Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 07:47:45

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
36.7 neutral
20d Trend
-7.0%
5d Trend
-5.4%
EMA20 Dist
-4.4%
ATR%
3.0%
Range Pos
59%
Bounce Ratio
0.5×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

38
Lifetime
Confidence: 85%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
11.1/35
Total Return
12.2/25
Win Rate
8.9/15
Profit Factor
6.8/15
Consistency
6.5/10
Raw Quality 45.5/100
× Confidence 0.85 = 38.4

30-Day Momentum

49
+11.1%
30d Return
75%
Win Rate
4
Trades
10.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 73.4 Conf: 0.66×
Accelerating (+10 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (85%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,803
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
61 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$11,212.08
Current Value
$12,874.70
Period P&L
$1,662.62
Max Drawdown
-9.1%
Sharpe Ratio
0.71

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
8
Winners / Losers
5 / 3
Best Trade
+5.58%
Worst Trade
-2.00%
Avg Trade Return
+1.88%
Avg Hold Time
6.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$135,279.33
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,662.62
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,662.62
Gross Return
+14.83%
Net Return (after fees)
+14.83%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 GS Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 61 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 8 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Reversion had $11,212.08 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 12, 2026 11:00am ET $934.36 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 12, 2026 11:35am ET $915.63 0 $0.00 $11,006.05 $-206.03
(-2.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 13, 2026 9:30am ET $883.36 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 13, 2026 10:05am ET $896.10 0 $0.00 $11,158.93 +$152.88
(+1.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 9:30am ET $811.00 13 $10,543.00
🔴 SELL Mar 16, 2026 10:30am ET $802.14 13 $10,427.79 $11,043.72 $-115.21
(-1.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
4 🟢 BUY Mar 17, 2026 2:30pm ET $805.29 13 $10,468.77
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 11:05am ET $847.45 13 $11,016.79 $11,591.73 +$548.01
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
5.9d held
5 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 1:00pm ET $834.11 13 $10,843.43
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 9:30am ET $864.76 13 $11,241.88 $11,990.18 +$398.45
(+3.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
12.9d held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 9:30am ET $857.36 13 $11,145.68
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $905.24 13 $11,768.12 $12,612.62 +$622.44
(+5.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 9:30am ET $903.37 13 $11,743.81
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 9:30am ET $923.93 13 $12,011.09 $12,879.90 +$267.28
(+2.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 1:05pm ET $925.93 13 $12,037.09
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 1:05pm ET $925.53 13 $12,031.89 $12,874.70 $-5.20
(-0.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,874.70
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,874.70
Total Return: +28.75%
Back to Reversion