Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 07:50:26

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
19.8 oversold
20d Trend
-20.5%
5d Trend
-15.4%
EMA20 Dist
-14.5%
ATR%
4.6%
Range Pos
0%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

11
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
7.4/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.1/10
Raw Quality 11.6/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 11.4

30-Day Momentum

35
+9.4%
30d Return
80%
Win Rate
5
Trades
1.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 49.8 Conf: 0.70×
Accelerating (+24 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,853
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
61 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$8,523.12
Current Value
$8,273.50
Period P&L
$-249.62
Max Drawdown
-21.3%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.02

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
8
Winners / Losers
5 / 3
Best Trade
+5.96%
Worst Trade
-9.91%
Avg Trade Return
-0.14%
Avg Hold Time
4.7d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$128,476.36
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-249.62
Net P&L (after fees)
$-249.62
Gross Return
-2.93%
Net Return (after fees)
-2.93%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 CRWD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 61 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 8 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Reversion had $8,523.12 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 1:10pm ET $424.53 20 $8,490.60
🔴 SELL Mar 11, 2026 9:35am ET $449.82 20 $8,996.40 $9,028.92 +$505.80
(+6.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.8d held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 12, 2026 11:15am ET $440.77 20 $8,815.30
🔴 SELL Mar 20, 2026 9:55am ET $408.00 20 $8,160.00 $8,373.62 $-655.30
(-7.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
7.9d held
3 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 11:55am ET $411.16 20 $8,223.20
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET $370.43 20 $7,408.60 $7,559.02 $-814.60
(-9.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held
4 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 2:45pm ET $379.26 19 $7,205.85
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 9:30am ET $399.65 19 $7,593.35 $7,946.52 +$387.50
(+5.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
6.8d held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 2:00pm ET $400.65 19 $7,612.35
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 3:50pm ET $421.58 19 $8,010.02 $8,344.19 +$397.67
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.8h held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 9:35am ET $415.58 20 $8,311.70
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 9:35am ET $385.40 20 $7,707.95 $7,740.44 $-603.75
(-7.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 1:55pm ET $401.29 19 $7,624.51
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 9:30am ET $422.51 19 $8,027.61 $8,143.54 +$403.10
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 1:20pm ET $448.86 18 $8,079.48
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 1:20pm ET $456.08 18 $8,209.44 $8,273.50 +$129.96
(+1.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $8,273.50
Net Profit/Loss: $-1,726.50
Total Return: -17.27%
Back to Reversion