Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-06 05:15:59

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
45 neutral
20d Trend
-0.3%
5d Trend
-10.0%
EMA20 Dist
-6.7%
ATR%
7.8%
Range Pos
52%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 5, 2026

13
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
9.3/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.3/10
Raw Quality 13.5/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 13.3

30-Day Momentum

3
-8.1%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
4
Trades
0.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 5.2 Conf: 0.66×
Cooling (-10 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,825
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
61 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$9,913.79
Current Value
$8,826.92
Period P&L
$-1,086.87
Max Drawdown
-17.6%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.17

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
12
Winners / Losers
7 / 5
Best Trade
+5.73%
Worst Trade
-7.20%
Avg Trade Return
-0.84%
Avg Hold Time
3.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$157,881.13
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,086.87
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,086.87
Gross Return
-10.96%
Net Return (after fees)
-10.96%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MRNA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 61 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 12 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Reversion had $9,913.79 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 10:00am ET $39.61 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 10:25am ET $40.25 0 $0.00 $10,073.77 +$159.98
(+1.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 1:20pm ET $43.39 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 2:40pm ET $42.31 0 $0.00 $9,823.21 $-250.56
(-2.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 12, 2026 11:25am ET $39.03 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 12, 2026 12:05pm ET $39.47 0 $0.00 $9,932.37 +$109.16
(+1.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 13, 2026 12:25pm ET $42.54 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 13, 2026 2:20pm ET $43.13 0 $0.00 $10,068.67 +$136.30
(+1.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 9:30am ET $50.90 197 $10,027.30
🔴 SELL Mar 9, 2026 9:30am ET $53.50 197 $10,539.50 $10,580.87 +$512.20
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
6 🟢 BUY Mar 12, 2026 9:30am ET $54.77 193 $10,570.61
🔴 SELL Mar 20, 2026 3:25pm ET $50.85 193 $9,815.01 $9,825.27 $-755.60
(-7.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
8.2d held
7 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 3:55pm ET $51.26 191 $9,790.66
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 12:45pm ET $53.97 191 $10,308.75 $10,343.36 +$518.09
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 10:00am ET $52.80 195 $10,296.00
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 10:10am ET $49.00 195 $9,555.00 $9,602.36 $-741.00
(-7.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 2:25pm ET $50.65 189 $9,572.85
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 9:30am ET $50.99 189 $9,637.11 $9,666.62 +$64.26
(+0.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
11.8d held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 1:00pm ET $52.49 184 $9,658.16
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET $55.50 184 $10,212.00 $10,220.46 +$553.84
(+5.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 11:10am ET $54.17 188 $10,183.96
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 9:40am ET $50.37 188 $9,469.56 $9,506.06 $-714.40
(-7.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6.9d held
12 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 9:45am ET $48.28 196 $9,461.90
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 11:05am ET $44.81 196 $8,782.76 $8,826.92 $-679.14
(-7.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $8,826.92
Net Profit/Loss: $-1,173.08
Total Return: -11.73%
Back to Reversion