Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 09:46:18

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
37.4 neutral
20d Trend
-12.8%
5d Trend
-1.7%
EMA20 Dist
-6.9%
ATR%
5.6%
Range Pos
6%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

67
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
27.3/35
Total Return
16.5/25
Win Rate
12.0/15
Profit Factor
6.0/15
Consistency
6.4/10
Raw Quality 68.3/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 67.4

30-Day Momentum

70
+41.6%
30d Return
100%
Win Rate
6
Trades
10.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 94.3 Conf: 0.74×
Steady (+3 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,888
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
63 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$13,180.80
Current Value
$19,674.91
Period P&L
$6,494.11
Max Drawdown
-12.4%
Sharpe Ratio
0.52

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
16
Winners / Losers
13 / 3
Best Trade
+9.59%
Worst Trade
-7.42%
Avg Trade Return
+2.72%
Avg Hold Time
1.9d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$386,435.89
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$6,494.11
Net P&L (after fees)
$6,494.11
Gross Return
+49.27%
Net Return (after fees)
+49.27%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MU Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 63 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 16 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Reversion had $13,180.80 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 9:30am ET $372.60 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 10:00am ET $377.50 0 $0.00 $13,352.30 +$171.50
(+1.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 12, 2026 11:20am ET $414.93 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 12, 2026 11:40am ET $419.37 0 $0.00 $13,494.38 +$142.08
(+1.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 13, 2026 9:30am ET $397.77 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 13, 2026 10:05am ET $404.12 0 $0.00 $13,704.24 +$209.86
(+1.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 12:30pm ET $385.52 35 $13,493.20
🔴 SELL Mar 9, 2026 9:55am ET $357.86 35 $12,525.10 $12,736.14 $-968.10
(-7.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held
5 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2026 12:05pm ET $410.74 31 $12,732.94
🔴 SELL Mar 16, 2026 9:30am ET $446.54 31 $13,842.74 $13,845.94 +$1,109.80
(+8.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
5.9d held
6 🟢 BUY Mar 19, 2026 9:30am ET $424.00 32 $13,568.00
🔴 SELL Mar 19, 2026 10:15am ET $449.11 32 $14,371.36 $14,649.30 +$803.36
(+5.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
45m held
7 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 11:40am ET $411.02 35 $14,385.70
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 9:30am ET $381.95 35 $13,368.25 $13,631.85 $-1,017.45
(-7.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 26, 2026 9:30am ET $367.71 37 $13,605.45
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 10:30am ET $340.44 37 $12,596.28 $12,622.68 $-1,009.17
(-7.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
9 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 11:50am ET $316.86 39 $12,357.73
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 3:00pm ET $332.77 39 $12,978.03 $13,242.97 +$620.29
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.2h held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET $340.91 38 $12,954.43
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 10:10am ET $358.14 38 $13,609.32 $13,897.86 +$654.89
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
40m held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 1:15pm ET $377.93 36 $13,605.48
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $414.18 36 $14,910.66 $15,203.04 +$1,305.18
(+9.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.8d held
12 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 9:40am ET $410.40 37 $15,184.80
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET $436.00 37 $16,132.00 $16,150.24 +$947.20
(+6.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
4d held
13 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 10:05am ET $449.54 35 $15,733.73
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 10:30am ET $474.45 35 $16,605.92 $17,022.44 +$872.20
(+5.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
7d held
14 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 1:45pm ET $475.27 35 $16,634.62
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 10:10am ET $499.12 35 $17,469.20 $17,857.02 +$834.58
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
20.4h held
15 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET $502.27 35 $17,579.45
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET $527.40 35 $18,459.00 $18,736.57 +$879.55
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
16 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 9:30am ET $511.03 36 $18,397.08
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 9:55am ET $537.09 36 $19,335.42 $19,674.91 +$938.34
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
25m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $19,674.91
Net Profit/Loss: +$9,674.91
Total Return: +96.75%
Back to Reversion