AMD Reversion's Analysis
Last 6 Months: 2025-11-06 to present • 35 trades in period
+61.66%
Last 6 Months Return
$18,086.12
Current Value
63%
Win Rate
$11,187.89
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
30.4 neutral
20d Trend
-15.2%
5d Trend
-20.7%
EMA20 Dist
-16.9%
ATR%
7.4%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.7×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026
37
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
7.5/35
Total Return
14.3/25
Win Rate
7.2/15
Profit Factor
3.1/15
Consistency
5.4/10
Raw Quality
37.4/100
× Confidence 0.98
= 36.7
30-Day Momentum
60
+26.0%
30d Return
83%
Win Rate
6
Trades
2.4×
Profit Factor
Quality: 80.5
Conf: 0.74×
Accelerating (+23 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
16,240
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
138 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)
Market Closed (6 days)
2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)
Period Start Capital
$11,187.89
Current Value
$18,086.12
Period P&L
$6,898.23
Max Drawdown
-23.9%
Sharpe Ratio
0.31
Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)
Trades in Period
35
Winners / Losers
22 /
13
Best Trade
+19.91%
Worst Trade
-7.80%
Avg Trade Return
+1.52%
Avg Hold Time
22.2h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$331,684.96
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$6,898.23
Net P&L (after fees)
$6,898.23
Gross Return
+61.66%
Net Return (after fees)
+61.66%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 AMD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 138 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 6 Months - 35 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Reversion had $11,187.89 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 6, 2025 9:30am ET | $251.78 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 6, 2025 9:50am ET | $245.40 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,907.17 |
$-280.72 (-2.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 11, 2025 10:30am ET | $237.94 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 11, 2025 1:40pm ET | $245.73 | 0 | $0.00 | $11,257.72 |
+$350.55 (+3.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
0m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 13, 2025 9:40am ET | $249.35 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 13, 2025 9:50am ET | $253.26 | 0 | $0.00 | $11,433.45 |
+$175.73 (+1.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 14, 2025 9:30am ET | $236.25 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 14, 2025 9:35am ET | $239.87 | 0 | $0.00 | $11,607.28 |
+$173.83 (+1.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 18, 2025 9:40am ET | $230.77 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 18, 2025 10:00am ET | $225.12 | 0 | $0.00 | $11,325.21 |
$-282.07 (-2.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 20, 2025 11:15am ET | $222.75 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 20, 2025 11:40am ET | $218.25 | 0 | $0.00 | $11,100.21 |
$-225.00 (-2.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 21, 2025 9:35am ET | $203.18 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 21, 2025 10:25am ET | $197.47 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,792.14 |
$-308.07 (-2.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 25, 2025 9:30am ET | $198.07 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 25, 2025 12:20pm ET | $200.63 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,930.38 |
+$138.24 (+1.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 2, 2025 11:10am ET | $218.08 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 3, 2025 9:35am ET | $212.14 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,633.13 |
$-297.25 (-2.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 11, 2025 9:30am ET | $213.42 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 11, 2025 12:20pm ET | $215.85 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,752.23 |
+$119.10 (+1.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 12, 2025 10:25am ET | $214.37 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 12, 2025 11:30am ET | $209.72 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,519.73 |
$-232.50 (-2.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 17, 2025 10:45am ET | $202.80 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 17, 2025 2:15pm ET | $198.64 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,307.57 |
$-212.16 (-2.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 6, 2026 10:40am ET | $213.20 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $207.93 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,054.61 |
$-252.96 (-2.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 7, 2026 9:35am ET | $208.23 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 7, 2026 10:05am ET | $210.35 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,156.47 |
+$101.86 (+1.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $217.25 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 14, 2026 10:10am ET | $219.60 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,264.42 |
+$107.95 (+1.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 26, 2026 9:45am ET | $252.20 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 27, 2026 9:45am ET | $251.74 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,246.13 |
$-18.29 (-0.2%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 29, 2026 10:30am ET | $246.74 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 29, 2026 11:00am ET | $241.48 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,030.47 |
$-215.66 (-2.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $241.24 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 30, 2026 9:35am ET | $244.36 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,158.60 |
+$128.13 (+1.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $211.66 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2026 9:35am ET | $215.39 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,333.91 |
+$175.31 (+1.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 10:00am ET | $196.39 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 10:30am ET | $192.30 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,121.23 |
$-212.68 (-2.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 11, 2026 10:20am ET | $209.63 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 11, 2026 10:40am ET | $212.12 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,240.75 |
+$119.52 (+1.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 12, 2026 11:25am ET | $206.24 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 12, 2026 12:35pm ET | $208.62 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,357.37 |
+$116.62 (+1.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 6, 2026 1:55pm ET | $196.65 | 52 | $10,226.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 11, 2026 9:40am ET | $207.57 | 52 | $10,793.90 | $10,925.21 |
+$567.84 (+5.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.8d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 12, 2026 9:40am ET | $202.10 | 54 | $10,913.41 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $206.40 | 54 | $11,145.33 | $11,157.13 |
+$231.92 (+2.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
11d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $201.39 | 55 | $11,076.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2026 9:30am ET | $211.51 | 55 | $11,632.78 | $11,713.46 |
+$556.33 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $217.85 | 53 | $11,546.31 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $201.85 | 53 | $10,698.05 | $10,865.20 |
$-848.26 (-7.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 3:10pm ET | $193.90 | 56 | $10,858.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 31, 2026 3:25pm ET | $203.74 | 56 | $11,409.44 | $11,415.96 |
+$550.76 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $204.05 | 55 | $11,222.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 2, 2026 11:20am ET | $214.54 | 55 | $11,799.43 | $11,992.64 |
+$576.68 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.8h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 1:00pm ET | $219.36 | 54 | $11,845.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $232.37 | 54 | $12,547.98 | $12,695.18 |
+$702.54 (+5.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 13, 2026 9:40am ET | $244.32 | 51 | $12,460.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 15, 2026 10:35am ET | $256.55 | 51 | $13,084.05 | $13,318.91 |
+$623.73 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 12:45pm ET | $273.34 | 48 | $13,120.51 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 22, 2026 9:30am ET | $291.27 | 48 | $13,980.96 | $14,179.36 |
+$860.45 (+6.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 23, 2026 1:15pm ET | $305.58 | 46 | $14,056.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $336.83 | 46 | $15,494.41 | $15,617.09 |
+$1,437.73 (+10.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
20.3h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 27, 2026 9:35am ET | $338.27 | 46 | $15,560.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $311.88 | 46 | $14,346.25 | $14,402.92 |
$-1,214.17 (-7.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.9h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 29, 2026 9:35am ET | $321.40 | 44 | $14,141.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 2:50pm ET | $337.47 | 44 | $14,848.68 | $15,110.00 |
+$707.08 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5.3h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | May 4, 2026 9:35am ET | $355.94 | 42 | $14,949.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $426.80 | 42 | $17,925.60 | $18,086.12 |
+$2,976.12 (+19.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$18,086.12
Net Profit/Loss:
+$8,086.12
Total Return:
+80.86%