Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 07:30:16

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
41.6 neutral
20d Trend
-5.4%
5d Trend
-6.3%
EMA20 Dist
-3.9%
ATR%
3.9%
Range Pos
40%
Bounce Ratio
1.2×
Green/Red 10d
2/8
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

9
Lifetime
Confidence: 80%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
5.7/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.0/10
Raw Quality 10.7/100
× Confidence 0.80 = 8.6

30-Day Momentum

3
-1.1%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
4
Trades
0.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 5.2 Conf: 0.66×
Cooling (-5 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (80%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,821
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
61 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$10,547.51
Current Value
$9,245.03
Period P&L
$-1,302.49
Max Drawdown
-5.3%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.41

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
7
Winners / Losers
2 / 5
Best Trade
+5.84%
Worst Trade
-7.65%
Avg Trade Return
-1.79%
Avg Hold Time
7.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$113,506.87
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,302.49
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,302.49
Gross Return
-12.35%
Net Return (after fees)
-12.35%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 IBM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 61 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 7 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Reversion had $10,547.51 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 12, 2026 9:35am ET $267.59 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 12, 2026 10:45am ET $262.21 0 $0.00 $10,337.88 $-209.63
(-2.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 9:30am ET $255.84 40 $10,233.60
🔴 SELL Mar 16, 2026 10:30am ET $248.71 40 $9,948.20 $10,052.48 $-285.40
(-2.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
3 🟢 BUY Mar 18, 2026 9:30am ET $254.14 39 $9,911.46
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 9:40am ET $236.15 39 $9,209.85 $9,350.87 $-701.61
(-7.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
9d held
4 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 12:55pm ET $238.13 39 $9,286.88
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 12:55pm ET $236.48 39 $9,222.72 $9,286.71 $-64.16
(-0.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 2:10pm ET $231.16 40 $9,246.40
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 9:35am ET $244.66 40 $9,786.40 $9,826.71 +$540.00
(+5.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.8d held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 2:30pm ET $249.95 39 $9,747.86
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET $230.82 39 $9,001.98 $9,080.84 $-745.88
(-7.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6.8d held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 9:40am ET $227.53 39 $8,873.67
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 9:40am ET $231.74 39 $9,037.86 $9,245.03 +$164.19
(+1.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,245.03
Net Profit/Loss: $-754.97
Total Return: -7.55%
Back to Reversion