Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 09:46:38

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
33 neutral
20d Trend
-14.2%
5d Trend
-15.0%
EMA20 Dist
-11.4%
ATR%
6.1%
Range Pos
0%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

11
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
6.4/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.0/10
Raw Quality 11.4/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 11.2

30-Day Momentum

3
-29.6%
30d Return
17%
Win Rate
6
Trades
0.5×
Profit Factor
Quality: 4.3 Conf: 0.74×
Cooling (-8 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,856
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$9,989.57
Current Value
$6,680.10
Period P&L
$-3,309.47
Max Drawdown
-26.6%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.50

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
13
Winners / Losers
4 / 9
Best Trade
+5.16%
Worst Trade
-9.13%
Avg Trade Return
-2.88%
Avg Hold Time
2.8d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$214,176.23
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-3,309.47
Net P&L (after fees)
$-3,309.47
Gross Return
-33.13%
Net Return (after fees)
-33.13%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 LCID Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 13 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Reversion had $9,989.57 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 11, 2026 9:35am ET $10.65 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 10:00am ET $10.43 0 $0.00 $9,783.21 $-206.36
(-2.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 9:30am ET $9.63 1,015 $9,774.45
🔴 SELL Mar 9, 2026 11:30am ET $10.11 1,015 $10,266.32 $10,275.08 +$491.87
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
3 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2026 1:30pm ET $10.44 984 $10,268.04
🔴 SELL Mar 20, 2026 1:30pm ET $10.33 984 $10,164.72 $10,171.76 $-103.32
(-1.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
4 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 3:25pm ET $10.36 981 $10,168.06
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 9:50am ET $9.63 981 $9,446.05 $9,449.74 $-722.02
(-7.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8d held
5 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 3:10pm ET $9.11 1,037 $9,447.07
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 1:20pm ET $9.58 1,037 $9,932.07 $9,934.74 +$485.00
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.2h held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET $9.40 1,056 $9,926.40
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 1:45pm ET $9.89 1,056 $10,438.56 $10,446.90 +$512.16
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.3h held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 9:30am ET $9.22 1,133 $10,446.26
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 9:30am ET $8.45 1,133 $9,576.12 $9,576.76 $-870.14
(-8.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 9:30am ET $8.74 1,096 $9,575.75
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 9:30am ET $8.11 1,096 $8,894.04 $8,895.05 $-681.71
(-7.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 1:15pm ET $7.61 1,168 $8,888.48
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 9:30am ET $7.05 1,168 $8,240.24 $8,246.81 $-648.24
(-7.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 12:35pm ET $7.27 1,134 $8,244.18
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET $6.66 1,134 $7,552.10 $7,554.73 $-692.08
(-8.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 2:55pm ET $6.30 1,198 $7,553.39
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET $5.84 1,198 $6,996.32 $6,997.66 $-557.07
(-7.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8d held
12 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET $5.83 1,200 $6,996.00
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 12:20pm ET $6.13 1,200 $7,350.00 $7,351.66 +$354.00
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held
13 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 3:20pm ET $6.64 1,108 $7,351.58
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 9:30am ET $6.03 1,108 $6,680.02 $6,680.10 $-671.56
(-9.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $6,680.10
Net Profit/Loss: $-3,319.90
Total Return: -33.20%
Back to Reversion