Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 09:47:25

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
36.8 neutral
20d Trend
-3.6%
5d Trend
-5.4%
EMA20 Dist
-4.3%
ATR%
2.6%
Range Pos
26%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

14
Lifetime
Confidence: 76%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.5/35
Total Return
2.4/25
Win Rate
9.0/15
Profit Factor
0.2/15
Consistency
6.7/10
Raw Quality 18.8/100
× Confidence 0.76 = 14.3

30-Day Momentum

44
+10.4%
30d Return
100%
Win Rate
3
Trades
10.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 71.8 Conf: 0.61×
Accelerating (+30 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (76%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,779
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$10,211.38
Current Value
$10,096.00
Period P&L
$-115.38
Max Drawdown
-7.3%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.01

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
7
Winners / Losers
3 / 4
Best Trade
+5.54%
Worst Trade
-7.22%
Avg Trade Return
-0.03%
Avg Hold Time
5.9d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$108,979.80
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-115.38
Net P&L (after fees)
$-115.38
Gross Return
-1.13%
Net Return (after fees)
-1.13%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 BLK Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 7 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Reversion had $10,211.38 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 12, 2026 10:55am ET $1,051.31 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 12, 2026 11:40am ET $1,029.07 0 $0.00 $10,011.18 $-200.20
(-2.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 9:30am ET $992.66 10 $9,926.65
🔴 SELL Mar 9, 2026 9:50am ET $921.02 10 $9,210.20 $9,294.73 $-716.45
(-7.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
3 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2026 2:20pm ET $968.12 9 $8,713.08
🔴 SELL Mar 20, 2026 2:20pm ET $961.54 9 $8,653.90 $9,235.55 $-59.18
(-0.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
4 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 3:55pm ET $976.55 9 $8,788.95
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 3:55pm ET $966.59 9 $8,699.31 $9,145.91 $-89.64
(-1.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 9:30am ET $957.35 9 $8,616.19
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:35am ET $1,010.40 9 $9,093.60 $9,623.32 +$477.41
(+5.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 9:35am ET $994.67 9 $8,952.03
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET $1,045.00 9 $9,405.00 $10,076.29 +$452.97
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
5d held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 9:45am ET $1,050.06 9 $9,450.58
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET $1,052.26 9 $9,470.30 $10,096.00 +$19.71
(+0.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
12d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,096.00
Net Profit/Loss: +$96.00
Total Return: +0.96%
Back to Reversion