Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 07:50:17

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
30.2 neutral
20d Trend
-10.9%
5d Trend
-5.8%
EMA20 Dist
-5.4%
ATR%
3.3%
Range Pos
4%
Bounce Ratio
0.9×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

5
Lifetime
Confidence: 84%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
2.9/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.5/10
Raw Quality 6.4/100
× Confidence 0.84 = 5.3

30-Day Momentum

0
-5.8%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
3
Trades
0.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 0.0 Conf: 0.61×
Cooling (-5 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (84%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,872
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
61 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$9,255.64
Current Value
$8,604.20
Period P&L
$-651.44
Max Drawdown
-10.6%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.21

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
7
Winners / Losers
2 / 5
Best Trade
+5.12%
Worst Trade
-9.26%
Avg Trade Return
-0.94%
Avg Hold Time
6d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$106,818.85
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-651.44
Net P&L (after fees)
$-651.44
Gross Return
-7.04%
Net Return (after fees)
-7.04%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 NFLX Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 61 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 7 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Reversion had $9,255.64 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 12, 2026 9:30am ET $78.00 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 12, 2026 10:30am ET $76.17 0 $0.00 $9,039.64 $-216.00
(-2.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 10:10am ET $97.50 92 $8,969.54
🔴 SELL Mar 16, 2026 11:10am ET $95.33 92 $8,770.36 $8,840.46 $-199.18
(-2.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
3 🟢 BUY Mar 17, 2026 1:45pm ET $95.06 92 $8,745.52
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 1:45pm ET $93.44 92 $8,596.94 $8,691.88 $-148.58
(-1.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
4 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 2:30pm ET $92.92 93 $8,641.10
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 10:45am ET $97.67 93 $9,083.31 $9,134.09 +$442.21
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 1:20pm ET $98.64 92 $9,074.88
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 1:30pm ET $103.62 92 $9,533.43 $9,592.64 +$458.55
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
6d held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 2:20pm ET $105.86 90 $9,526.95
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET $96.05 90 $8,644.68 $8,710.37 $-882.27
(-9.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 11:10am ET $94.23 92 $8,669.16
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 11:10am ET $93.08 92 $8,562.99 $8,604.20 $-106.17
(-1.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $8,604.20
Net Profit/Loss: $-1,395.80
Total Return: -13.96%
Back to Reversion