Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-06 07:50:16

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
49.6 neutral
20d Trend
-0.6%
5d Trend
+1.6%
EMA20 Dist
+0.2%
ATR%
1.7%
Range Pos
42%
Bounce Ratio
0.9×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

10
Lifetime
Confidence: 81%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.4/35
Total Return
2.7/25
Win Rate
3.8/15
Profit Factor
0.3/15
Consistency
4.7/10
Raw Quality 11.9/100
× Confidence 0.81 = 9.6

30-Day Momentum

34
+6.7%
30d Return
67%
Win Rate
3
Trades
10.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 55.3 Conf: 0.61×
Accelerating (+24 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (81%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
13,103
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
136 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)

Market Closed (6 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$9,286.41
Current Value
$10,113.59
Period P&L
$827.18
Max Drawdown
-10.9%
Sharpe Ratio
0.43

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
11
Winners / Losers
6 / 5
Best Trade
+5.01%
Worst Trade
-2.26%
Avg Trade Return
+0.81%
Avg Hold Time
4.9d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$96,913.31
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$827.18
Net P&L (after fees)
$827.18
Gross Return
+8.91%
Net Return (after fees)
+8.91%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 JPM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 136 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 11 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Reversion had $9,286.41 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Nov 14, 2025 9:30am ET $301.87 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Nov 14, 2025 9:40am ET $305.11 0 $0.00 $9,383.61 +$97.20
(+1.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Dec 9, 2025 12:35pm ET $306.24 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Dec 10, 2025 9:45am ET $299.32 0 $0.00 $9,176.01 $-207.60
(-2.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 12, 2026 9:30am ET $322.47 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2026 9:30am ET $322.34 0 $0.00 $9,172.51 $-3.50
(-0.0%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 9:35am ET $306.57 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 10:20am ET $310.11 0 $0.00 $9,275.17 +$102.66
(+1.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 9:30am ET $310.46 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 9:30am ET $319.23 0 $0.00 $9,529.36 +$254.19
(+2.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Feb 12, 2026 11:05am ET $302.98 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 13, 2026 11:05am ET $302.10 0 $0.00 $9,501.92 $-27.44
(-0.3%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 9:30am ET $285.89 33 $9,434.37
🔴 SELL Mar 16, 2026 10:30am ET $286.97 33 $9,470.01 $9,537.56 +$35.64
(+0.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 18, 2026 9:30am ET $286.37 33 $9,450.21
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 9:30am ET $284.64 33 $9,392.96 $9,480.31 $-57.25
(-0.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
12d held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 12:30pm ET $296.16 32 $9,477.12
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 1:50pm ET $310.99 32 $9,951.84 $9,955.03 +$474.72
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
8.1d held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 9:30am ET $307.47 32 $9,839.04
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET $313.25 32 $10,024.00 $10,139.99 +$184.96
(+1.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 9:30am ET $310.94 32 $9,950.08
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 9:30am ET $310.11 32 $9,923.68 $10,113.59 $-26.40
(-0.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,113.59
Net Profit/Loss: +$113.59
Total Return: +1.14%
Back to Reversion