Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 07:50:31

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
13.3 oversold
20d Trend
-41.6%
5d Trend
-28.6%
EMA20 Dist
-26.6%
ATR%
7.5%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
1/9
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

12
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
7.4/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.5/10
Raw Quality 11.9/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 11.9

30-Day Momentum

12
+0.3%
30d Return
67%
Win Rate
6
Trades
1.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 16.3 Conf: 0.74×
Steady (+0 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,872
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
61 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$7,912.76
Current Value
$6,836.02
Period P&L
$-1,076.74
Max Drawdown
-28.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.13

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
13
Winners / Losers
6 / 7
Best Trade
+6.92%
Worst Trade
-14.57%
Avg Trade Return
-0.88%
Avg Hold Time
3.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$156,442.68
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,076.74
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,076.74
Gross Return
-13.61%
Net Return (after fees)
-13.61%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 HOOD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 61 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 13 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Reversion had $7,912.76 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 11, 2026 9:30am ET $76.80 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 10:00am ET $74.92 0 $0.00 $7,719.55 $-193.21
(-2.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 12, 2026 9:40am ET $75.24 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 12, 2026 10:20am ET $73.65 0 $0.00 $7,557.06 $-162.49
(-2.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Mar 5, 2026 10:15am ET $81.05 93 $7,537.65
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2026 11:10am ET $75.34 93 $7,006.62 $7,026.03 $-531.03
(-7.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
7d held
4 🟢 BUY Mar 13, 2026 3:25pm ET $72.92 96 $7,000.32
🔴 SELL Mar 17, 2026 9:30am ET $77.06 96 $7,397.28 $7,422.99 +$396.96
(+5.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.8d held
5 🟢 BUY Mar 18, 2026 9:30am ET $76.71 96 $7,364.16
🔴 SELL Mar 20, 2026 12:50pm ET $71.32 96 $6,846.72 $6,905.55 $-517.44
(-7.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1d held
6 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 3:50pm ET $72.64 95 $6,900.80
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 9:45am ET $67.39 95 $6,402.05 $6,406.80 $-498.75
(-7.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.7d held
7 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 2:55pm ET $64.17 99 $6,352.83
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 12:45pm ET $68.31 99 $6,762.69 $6,816.66 +$409.86
(+6.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
21.8h held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET $67.19 101 $6,786.59
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 12:35pm ET $70.58 101 $7,129.08 $7,159.15 +$342.49
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.1d held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 2:25pm ET $72.16 99 $7,143.85
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 9:35am ET $77.15 99 $7,638.34 $7,653.64 +$494.49
(+6.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
5.8d held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 12:50pm ET $85.36 89 $7,596.60
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET $90.10 89 $8,018.90 $8,075.94 +$422.30
(+5.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 9:30am ET $89.70 90 $8,073.00
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 1:20pm ET $83.39 90 $7,505.10 $7,508.04 $-567.90
(-7.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.2d held
12 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 3:35pm ET $84.45 88 $7,431.60
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET $72.15 88 $6,349.00 $6,425.44 $-1,082.60
(-14.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.7d held
13 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 12:35pm ET $72.66 88 $6,394.46
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 9:35am ET $77.33 88 $6,805.04 $6,836.02 +$410.58
(+6.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $6,836.02
Net Profit/Loss: $-3,163.98
Total Return: -31.64%
Back to Reversion