Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-22 14:57:15

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
20
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 1.0
Quiet
RSI(14)
28.2 oversold
20d Trend
-17.1%
5d Trend
-11.3%
EMA20 Dist
-10.7%
ATR%
4.7%
Range Pos
4%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
2/8

Strategy Score Scored Jun 22, 2026

6
Lifetime
Confidence: 85%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
2.9/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.4/10
Raw Quality 7.3/100
× Confidence 0.85 = 6.1

30-Day Momentum

1
-16.0%
30d Return
25%
Win Rate
4
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 1.4 Conf: 0.66×
Cooling (-5 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (85%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,873
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-12-22 → 2026-06-22
Trading Days
126 days
Data Gaps
None (7 market holidays)

Market Closed (7 days)

2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$9,298.59
Current Value
$6,301.00
Period P&L
$-2,997.59
Max Drawdown
-10.9%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.44

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
18
Winners / Losers
7 / 11
Best Trade
+5.38%
Worst Trade
-7.39%
Avg Trade Return
-2.05%
Avg Hold Time
4.7d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$184,896.29
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-2,997.59
Net P&L (after fees)
$-2,997.59
Gross Return
-32.24%
Net Return (after fees)
-32.24%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 ACN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 126 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 18 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Reversion had $9,298.59 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jan 2, 2026 10:15am ET $261.23 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 2, 2026 11:30am ET $263.88 0 $0.00 $9,391.34 +$92.75
(+1.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 9:30am ET $250.33 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 10:40am ET $244.44 0 $0.00 $9,173.41 $-217.93
(-2.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 9:30am ET $233.87 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 9:40am ET $236.71 0 $0.00 $9,284.17 +$110.76
(+1.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 9:40am ET $233.14 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 1:25pm ET $235.50 0 $0.00 $9,376.17 +$92.00
(+1.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Feb 11, 2026 9:35am ET $235.91 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 10:40am ET $231.03 0 $0.00 $9,185.85 $-190.32
(-2.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Feb 12, 2026 9:40am ET $225.54 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 12, 2026 10:45am ET $220.89 0 $0.00 $8,999.85 $-186.00
(-2.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 9:45am ET $213.46 42 $8,965.53
🔴 SELL Mar 11, 2026 11:10am ET $197.70 42 $8,303.40 $8,337.72 $-662.13
(-7.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 13, 2026 11:05am ET $196.10 42 $8,236.41
🔴 SELL Mar 19, 2026 11:20am ET $206.66 42 $8,679.72 $8,781.03 +$443.31
(+5.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
6d held
9 🟢 BUY Mar 20, 2026 2:25pm ET $199.04 44 $8,757.54
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 2:25pm ET $197.01 44 $8,668.66 $8,692.15 $-88.88
(-1.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 9:40am ET $195.19 44 $8,588.36
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 10:50am ET $180.88 44 $7,958.50 $8,062.29 $-629.86
(-7.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
9d held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 12:05pm ET $190.18 42 $7,987.56
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 9:45am ET $176.87 42 $7,428.33 $7,503.06 $-559.23
(-7.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
8.9d held
12 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 9:45am ET $176.15 42 $7,398.30
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 9:45am ET $180.60 42 $7,585.20 $7,689.96 +$186.90
(+2.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
13 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 9:45am ET $174.65 44 $7,684.82
🔴 SELL May 13, 2026 9:45am ET $161.90 44 $7,123.60 $7,128.74 $-561.22
(-7.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
8d held
14 🟢 BUY May 14, 2026 1:40pm ET $164.30 43 $7,064.90
🔴 SELL May 18, 2026 10:00am ET $172.97 43 $7,437.71 $7,501.55 +$372.81
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.8d held
15 🟢 BUY May 19, 2026 1:00pm ET $177.15 42 $7,440.51
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 1:00pm ET $185.55 42 $7,793.31 $7,854.35 +$352.80
(+4.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
16 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 2:25pm ET $195.96 40 $7,838.40
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 9:35am ET $181.71 40 $7,268.20 $7,284.15 $-570.20
(-7.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held
17 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 12:55pm ET $179.39 40 $7,175.60
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 10:35am ET $166.56 40 $6,662.40 $6,770.95 $-513.20
(-7.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6.9d held
18 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 1:50pm ET $170.76 39 $6,659.64
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 2:05pm ET $158.71 39 $6,189.69 $6,301.00 $-469.95
(-7.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $6,301.00
Net Profit/Loss: $-3,699.00
Total Return: -36.99%
Back to Reversion