Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 07:51:08

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
13.1 oversold
20d Trend
-42.6%
5d Trend
-24.4%
EMA20 Dist
-25.8%
ATR%
6.8%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
2/8
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

25
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
1.4/35
Total Return
9.1/25
Win Rate
9.3/15
Profit Factor
0.5/15
Consistency
5.2/10
Raw Quality 25.4/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 25.3

30-Day Momentum

56
+19.9%
30d Return
80%
Win Rate
5
Trades
2.5×
Profit Factor
Quality: 80.0 Conf: 0.70×
Accelerating (+31 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,872
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
61 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$10,480.92
Current Value
$11,142.64
Period P&L
$661.72
Max Drawdown
-28.5%
Sharpe Ratio
0.13

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
11
Winners / Losers
6 / 5
Best Trade
+6.92%
Worst Trade
-7.61%
Avg Trade Return
+0.72%
Avg Hold Time
4.1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$179,154.03
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$661.72
Net P&L (after fees)
$661.72
Gross Return
+6.31%
Net Return (after fees)
+6.31%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 COIN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 61 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 11 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Reversion had $10,480.92 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 11, 2026 9:30am ET $155.73 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 9:55am ET $152.03 0 $0.00 $10,233.02 $-247.90
(-2.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 12, 2026 9:40am ET $148.86 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 12, 2026 10:35am ET $145.59 0 $0.00 $10,010.66 $-222.36
(-2.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 9:30am ET $197.60 50 $9,880.00
🔴 SELL Mar 16, 2026 10:30am ET $203.18 50 $10,159.00 $10,289.66 +$279.00
(+2.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
4 🟢 BUY Mar 18, 2026 9:30am ET $205.69 50 $10,284.50
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 10:20am ET $190.04 50 $9,502.00 $9,507.16 $-782.50
(-7.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held
5 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 11:10am ET $185.43 51 $9,456.93
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 12:35pm ET $172.34 51 $8,789.34 $8,839.57 $-667.59
(-7.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
6 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 12:55pm ET $161.40 54 $8,715.60
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 12:40pm ET $169.83 54 $9,170.82 $9,294.79 +$455.22
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.8h held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 2:05pm ET $174.30 53 $9,237.90
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $184.94 53 $9,801.82 $9,858.71 +$563.92
(+6.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
6.8d held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 9:35am ET $172.01 57 $9,804.57
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 9:35am ET $183.92 57 $10,483.44 $10,537.58 +$678.87
(+6.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
5d held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 9:55am ET $189.90 55 $10,444.50
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 12:20pm ET $199.77 55 $10,987.35 $11,080.43 +$542.85
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.4h held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 1:25pm ET $209.50 52 $10,894.00
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 1:25pm ET $197.73 52 $10,281.96 $10,468.39 $-612.04
(-5.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET $187.15 55 $10,293.03
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 9:30am ET $199.40 55 $10,967.27 $11,142.64 +$674.25
(+6.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
5d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,142.64
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,142.64
Total Return: +11.43%
Back to Reversion