Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 05:17:04

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
18.4 oversold
20d Trend
-19.1%
5d Trend
-12.6%
EMA20 Dist
-11.6%
ATR%
3.8%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.0×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 5, 2026

21
Lifetime
Confidence: 90%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
1.8/35
Total Return
6.6/25
Win Rate
8.2/15
Profit Factor
0.6/15
Consistency
5.7/10
Raw Quality 22.9/100
× Confidence 0.90 = 20.7

30-Day Momentum

44
+15.1%
30d Return
80%
Win Rate
5
Trades
2.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 62.6 Conf: 0.70×
Accelerating (+23 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (90%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,825
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
61 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$10,068.98
Current Value
$10,527.69
Period P&L
$458.71
Max Drawdown
-10.1%
Sharpe Ratio
0.12

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
8
Winners / Losers
5 / 3
Best Trade
+6.05%
Worst Trade
-7.19%
Avg Trade Return
+0.76%
Avg Hold Time
3.9d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$154,781.25
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$458.71
Net P&L (after fees)
$458.71
Gross Return
+4.56%
Net Return (after fees)
+4.56%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 PANW Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 61 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 8 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Reversion had $10,068.98 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 9:45am ET $161.64 62 $10,021.68
🔴 SELL Mar 13, 2026 9:45am ET $170.04 62 $10,542.79 $10,590.09 +$521.11
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
7d held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 17, 2026 12:05pm ET $169.28 62 $10,495.36
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 10:05am ET $157.26 62 $9,750.12 $9,844.85 $-745.24
(-7.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6.9d held
3 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 11:15am ET $156.70 62 $9,715.40
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 9:45am ET $145.43 62 $9,016.66 $9,146.11 $-698.74
(-7.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 9:50am ET $158.17 57 $9,015.69
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 3:15pm ET $167.74 57 $9,561.18 $9,691.60 +$545.49
(+6.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
6.2d held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 9:35am ET $169.73 57 $9,674.61
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 9:45am ET $157.54 57 $8,979.50 $8,996.49 $-695.11
(-7.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 1:25pm ET $160.71 55 $8,839.15
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET $170.40 55 $9,372.00 $9,529.34 +$532.85
(+6.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 9:30am ET $166.61 57 $9,496.77
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 9:55am ET $175.35 57 $9,995.23 $10,027.80 +$498.46
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET $173.73 57 $9,902.61
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 10:25am ET $182.50 57 $10,402.50 $10,527.69 +$499.89
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
4d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,527.69
Net Profit/Loss: +$527.69
Total Return: +5.28%
Back to Reversion