 13, 2026 10:05am ET $52.35 0 $0.00 $10,347.78 +$154.64
(+1.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 9:30am ET $48.48 213 $10,326.24
🔴 SELL Mar 16, 2026 10:30am ET $47.35 213 $10,085.55 $10,107.09 $-240.69
(-2.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
3 🟢 BUY Mar 17, 2026 2:25pm ET $47.31 213 $10,078.09
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 2:25pm ET $47.12 213 $10,035.50 $10,064.49 $-42.60
(-0.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
4 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 2:30pm ET $47.19 213 $10,051.47
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 9:30am ET $49.65 213 $10,574.39 $10,587.41 +$522.92
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.8d held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET $48.61 217 $10,548.37
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $51.94 217 $11,270.98 $11,310.02 +$722.61
(+6.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
6d held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 9:35am ET $52.47 215 $11,281.05
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 9:35am ET $53.60 215 $11,525.07 $11,554.04 +$244.02
(+2.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 11:05am ET $53.95 214 $11,545.30
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 11:05am ET $53.78 214 $11,509.99 $11,518.73 $-35.31
(-0.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,518.73
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,518.73
Total Return: +15.19%
Back to Reversion