Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-06 07:50:24

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
62.5 neutral
20d Trend
-0.6%
5d Trend
+4.3%
EMA20 Dist
+4.6%
ATR%
2.6%
Range Pos
93%
Bounce Ratio
2.4×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

37
Lifetime
Confidence: 85%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
12.1/35
Total Return
10.8/25
Win Rate
10.3/15
Profit Factor
3.7/15
Consistency
6.5/10
Raw Quality 43.4/100
× Confidence 0.85 = 37.0

30-Day Momentum

3
-1.3%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
4
Trades
0.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 5.2 Conf: 0.66×
Declining (-34 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (85%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,877
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
128 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)

Market Closed (6 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$10,654.86
Current Value
$11,921.17
Period P&L
$1,266.31
Max Drawdown
-5.6%
Sharpe Ratio
0.26

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
14
Winners / Losers
10 / 4
Best Trade
+5.46%
Worst Trade
-7.40%
Avg Trade Return
+0.87%
Avg Hold Time
3.7d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$161,298.76
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,266.31
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,266.31
Gross Return
+11.88%
Net Return (after fees)
+11.88%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 BIIB Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 128 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 14 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Reversion had $10,654.86 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Nov 17, 2025 9:45am ET $164.12 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Nov 17, 2025 9:50am ET $166.12 0 $0.00 $10,782.86 +$128.00
(+1.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Dec 10, 2025 9:30am ET $172.72 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Dec 10, 2025 11:00am ET $174.50 0 $0.00 $10,893.22 +$110.36
(+1.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Dec 16, 2025 9:35am ET $170.17 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Dec 16, 2025 3:15pm ET $171.97 0 $0.00 $11,008.29 +$115.07
(+1.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 10:45am ET $172.26 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 12:20pm ET $174.08 0 $0.00 $11,122.95 +$114.66
(+1.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 14, 2026 9:30am ET $172.66 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 14, 2026 9:45am ET $167.17 0 $0.00 $10,771.27 $-351.68
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET $160.94 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 9:40am ET $162.96 0 $0.00 $10,904.26 +$132.99
(+1.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 9:30am ET $193.08 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 9:35am ET $196.09 0 $0.00 $11,072.82 +$168.56
(+1.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 9:35am ET $182.60 60 $10,956.01
🔴 SELL Mar 11, 2026 10:40am ET $192.15 60 $11,528.70 $11,645.51 +$572.69
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
5d held
9 🟢 BUY Mar 12, 2026 3:00pm ET $185.87 62 $11,523.94
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET $183.48 62 $11,375.76 $11,497.33 $-148.18
(-1.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
10.8d held
10 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 9:35am ET $182.70 62 $11,327.41
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 2:45pm ET $192.02 62 $11,905.24 $12,075.16 +$577.83
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.2d held
11 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 3:20pm ET $183.82 65 $11,948.30
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 1:35pm ET $170.21 65 $11,063.65 $11,190.51 $-884.65
(-7.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
9.9d held
12 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 10:40am ET $176.62 63 $11,126.75
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 9:30am ET $180.28 63 $11,357.64 $11,421.40 +$230.89
(+2.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
11d held
13 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 9:30am ET $182.36 62 $11,306.32
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 10:20am ET $192.32 62 $11,923.53 $12,038.61 +$617.21
(+5.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
14 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 11:30am ET $188.07 64 $12,036.48
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 9:30am ET $186.24 64 $11,919.04 $11,921.17 $-117.44
(-1.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
10.9d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,921.17
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,921.17
Total Return: +19.21%
Back to Reversion