Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 4: RECOVERY
Signals generated 2026-06-21 17:29:42

Bounce in progress. Hold existing positions, let trailing stops manage exits.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.8
Unsettled
RSI(14)
62.5 neutral
20d Trend
-0.6%
5d Trend
+4.3%
EMA20 Dist
+4.6%
ATR%
2.6%
Range Pos
93%
Bounce Ratio
2.4×
Green/Red 10d
7/3

Strategy Score Scored Jun 21, 2026

37
Lifetime
Confidence: 83%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
13.5/35
Total Return
11.2/25
Win Rate
9.5/15
Profit Factor
3.8/15
Consistency
6.7/10
Raw Quality 44.7/100
× Confidence 0.83 = 36.9

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (83%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,660
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-12-22 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
124 days
Data Gaps
None (7 market holidays)

Market Closed (7 days)

2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$11,008.29
Current Value
$12,151.98
Period P&L
$1,143.69
Max Drawdown
-5.6%
Sharpe Ratio
0.21

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
14
Winners / Losers
8 / 6
Best Trade
+5.46%
Worst Trade
-7.40%
Avg Trade Return
+0.78%
Avg Hold Time
5.5d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$234,327.41
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,143.69
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,143.69
Gross Return
+10.39%
Net Return (after fees)
+10.39%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 BIIB Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 124 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 14 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Reversion had $11,008.29 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 10:45am ET $172.26 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 12:20pm ET $174.08 0 $0.00 $11,122.95 +$114.66
(+1.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 14, 2026 9:30am ET $172.66 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 14, 2026 9:45am ET $167.17 0 $0.00 $10,771.27 $-351.68
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET $160.94 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 9:40am ET $162.96 0 $0.00 $10,904.26 +$132.99
(+1.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 9:30am ET $193.08 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 9:35am ET $196.09 0 $0.00 $11,072.82 +$168.56
(+1.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 9:35am ET $182.60 60 $10,956.01
🔴 SELL Mar 11, 2026 10:40am ET $192.15 60 $11,528.70 $11,645.51 +$572.69
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
5d held
6 🟢 BUY Mar 12, 2026 3:00pm ET $185.87 62 $11,523.94
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET $183.48 62 $11,375.76 $11,497.33 $-148.18
(-1.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
10.8d held
7 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 9:35am ET $182.70 62 $11,327.41
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 2:45pm ET $192.02 62 $11,905.24 $12,075.16 +$577.83
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.2d held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 3:20pm ET $183.82 65 $11,948.30
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 1:35pm ET $170.21 65 $11,063.65 $11,190.51 $-884.65
(-7.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
9.9d held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 10:40am ET $176.62 63 $11,126.75
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 9:30am ET $180.28 63 $11,357.64 $11,421.40 +$230.89
(+2.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
11d held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 9:30am ET $182.36 62 $11,306.32
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 10:20am ET $192.32 62 $11,923.53 $12,038.61 +$617.21
(+5.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 11:30am ET $188.07 64 $12,036.48
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 9:30am ET $186.24 64 $11,919.04 $11,921.17 $-117.44
(-1.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
10.9d held
12 🟢 BUY May 6, 2026 12:15pm ET $188.52 63 $11,876.76
🔴 SELL May 11, 2026 9:45am ET $198.58 63 $12,510.54 $12,554.95 +$633.78
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.9d held
13 🟢 BUY May 12, 2026 3:45pm ET $200.24 62 $12,414.88
🔴 SELL May 22, 2026 3:45pm ET $193.77 62 $12,013.74 $12,153.81 $-401.14
(-3.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
14 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 12:40pm ET $198.48 61 $12,107.28
🔴 SELL Jun 8, 2026 9:30am ET $198.45 61 $12,105.45 $12,151.98 $-1.83
(-0.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
11.9d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,151.98
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,151.98
Total Return: +21.52%
Back to Reversion