COIN Reversion's Analysis
Last 6 Months: 2025-11-06 to present • 37 trades in period
+5.71%
Last 6 Months Return
$11,142.64
Current Value
59%
Win Rate
$10,540.73
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
13.1 oversold
20d Trend
-42.6%
5d Trend
-24.4%
EMA20 Dist
-25.8%
ATR%
6.8%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
2/8
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026
25
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
1.4/35
Total Return
9.1/25
Win Rate
9.3/15
Profit Factor
0.5/15
Consistency
5.2/10
Raw Quality
25.4/100
× Confidence 1.00
= 25.3
30-Day Momentum
56
+19.9%
30d Return
80%
Win Rate
5
Trades
2.5×
Profit Factor
Quality: 80.0
Conf: 0.70×
Accelerating (+31 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
16,357
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
137 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)
Market Closed (6 days)
2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)
Period Start Capital
$10,540.73
Current Value
$11,142.64
Period P&L
$601.91
Max Drawdown
-28.5%
Sharpe Ratio
0.06
Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)
Trades in Period
37
Winners / Losers
22 /
15
Best Trade
+6.92%
Worst Trade
-7.61%
Avg Trade Return
+0.21%
Avg Hold Time
1.3d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$179,154.03
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$601.91
Net P&L (after fees)
$601.91
Gross Return
+5.71%
Net Return (after fees)
+5.71%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 COIN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 137 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 6 Months - 37 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Reversion had $10,540.73 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 6, 2025 9:30am ET | $309.00 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 6, 2025 10:30am ET | $302.43 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,317.35 |
$-223.38 (-2.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 7, 2025 9:30am ET | $288.58 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 7, 2025 9:55am ET | $292.00 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,437.05 |
+$119.70 (+1.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 11, 2025 9:30am ET | $313.44 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 11, 2025 9:55am ET | $316.64 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,542.65 |
+$105.60 (+1.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 13, 2025 9:40am ET | $296.79 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 13, 2025 9:50am ET | $300.00 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,655.00 |
+$112.35 (+1.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 14, 2025 9:30am ET | $273.00 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 14, 2025 9:45am ET | $279.83 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,921.46 |
+$266.46 (+2.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 19, 2025 9:35am ET | $259.62 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 19, 2025 10:50am ET | $254.40 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,702.22 |
$-219.24 (-2.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 20, 2025 11:15am ET | $250.28 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 20, 2025 11:50am ET | $243.91 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,434.71 |
$-267.51 (-2.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 21, 2025 10:25am ET | $234.54 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 21, 2025 10:40am ET | $237.16 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,550.21 |
+$115.50 (+1.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 1, 2025 9:30am ET | $259.29 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 1, 2025 9:35am ET | $262.39 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,674.41 |
+$124.20 (+1.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 5, 2025 9:35am ET | $266.88 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 5, 2025 10:00am ET | $271.24 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,844.31 |
+$169.90 (+1.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 11, 2025 9:30am ET | $266.64 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 11, 2025 10:20am ET | $270.30 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,990.74 |
+$146.43 (+1.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 12, 2025 11:00am ET | $265.33 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 12, 2025 12:45pm ET | $268.60 | 0 | $0.00 | $11,124.73 |
+$133.99 (+1.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 15, 2025 9:30am ET | $263.46 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 15, 2025 9:45am ET | $258.14 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,901.29 |
$-223.44 (-2.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 23, 2025 9:35am ET | $243.28 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 24, 2025 9:35am ET | $238.98 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,712.31 |
$-188.98 (-1.8%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 26, 2025 9:55am ET | $234.11 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 26, 2025 11:00am ET | $236.88 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,836.96 |
+$124.65 (+1.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 7, 2026 9:35am ET | $244.38 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 7, 2026 12:30pm ET | $246.91 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,948.28 |
+$111.32 (+1.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 9, 2026 9:45am ET | $238.86 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 9, 2026 10:30am ET | $242.49 | 0 | $0.00 | $11,111.63 |
+$163.35 (+1.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $248.86 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 15, 2026 10:45am ET | $243.77 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,887.67 |
$-223.96 (-2.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $231.88 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 20, 2026 9:40am ET | $234.27 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,997.47 |
+$109.80 (+1.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $218.16 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 23, 2026 12:25pm ET | $221.67 | 0 | $0.00 | $11,172.97 |
+$175.50 (+1.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 27, 2026 9:40am ET | $208.60 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 27, 2026 11:15am ET | $211.13 | 0 | $0.00 | $11,307.06 |
+$134.09 (+1.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $204.46 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 29, 2026 10:00am ET | $200.16 | 0 | $0.00 | $11,070.45 |
$-236.61 (-2.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $189.19 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $186.02 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,886.60 |
$-183.85 (-1.7%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 9:35am ET | $183.56 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 9:45am ET | $185.53 | 0 | $0.00 | $11,002.83 |
+$116.23 (+1.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 4, 2026 9:50am ET | $172.26 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2026 11:40am ET | $168.36 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,757.13 |
$-245.70 (-2.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $162.93 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 9:55am ET | $158.75 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,480.92 |
$-276.21 (-2.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 11, 2026 9:30am ET | $155.73 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 11, 2026 9:55am ET | $152.03 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,233.02 |
$-247.90 (-2.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 12, 2026 9:40am ET | $148.86 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 12, 2026 10:35am ET | $145.59 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,010.66 |
$-222.36 (-2.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $197.60 | 50 | $9,880.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 16, 2026 10:30am ET | $203.18 | 50 | $10,159.00 | $10,289.66 |
+$279.00 (+2.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $205.69 | 50 | $10,284.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 24, 2026 10:20am ET | $190.04 | 50 | $9,502.00 | $9,507.16 |
$-782.50 (-7.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 25, 2026 11:10am ET | $185.43 | 51 | $9,456.93 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 26, 2026 12:35pm ET | $172.34 | 51 | $8,789.34 | $8,839.57 |
$-667.59 (-7.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 12:55pm ET | $161.40 | 54 | $8,715.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 31, 2026 12:40pm ET | $169.83 | 54 | $9,170.82 | $9,294.79 |
+$455.22 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.8h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 2:05pm ET | $174.30 | 53 | $9,237.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $184.94 | 53 | $9,801.82 | $9,858.71 |
+$563.92 (+6.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
6.8d held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2026 9:35am ET | $172.01 | 57 | $9,804.57 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 14, 2026 9:35am ET | $183.92 | 57 | $10,483.44 | $10,537.58 |
+$678.87 (+6.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5d held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2026 9:55am ET | $189.90 | 55 | $10,444.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 16, 2026 12:20pm ET | $199.77 | 55 | $10,987.35 | $11,080.43 |
+$542.85 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.4h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 17, 2026 1:25pm ET | $209.50 | 52 | $10,894.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 27, 2026 1:25pm ET | $197.73 | 52 | $10,281.96 | $10,468.39 |
$-612.04 (-5.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $187.15 | 55 | $10,293.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $199.40 | 55 | $10,967.27 | $11,142.64 |
+$674.25 (+6.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$11,142.64
Net Profit/Loss:
+$1,142.64
Total Return:
+11.43%