Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-07 06:32:01

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
45.7 neutral
20d Trend
+4.0%
5d Trend
-8.3%
EMA20 Dist
-2.4%
ATR%
4.3%
Range Pos
42%
Bounce Ratio
2.4×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

31
Lifetime
Confidence: 88%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
6.9/35
Total Return
9.6/25
Win Rate
10.0/15
Profit Factor
1.8/15
Consistency
6.7/10
Raw Quality 35.0/100
× Confidence 0.88 = 30.8

30-Day Momentum

19
+3.3%
30d Return
75%
Win Rate
4
Trades
1.2×
Profit Factor
Quality: 29.5 Conf: 0.66×
Declining (-11 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (88%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,758
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-09 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
61 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$11,523.24
Current Value
$11,340.99
Period P&L
$-182.25
Max Drawdown
-6.8%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.01

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
7
Winners / Losers
4 / 3
Best Trade
+7.12%
Worst Trade
-8.46%
Avg Trade Return
-0.04%
Avg Hold Time
6.8d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$157,290.67
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-182.25
Net P&L (after fees)
$-182.25
Gross Return
-1.58%
Net Return (after fees)
-1.58%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 META Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 61 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 7 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Reversion had $11,523.24 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 9:30am ET $647.48 17 $11,007.16
🔴 SELL Mar 16, 2026 10:30am ET $631.76 17 $10,739.92 $11,256.00 $-267.24
(-2.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 17, 2026 12:55pm ET $623.94 18 $11,230.84
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 9:35am ET $578.54 18 $10,413.81 $10,438.97 $-817.03
(-7.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
8.9d held
3 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 9:35am ET $537.22 19 $10,207.18
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 12:45pm ET $565.61 19 $10,746.59 $10,978.38 +$539.41
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.1d held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET $565.70 19 $10,748.21
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $606.00 19 $11,514.00 $11,744.17 +$765.79
(+7.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
6d held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 2:05pm ET $629.10 18 $11,323.80
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 11:35am ET $663.20 18 $11,937.60 $12,357.97 +$613.80
(+5.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.9d held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 2:00pm ET $671.12 18 $12,080.16
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET $671.69 18 $12,090.42 $12,368.23 +$10.26
(+0.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
11.8d held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET $674.40 18 $12,139.11
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 9:30am ET $617.33 18 $11,111.87 $11,340.99 $-1,027.24
(-8.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,340.99
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,340.99
Total Return: +13.41%
Back to Reversion