Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 4: RECOVERY
Signals generated 2026-06-20 08:46:54

Bounce in progress. Hold existing positions, let trailing stops manage exits.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.6
Active
RSI(14)
68.5 neutral
20d Trend
+6.3%
5d Trend
+4.4%
EMA20 Dist
+5.2%
ATR%
2.9%
Range Pos
98%
Bounce Ratio
1.2×
Green/Red 10d
6/4
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 20, 2026

11
Lifetime
Confidence: 81%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
7.7/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
6.3/10
Raw Quality 14.0/100
× Confidence 0.81 = 11.3

30-Day Momentum

6
-3.1%
30d Return
67%
Win Rate
3
Trades
0.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0 Conf: 0.61×
Cooling (-5 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (81%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,914
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-20 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
63 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)

Market Closed (3 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$10,114.29
Current Value
$9,174.88
Period P&L
$-939.41
Max Drawdown
-3.3%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.29

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
9
Winners / Losers
4 / 5
Best Trade
+5.02%
Worst Trade
-7.51%
Avg Trade Return
-1.45%
Avg Hold Time
8.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$176,267.28
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-939.41
Net P&L (after fees)
$-939.41
Gross Return
-9.29%
Net Return (after fees)
-9.29%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 CMCSA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 63 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 9 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Reversion had $10,114.29 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 17, 2026 1:50pm ET $30.42 347 $10,554.01
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 1:50pm ET $28.41 347 $9,856.54 $9,885.27 $-697.47
(-6.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 3:25pm ET $28.81 343 $9,880.12
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 3:25pm ET $28.25 343 $9,688.04 $9,693.19 $-192.08
(-1.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 3:25pm ET $27.89 347 $9,677.83
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 3:20pm ET $29.28 347 $10,161.89 $10,177.26 +$484.07
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
6d held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 1:35pm ET $29.95 339 $10,154.74
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 10:00am ET $31.46 339 $10,664.47 $10,686.98 +$509.72
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 1:00pm ET $28.30 377 $10,667.22
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 1:00pm ET $26.94 377 $10,158.26 $10,178.03 $-508.95
(-4.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
6 🟢 BUY May 7, 2026 9:40am ET $26.39 385 $10,160.15
🔴 SELL May 13, 2026 9:35am ET $24.54 385 $9,447.90 $9,465.78 $-712.25
(-7.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held
7 🟢 BUY May 14, 2026 1:50pm ET $25.17 375 $9,440.62
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 9:30am ET $25.32 375 $9,495.00 $9,520.16 +$54.38
(+0.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
11.8d held
8 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 12:20pm ET $25.42 374 $9,508.95
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 11:35am ET $23.51 374 $8,794.61 $8,805.82 $-714.34
(-7.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
7d held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 12:40pm ET $23.51 374 $8,793.94
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET $24.50 374 $9,163.00 $9,174.88 +$369.06
(+4.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
10.9d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,174.88
Net Profit/Loss: $-825.12
Total Return: -8.25%
Back to Reversion