Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 07:50:35

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
54.2 neutral
20d Trend
+3.9%
5d Trend
-3.6%
EMA20 Dist
+2.0%
ATR%
7.2%
Range Pos
63%
Bounce Ratio
1.1×
Green/Red 10d
2/8
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

32
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
3.7/35
Total Return
13.5/25
Win Rate
7.0/15
Profit Factor
3.7/15
Consistency
4.3/10
Raw Quality 32.2/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 31.8

30-Day Momentum

74
+71.3%
30d Return
100%
Win Rate
7
Trades
10.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 95.7 Conf: 0.78×
Accelerating (+43 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,872
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
61 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$7,268.79
Current Value
$14,077.89
Period P&L
$6,809.10
Max Drawdown
-38.1%
Sharpe Ratio
0.72

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
16
Winners / Losers
14 / 2
Best Trade
+22.62%
Worst Trade
-7.51%
Avg Trade Return
+4.40%
Avg Hold Time
1.8d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$246,085.01
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$6,809.10
Net P&L (after fees)
$6,809.10
Gross Return
+93.68%
Net Return (after fees)
+93.68%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 INTC Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 61 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 16 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Reversion had $7,268.79 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 9:30am ET $48.22 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 9:50am ET $49.17 0 $0.00 $7,411.29 +$142.50
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 12, 2026 11:25am ET $46.57 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 12, 2026 11:45am ET $47.12 0 $0.00 $7,498.74 +$87.45
(+1.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 13, 2026 9:35am ET $45.32 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 13, 2026 9:45am ET $46.17 0 $0.00 $7,639.81 +$141.07
(+1.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Mar 5, 2026 9:40am ET $45.46 168 $7,637.28
🔴 SELL Mar 11, 2026 9:35am ET $47.87 168 $8,041.32 $8,043.85 +$404.04
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
6d held
5 🟢 BUY Mar 12, 2026 9:35am ET $46.78 171 $7,999.38
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET $44.38 171 $7,588.98 $7,633.45 $-410.40
(-5.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
11d held
6 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET $43.50 175 $7,612.50
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 9:30am ET $45.89 175 $8,030.75 $8,051.70 +$418.25
(+5.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
7 🟢 BUY Mar 26, 2026 9:30am ET $46.35 173 $8,018.55
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 10:40am ET $42.87 173 $7,416.51 $7,449.66 $-602.04
(-7.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 3:10pm ET $40.81 182 $7,426.51
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 12:10pm ET $42.85 182 $7,798.70 $7,821.85 +$372.19
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
21h held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 2:20pm ET $47.96 163 $7,817.87
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 3:50pm ET $50.40 163 $8,216.01 $8,219.99 +$398.14
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 2:55pm ET $51.83 158 $8,188.35
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $55.14 158 $8,712.12 $8,743.76 +$523.77
(+6.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
18.6h held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 9:30am ET $62.37 140 $8,731.80
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 1:00pm ET $65.64 140 $9,188.90 $9,200.86 +$457.10
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.5h held
12 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 12:30pm ET $64.82 141 $9,140.32
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 12:20pm ET $68.19 141 $9,615.49 $9,676.03 +$475.17
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.8h held
13 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 9:40am ET $66.93 144 $9,637.92
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 9:30am ET $82.07 144 $11,818.08 $11,856.19 +$2,180.16
(+22.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
4d held
14 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET $81.47 145 $11,813.15
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET $86.17 145 $12,494.94 $12,537.98 +$681.79
(+5.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
15 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 3:00pm ET $92.54 135 $12,493.57
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 10:00am ET $98.28 135 $13,267.81 $13,312.22 +$774.24
(+6.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
19h held
16 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 11:35am ET $97.84 136 $13,306.25
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 9:35am ET $103.47 136 $14,071.92 $14,077.89 +$765.67
(+5.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
22h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $14,077.89
Net Profit/Loss: +$4,077.89
Total Return: +40.78%
Back to Reversion