Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 10:04:29

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
22.5 oversold
20d Trend
-25.9%
5d Trend
-7.4%
EMA20 Dist
-13.7%
ATR%
5.3%
Range Pos
8%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

13
Lifetime
Confidence: 97%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
7.8/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.0/10
Raw Quality 12.8/100
× Confidence 0.97 = 12.5

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (97%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,829
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$8,296.16
Current Value
$9,831.24
Period P&L
$1,535.08
Max Drawdown
-28.1%
Sharpe Ratio
0.37

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
10
Winners / Losers
8 / 2
Best Trade
+5.81%
Worst Trade
-7.70%
Avg Trade Return
+1.84%
Avg Hold Time
4.5d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$136,658.58
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,535.08
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,535.08
Gross Return
+18.50%
Net Return (after fees)
+18.50%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 DKNG Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 10 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Reversion had $8,296.16 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 11, 2026 10:00am ET $26.35 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 12, 2026 10:00am ET $26.44 0 $0.00 $8,325.99 +$29.83
(+0.4%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 13, 2026 9:30am ET $21.49 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 13, 2026 9:40am ET $21.70 0 $0.00 $8,409.20 +$83.21
(+1.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Mar 5, 2026 10:30am ET $25.15 334 $8,398.43
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2026 10:50am ET $26.45 334 $8,834.30 $8,845.07 +$435.87
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
7d held
4 🟢 BUY Mar 13, 2026 12:35pm ET $26.05 339 $8,830.95
🔴 SELL Mar 20, 2026 10:50am ET $24.05 339 $8,151.26 $8,165.38 $-679.69
(-7.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6.9d held
5 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 9:40am ET $23.45 348 $8,160.60
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 1:20pm ET $21.80 348 $7,584.66 $7,589.44 $-575.94
(-7.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held
6 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET $21.09 359 $7,573.10
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 9:35am ET $22.32 359 $8,012.88 $8,029.22 +$439.78
(+5.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
5d held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 9:35am ET $22.01 364 $8,013.46
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 3:50pm ET $23.17 364 $8,432.06 $8,447.82 +$418.60
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
6.3h held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 2:05pm ET $22.92 368 $8,434.56
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET $24.11 368 $8,872.48 $8,885.74 +$437.92
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
9.8d held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 9:30am ET $22.58 393 $8,873.94
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 12:25pm ET $23.77 393 $9,343.57 $9,355.37 +$469.63
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
7.1d held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET $23.05 405 $9,333.23
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 9:30am ET $24.22 405 $9,809.10 $9,831.24 +$475.87
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
7d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,831.24
Net Profit/Loss: $-168.76
Total Return: -1.69%
Back to Reversion