Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 11:09:44

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
62.3 neutral
20d Trend
+5.9%
5d Trend
+0.9%
EMA20 Dist
+1.9%
ATR%
1.9%
Range Pos
83%
Bounce Ratio
2.8×
Green/Red 10d
6/4
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

11
Lifetime
Confidence: 74%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
8.4/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
6.2/10
Raw Quality 14.6/100
× Confidence 0.74 = 10.9

30-Day Momentum

0
-6.1%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
3
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 0.0 Conf: 0.61×
Declining (-11 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (74%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,789
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$10,315.83
Current Value
$9,287.29
Period P&L
$-1,028.54
Max Drawdown
-3.4%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.59

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
6
Winners / Losers
2 / 4
Best Trade
+2.87%
Worst Trade
-5.23%
Avg Trade Return
-1.70%
Avg Hold Time
8.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$98,974.82
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,028.54
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,028.54
Gross Return
-9.97%
Net Return (after fees)
-9.97%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MDT Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 6 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Reversion had $10,315.83 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 11, 2026 9:45am ET $99.09 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 10:10am ET $100.16 0 $0.00 $10,427.11 +$111.28
(+1.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 9:35am ET $91.66 113 $10,357.58
🔴 SELL Mar 16, 2026 10:35am ET $88.06 113 $9,950.78 $10,020.31 $-406.80
(-3.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
3 🟢 BUY Mar 17, 2026 2:25pm ET $88.23 113 $9,969.99
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 2:25pm ET $87.08 113 $9,840.04 $9,890.36 $-129.95
(-1.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
4 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 3:50pm ET $85.71 115 $9,856.65
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 3:50pm ET $88.17 115 $10,139.55 $10,173.26 +$282.90
(+2.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 9:30am ET $87.11 116 $10,104.18
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET $83.87 116 $9,728.92 $9,798.00 $-375.26
(-3.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 9:30am ET $83.50 117 $9,768.92
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 9:30am ET $79.13 117 $9,258.21 $9,287.29 $-510.71
(-5.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,287.29
Net Profit/Loss: $-712.71
Total Return: -7.13%
Back to Reversion