Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 07:50:19

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
19.8 oversold
20d Trend
-20.5%
5d Trend
-15.4%
EMA20 Dist
-14.5%
ATR%
4.6%
Range Pos
0%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

11
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
7.4/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.1/10
Raw Quality 11.6/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 11.4

30-Day Momentum

35
+9.4%
30d Return
80%
Win Rate
5
Trades
1.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 49.8 Conf: 0.70×
Accelerating (+24 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
12,703
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
137 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)

Market Closed (6 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$8,907.56
Current Value
$8,273.50
Period P&L
$-634.06
Max Drawdown
-21.3%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.06

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
23
Winners / Losers
14 / 9
Best Trade
+5.96%
Worst Trade
-9.91%
Avg Trade Return
-0.24%
Avg Hold Time
1.9d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$128,476.36
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-634.06
Net P&L (after fees)
$-634.06
Gross Return
-7.12%
Net Return (after fees)
-7.12%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 CRWD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 137 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 23 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Reversion had $8,907.56 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Nov 7, 2025 9:35am ET $522.35 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Nov 7, 2025 12:20pm ET $527.78 0 $0.00 $8,999.95 +$92.39
(+1.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Nov 13, 2025 9:35am ET $534.31 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Nov 14, 2025 9:30am ET $514.78 0 $0.00 $8,687.46 $-312.49
(-3.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Nov 18, 2025 10:00am ET $515.26 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Nov 18, 2025 12:50pm ET $520.47 0 $0.00 $8,770.82 +$83.36
(+1.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Nov 20, 2025 11:20am ET $518.39 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Nov 20, 2025 11:55am ET $507.08 0 $0.00 $8,589.86 $-180.96
(-2.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Nov 21, 2025 9:45am ET $490.96 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Nov 21, 2025 10:30am ET $480.70 0 $0.00 $8,415.44 $-174.42
(-2.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Nov 25, 2025 9:45am ET $494.13 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Nov 25, 2025 9:55am ET $499.62 0 $0.00 $8,508.77 +$93.33
(+1.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Dec 3, 2025 9:30am ET $499.49 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Dec 3, 2025 10:10am ET $505.54 0 $0.00 $8,611.62 +$102.85
(+1.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Jan 2, 2026 10:10am ET $458.75 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 10:00am ET $464.33 0 $0.00 $8,712.06 +$100.44
(+1.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2026 9:40am ET $469.66 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 9, 2026 9:40am ET $470.94 0 $0.00 $8,735.19 +$23.13
(+0.3%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Jan 14, 2026 10:45am ET $460.89 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 15, 2026 9:30am ET $467.45 0 $0.00 $8,853.27 +$118.08
(+1.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 9:55am ET $443.82 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 10:30am ET $448.41 0 $0.00 $8,940.58 +$87.31
(+1.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 9:30am ET $447.43 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 9:55am ET $437.75 0 $0.00 $8,756.75 $-183.83
(-2.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
13 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 9:40am ET $427.87 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 11:40am ET $418.85 0 $0.00 $8,576.30 $-180.45
(-2.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
14 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 9:40am ET $408.92 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 10:20am ET $415.82 0 $0.00 $8,714.30 +$138.00
(+1.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
15 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 1:10pm ET $399.01 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 2:40pm ET $389.90 0 $0.00 $8,523.12 $-191.18
(-2.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
16 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 1:10pm ET $424.53 20 $8,490.60
🔴 SELL Mar 11, 2026 9:35am ET $449.82 20 $8,996.40 $9,028.92 +$505.80
(+6.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.8d held
17 🟢 BUY Mar 12, 2026 11:15am ET $440.77 20 $8,815.30
🔴 SELL Mar 20, 2026 9:55am ET $408.00 20 $8,160.00 $8,373.62 $-655.30
(-7.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
7.9d held
18 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 11:55am ET $411.16 20 $8,223.20
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET $370.43 20 $7,408.60 $7,559.02 $-814.60
(-9.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held
19 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 2:45pm ET $379.26 19 $7,205.85
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 9:30am ET $399.65 19 $7,593.35 $7,946.52 +$387.50
(+5.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
6.8d held
20 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 2:00pm ET $400.65 19 $7,612.35
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 3:50pm ET $421.58 19 $8,010.02 $8,344.19 +$397.67
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.8h held
21 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 9:35am ET $415.58 20 $8,311.70
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 9:35am ET $385.40 20 $7,707.95 $7,740.44 $-603.75
(-7.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
22 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 1:55pm ET $401.29 19 $7,624.51
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 9:30am ET $422.51 19 $8,027.61 $8,143.54 +$403.10
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held
23 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 1:20pm ET $448.86 18 $8,079.48
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 1:20pm ET $456.08 18 $8,209.44 $8,273.50 +$129.96
(+1.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $8,273.50
Net Profit/Loss: $-1,726.50
Total Return: -17.27%
Back to Reversion