Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-06-22 06:40:45

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
20
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 1.0
Quiet
RSI(14)
49.7 neutral
20d Trend
-0.3%
5d Trend
+0.4%
EMA20 Dist
-0.2%
ATR%
2.1%
Range Pos
72%
Bounce Ratio
0.9×
Green/Red 10d
5/5

Strategy Score Scored Jun 21, 2026

60
Lifetime
Confidence: 87%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
22.1/35
Total Return
15.1/25
Win Rate
12.6/15
Profit Factor
12.7/15
Consistency
7.1/10
Raw Quality 69.6/100
× Confidence 0.87 = 60.3

30-Day Momentum

58
+17.8%
30d Return
100%
Win Rate
4
Trades
10.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 87.6 Conf: 0.66×
Cooling (-2 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (87%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
10,947
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-12-22 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
128 days
Data Gaps
None (7 market holidays)

Market Closed (7 days)

2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$11,167.04
Current Value
$16,401.61
Period P&L
$5,234.57
Max Drawdown
-10.1%
Sharpe Ratio
0.77

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
17
Winners / Losers
13 / 4
Best Trade
+6.85%
Worst Trade
-2.19%
Avg Trade Return
+2.35%
Avg Hold Time
5.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$301,470.04
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$5,234.57
Net P&L (after fees)
$5,234.57
Gross Return
+46.88%
Net Return (after fees)
+46.88%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 C Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 128 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 17 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Reversion had $11,167.04 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jan 12, 2026 9:30am ET $117.20 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2026 9:30am ET $117.68 0 $0.00 $11,213.12 +$46.08
(+0.4%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 14, 2026 9:55am ET $113.26 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 14, 2026 11:50am ET $110.84 0 $0.00 $10,973.54 $-239.58
(-2.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET $114.99 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 10:25am ET $116.29 0 $0.00 $11,097.04 +$123.50
(+1.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 9:30am ET $113.73 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 9:40am ET $115.62 0 $0.00 $11,280.37 +$183.33
(+1.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Feb 12, 2026 10:45am ET $114.63 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 12, 2026 11:40am ET $112.12 0 $0.00 $11,034.38 $-245.99
(-2.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Feb 13, 2026 9:30am ET $109.40 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 13, 2026 10:00am ET $110.74 0 $0.00 $11,168.38 +$134.00
(+1.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 9:30am ET $103.75 107 $11,101.25
🔴 SELL Mar 10, 2026 9:30am ET $110.00 107 $11,770.00 $11,837.13 +$668.75
(+6.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
4d held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 11, 2026 9:30am ET $108.77 108 $11,747.16
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET $112.59 108 $12,159.72 $12,249.69 +$412.56
(+3.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
12d held
9 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET $110.52 110 $12,157.20
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 10:05am ET $116.12 110 $12,773.20 $12,865.69 +$616.00
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
8d held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 12:20pm ET $114.06 112 $12,774.69
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $121.87 112 $13,649.44 $13,740.44 +$874.75
(+6.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
5.9d held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 3:30pm ET $124.92 109 $13,616.38
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 9:30am ET $131.36 109 $14,318.24 $14,442.30 +$701.86
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.8d held
12 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 9:55am ET $131.19 110 $14,430.90
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET $128.77 110 $14,164.19 $14,175.59 $-266.71
(-1.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
11d held
13 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET $127.61 111 $14,164.71
🔴 SELL May 11, 2026 9:30am ET $125.29 111 $13,907.19 $13,918.07 $-257.52
(-1.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
12d held
14 🟢 BUY May 12, 2026 9:30am ET $124.59 111 $13,829.49
🔴 SELL May 22, 2026 9:30am ET $125.99 111 $13,984.34 $14,072.92 +$154.85
(+1.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
15 🟢 BUY May 26, 2026 3:10pm ET $125.31 112 $14,034.16
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 9:50am ET $131.59 112 $14,738.08 $14,776.84 +$703.92
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
6.8d held
16 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 10:10am ET $129.31 114 $14,741.34
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 1:25pm ET $136.43 114 $15,553.59 $15,589.09 +$812.25
(+5.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
8.1d held
17 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 3:55pm ET $139.83 111 $15,521.13
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2026 9:30am ET $147.15 111 $16,333.65 $16,401.61 +$812.52
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
5.7d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $16,401.61
Net Profit/Loss: +$6,401.61
Total Return: +64.02%
Back to Reversion