Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 09:59:26

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
58.1 neutral
20d Trend
+7.6%
5d Trend
-0.6%
EMA20 Dist
+2.4%
ATR%
2.9%
Range Pos
80%
Bounce Ratio
3.0×
Green/Red 10d
8/2
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

13
Lifetime
Confidence: 83%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.3/35
Total Return
2.4/25
Win Rate
7.3/15
Profit Factor
0.2/15
Consistency
5.8/10
Raw Quality 16.0/100
× Confidence 0.83 = 13.3

30-Day Momentum

3
-3.9%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
4
Trades
0.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 5.2 Conf: 0.66×
Cooling (-10 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (83%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,792
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$9,569.87
Current Value
$10,094.55
Period P&L
$452.68
Max Drawdown
-10.3%
Sharpe Ratio
0.21

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
7
Winners / Losers
5 / 2
Best Trade
+5.26%
Worst Trade
-7.19%
Avg Trade Return
+0.85%
Avg Hold Time
7d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$119,797.20
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$452.68
Net P&L (after fees)
$452.68
Gross Return
+4.73%
Net Return (after fees)
+4.73%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 COP Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 7 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Reversion had $9,569.87 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 9:30am ET $105.42 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 9:30am ET $106.21 0 $0.00 $9,641.87 +$72.00
(+0.8%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 3:15pm ET $117.35 82 $9,622.78
🔴 SELL Mar 17, 2026 9:30am ET $121.81 82 $9,988.42 $10,007.51 +$365.64
(+3.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
10.7d held
3 🟢 BUY Mar 18, 2026 3:45pm ET $123.81 80 $9,904.80
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 10:05am ET $130.05 80 $10,403.72 $10,506.43 +$498.92
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
5.8d held
4 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 3:25pm ET $133.86 78 $10,441.08
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 3:25pm ET $131.35 78 $10,245.30 $10,310.65 $-195.78
(-1.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $122.76 83 $10,189.08
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 9:35am ET $113.93 83 $9,456.60 $9,578.17 $-732.48
(-7.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
9d held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 2:45pm ET $117.28 81 $9,499.68
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET $123.45 81 $9,999.45 $10,077.94 +$499.77
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 9:30am ET $123.64 81 $10,014.84
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 9:30am ET $123.85 81 $10,031.45 $10,094.55 +$16.61
(+0.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,094.55
Net Profit/Loss: +$94.55
Total Return: +0.95%
Back to Reversion