Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-07 09:19:55

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
58.2 neutral
20d Trend
+92.9%
5d Trend
-10.5%
EMA20 Dist
+4.3%
ATR%
12.0%
Range Pos
60%
Bounce Ratio
0.8×
Green/Red 10d
2/8

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

24
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.8/35
Total Return
7.7/25
Win Rate
8.4/15
Profit Factor
0.5/15
Consistency
6.6/10
Raw Quality 23.9/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 23.7

30-Day Momentum

56
+21.7%
30d Return
83%
Win Rate
6
Trades
2.4×
Profit Factor
Quality: 75.6 Conf: 0.74×
Accelerating (+32 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,762
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-07 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$8,623.94
Current Value
$10,734.73
Period P&L
$2,110.79
Max Drawdown
-30.6%
Sharpe Ratio
0.42

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
11
Winners / Losers
8 / 3
Best Trade
+7.93%
Worst Trade
-7.80%
Avg Trade Return
+2.17%
Avg Hold Time
3.5d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$166,653.15
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$2,110.79
Net P&L (after fees)
$2,110.79
Gross Return
+24.48%
Net Return (after fees)
+24.48%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 NET Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 11 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Reversion had $8,623.94 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 11, 2026 11:25am ET $192.02 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 11:50am ET $187.82 0 $0.00 $8,439.14 $-184.80
(-2.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 12, 2026 12:10pm ET $183.29 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 12, 2026 2:35pm ET $185.99 0 $0.00 $8,563.34 +$124.20
(+1.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 9:30am ET $190.00 45 $8,550.00
🔴 SELL Mar 9, 2026 10:55am ET $199.64 45 $8,983.80 $8,997.14 +$433.80
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
4 🟢 BUY Mar 11, 2026 12:20pm ET $209.76 42 $8,809.92
🔴 SELL Mar 18, 2026 1:15pm ET $221.46 42 $9,301.32 $9,488.54 +$491.40
(+5.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
7d held
5 🟢 BUY Mar 20, 2026 2:35pm ET $217.04 43 $9,332.51
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 10:35am ET $201.55 43 $8,666.65 $8,822.68 $-665.86
(-7.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6.8d held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 2:20pm ET $207.03 42 $8,695.26
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $223.45 42 $9,384.69 $9,512.11 +$689.43
(+7.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
6.8d held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 9:30am ET $205.20 46 $9,439.20
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 11:00am ET $189.19 46 $8,702.74 $8,775.65 $-736.46
(-7.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.5h held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 2:05pm ET $179.59 48 $8,620.32
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 10:35am ET $188.69 48 $9,057.12 $9,212.45 +$436.80
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
20.5h held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 9:45am ET $194.96 47 $9,163.35
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 9:30am ET $205.33 47 $9,650.51 $9,699.61 +$487.16
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
4d held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET $200.42 48 $9,620.16
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 12:05pm ET $210.86 48 $10,121.28 $10,200.73 +$501.12
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.1d held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 3:30pm ET $208.54 48 $10,010.16
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 9:30am ET $219.67 48 $10,544.16 $10,734.73 +$534.00
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
5.8d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,734.73
Net Profit/Loss: +$734.73
Total Return: +7.35%
Back to Reversion