Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-22 14:52:20

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
20
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 1.0
Quiet
RSI(14)
38.6 neutral
20d Trend
-13.0%
5d Trend
-0.7%
EMA20 Dist
-6.1%
ATR%
7.4%
Range Pos
3%
Bounce Ratio
1.1×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Jun 22, 2026

13
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
7.6/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.7/10
Raw Quality 13.3/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 13.1

30-Day Momentum

58
+23.3%
30d Return
83%
Win Rate
6
Trades
2.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 78.5 Conf: 0.74×
Accelerating (+45 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
12,164
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-12-22 → 2026-06-22
Trading Days
131 days
Data Gaps
None (7 market holidays)

Market Closed (7 days)

2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$7,652.41
Current Value
$8,895.05
Period P&L
$1,242.64
Max Drawdown
-34.1%
Sharpe Ratio
0.10

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
42
Winners / Losers
28 / 14
Best Trade
+7.68%
Worst Trade
-7.70%
Avg Trade Return
+0.48%
Avg Hold Time
1.4d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$334,794.77
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,242.64
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,242.64
Gross Return
+16.24%
Net Return (after fees)
+16.24%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AMC Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 131 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 42 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Reversion had $7,652.41 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Dec 22, 2025 9:45am ET $1.72 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Dec 22, 2025 10:05am ET $1.73 0 $0.00 $7,731.35 +$78.94
(+1.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Dec 26, 2025 9:40am ET $1.63 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Dec 26, 2025 12:05pm ET $1.65 0 $0.00 $7,826.21 +$94.86
(+1.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Dec 29, 2025 9:30am ET $1.66 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Dec 29, 2025 3:50pm ET $1.62 0 $0.00 $7,637.65 $-188.56
(-2.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Dec 31, 2025 9:30am ET $1.59 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Dec 31, 2025 3:00pm ET $1.55 0 $0.00 $7,469.02 $-168.63
(-2.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 9:50am ET $1.55 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 11:00am ET $1.59 0 $0.00 $7,661.74 +$192.72
(+2.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2026 9:35am ET $1.50 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 8, 2026 10:40am ET $1.51 0 $0.00 $7,738.60 +$76.86
(+1.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Jan 9, 2026 2:20pm ET $1.60 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 9, 2026 2:30pm ET $1.62 0 $0.00 $7,859.39 +$120.79
(+1.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Jan 12, 2026 10:30am ET $1.59 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 12, 2026 10:45am ET $1.60 0 $0.00 $7,949.13 +$89.74
(+1.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 9:50am ET $1.57 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 10:35am ET $1.59 0 $0.00 $8,071.03 +$121.90
(+1.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 11:30am ET $1.64 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 21, 2026 12:05pm ET $1.60 0 $0.00 $7,898.27 $-172.76
(-2.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Jan 23, 2026 9:50am ET $1.62 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 23, 2026 10:00am ET $1.64 0 $0.00 $7,990.89 +$92.62
(+1.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Jan 27, 2026 9:35am ET $1.46 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 27, 2026 10:25am ET $1.47 0 $0.00 $8,073.27 +$82.38
(+1.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
13 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 3:15pm ET $1.38 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 30, 2026 9:30am ET $1.40 0 $0.00 $8,190.27 +$117.00
(+1.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
14 🟢 BUY Jan 30, 2026 3:35pm ET $1.35 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 30, 2026 3:40pm ET $1.37 0 $0.00 $8,280.65 +$90.38
(+1.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
15 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 1:15pm ET $1.37 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 2:55pm ET $1.39 0 $0.00 $8,400.30 +$119.65
(+1.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
16 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 11:45am ET $1.45 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 11:55am ET $1.46 0 $0.00 $8,484.56 +$84.26
(+1.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
17 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 9:30am ET $1.37 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 9:30am ET $1.35 0 $0.00 $8,329.74 $-154.82
(-1.8%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
18 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 1:10pm ET $1.34 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 2:20pm ET $1.36 0 $0.00 $8,422.98 +$93.24
(+1.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
19 🟢 BUY Feb 11, 2026 9:30am ET $1.32 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 9:55am ET $1.28 0 $0.00 $8,230.83 $-192.15
(-2.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
20 🟢 BUY Feb 13, 2026 3:10pm ET $1.24 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 13, 2026 3:20pm ET $1.26 0 $0.00 $8,362.22 +$131.39
(+1.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
21 🟢 BUY Mar 5, 2026 12:35pm ET $1.19 7,027 $8,362.13
🔴 SELL Mar 9, 2026 1:20pm ET $1.10 7,027 $7,729.00 $7,729.09 $-633.13
(-7.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
22 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2026 2:20pm ET $1.09 7,090 $7,728.10
🔴 SELL Mar 19, 2026 10:10am ET $1.01 7,090 $7,160.90 $7,161.89 $-567.20
(-7.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
8.8d held
23 🟢 BUY Mar 20, 2026 12:05pm ET $1.01 7,090 $7,160.90
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 2:25pm ET $0.9336 7,090 $6,619.22 $6,620.21 $-541.68
(-7.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
7.1d held
24 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 3:10pm ET $1.00 6,620 $6,620.00
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 12:50pm ET $1.07 6,620 $7,050.30 $7,050.51 +$430.30
(+6.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
25 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 9:40am ET $1.22 5,773 $7,049.99
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $1.32 5,773 $7,591.50 $7,592.02 +$541.51
(+7.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.8h held
26 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 9:45am ET $1.31 5,789 $7,591.69
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 10:15am ET $1.40 5,789 $8,084.92 $8,085.24 +$493.22
(+6.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
30m held
27 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 3:45pm ET $1.36 5,963 $8,085.23
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 2:05pm ET $1.43 5,963 $8,556.90 $8,556.91 +$471.67
(+5.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held
28 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 2:05pm ET $1.57 5,441 $8,555.97
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 3:35pm ET $1.65 5,441 $9,004.85 $9,005.79 +$448.88
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.5h held
29 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 9:30am ET $1.85 4,867 $9,003.95
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 11:05am ET $1.71 4,867 $8,323.54 $8,325.38 $-680.41
(-7.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
30 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 12:50pm ET $1.70 4,897 $8,324.90
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 1:40pm ET $1.58 4,897 $7,737.26 $7,737.74 $-587.64
(-7.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
31 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 9:50am ET $1.60 4,835 $7,736.48
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 2:50pm ET $1.49 4,835 $7,179.98 $7,181.23 $-556.51
(-7.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.2d held
32 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 1:15pm ET $1.45 4,969 $7,180.21
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 10:15am ET $1.53 4,969 $7,602.57 $7,603.59 +$422.36
(+5.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
21h held
33 🟢 BUY May 7, 2026 9:45am ET $1.63 4,675 $7,602.48
🔴 SELL May 8, 2026 9:35am ET $1.51 4,675 $7,059.72 $7,060.82 $-542.77
(-7.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.8h held
34 🟢 BUY May 11, 2026 9:45am ET $1.48 4,780 $7,060.06
🔴 SELL May 12, 2026 9:55am ET $1.37 4,780 $6,524.70 $6,525.46 $-535.36
(-7.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
35 🟢 BUY May 13, 2026 3:25pm ET $1.34 4,869 $6,524.46
🔴 SELL May 19, 2026 9:50am ET $1.41 4,869 $6,864.80 $6,865.80 +$340.34
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
5.8d held
36 🟢 BUY May 21, 2026 9:30am ET $1.48 4,654 $6,864.65
🔴 SELL May 21, 2026 12:50pm ET $1.55 4,654 $7,213.70 $7,214.85 +$349.05
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.3h held
37 🟢 BUY May 22, 2026 1:20pm ET $1.53 4,715 $7,213.95
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 10:00am ET $1.62 4,715 $7,614.73 $7,615.63 +$400.78
(+5.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
6.9d held
38 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 9:30am ET $1.97 3,862 $7,615.48
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 3:50pm ET $1.82 3,862 $7,028.84 $7,028.99 $-586.64
(-7.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3d held
39 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 9:30am ET $1.87 3,768 $7,027.32
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 12:35pm ET $1.97 3,768 $7,422.21 $7,423.88 +$394.89
(+5.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.1d held
40 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 1:30pm ET $2.01 3,693 $7,423.30
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 9:30am ET $2.15 3,693 $7,958.41 $7,959.00 +$535.12
(+7.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
20h held
41 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 12:00pm ET $2.30 3,460 $7,957.65
🔴 SELL Jun 16, 2026 2:05pm ET $2.44 3,460 $8,442.40 $8,443.75 +$484.75
(+6.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.1d held
42 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2026 3:20pm ET $2.69 3,134 $8,442.06
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2026 11:10am ET $2.84 3,134 $8,893.35 $8,895.05 +$451.30
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
19.8h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $8,895.05
Net Profit/Loss: $-1,104.95
Total Return: -11.05%
Back to Reversion