Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 10:04:41

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
18.8 oversold
20d Trend
-22.1%
5d Trend
-11.2%
EMA20 Dist
-13.2%
ATR%
4.2%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
2/8
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

7
Lifetime
Confidence: 85%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
3.4/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.8/10
Raw Quality 8.2/100
× Confidence 0.85 = 6.9

30-Day Momentum

3
-8.9%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
4
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 5.2 Conf: 0.66×
Cooling (-3 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (85%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,854
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$8,873.94
Current Value
$7,159.26
Period P&L
$-1,714.68
Max Drawdown
-15.2%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.62

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
7
Winners / Losers
2 / 5
Best Trade
+5.30%
Worst Trade
-7.66%
Avg Trade Return
-2.92%
Avg Hold Time
5.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$93,867.07
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,714.68
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,714.68
Gross Return
-19.32%
Net Return (after fees)
-19.32%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 CRM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 7 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Reversion had $8,873.94 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 11, 2026 9:35am ET $188.97 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 10:05am ET $184.47 0 $0.00 $8,667.02 $-206.92
(-2.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 9:40am ET $200.07 43 $8,603.01
🔴 SELL Mar 16, 2026 10:40am ET $196.08 43 $8,431.61 $8,495.62 $-171.40
(-2.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
3 🟢 BUY Mar 17, 2026 1:50pm ET $195.73 43 $8,416.39
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 11:15am ET $180.98 43 $7,781.93 $7,861.16 $-634.46
(-7.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
7.9d held
4 🟢 BUY Mar 26, 2026 11:55am ET $184.91 42 $7,766.22
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 9:30am ET $187.54 42 $7,876.68 $7,971.62 +$110.46
(+1.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
10.9d held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 9:30am ET $184.76 43 $7,944.89
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 9:35am ET $170.78 43 $7,343.54 $7,370.26 $-601.36
(-7.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 9:35am ET $167.74 43 $7,212.82
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 9:40am ET $176.63 43 $7,595.09 $7,752.53 +$382.27
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
4d held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 1:05pm ET $188.88 41 $7,744.08
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 9:45am ET $174.41 41 $7,150.81 $7,159.26 $-593.27
(-7.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $7,159.26
Net Profit/Loss: $-2,840.74
Total Return: -28.41%
Back to Reversion