LCID Reversion's Analysis
Last 6 Months: 2025-11-06 to present • 38 trades in period
-46.81%
Last 6 Months Return
$6,680.10
Current Value
37%
Win Rate
$12,559.43
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
33 neutral
20d Trend
-14.2%
5d Trend
-15.0%
EMA20 Dist
-11.4%
ATR%
6.1%
Range Pos
0%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026
11
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
6.4/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.0/10
Raw Quality
11.4/100
× Confidence 0.98
= 11.2
30-Day Momentum
3
-29.6%
30d Return
17%
Win Rate
6
Trades
0.5×
Profit Factor
Quality: 4.3
Conf: 0.74×
Cooling (-8 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
14,214
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
138 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)
Market Closed (6 days)
2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)
Period Start Capital
$12,559.43
Current Value
$6,680.10
Period P&L
$-5,879.33
Max Drawdown
-26.6%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.41
Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)
Trades in Period
38
Winners / Losers
14 /
24
Best Trade
+5.16%
Worst Trade
-9.13%
Avg Trade Return
-1.57%
Avg Hold Time
1.2d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$214,176.23
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-5,879.33
Net P&L (after fees)
$-5,879.33
Gross Return
-46.81%
Net Return (after fees)
-46.81%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 LCID Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 138 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 6 Months - 38 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Reversion had $12,559.43 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 6, 2025 11:25am ET | $17.20 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 6, 2025 11:50am ET | $17.52 | 0 | $0.00 | $12,789.38 |
+$229.95 (+1.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 12, 2025 9:30am ET | $16.50 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 12, 2025 10:05am ET | $16.13 | 0 | $0.00 | $12,501.31 |
$-288.07 (-2.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 13, 2025 10:25am ET | $15.84 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 13, 2025 12:00pm ET | $15.49 | 0 | $0.00 | $12,225.16 |
$-276.15 (-2.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 14, 2025 9:30am ET | $14.57 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 14, 2025 9:45am ET | $14.80 | 0 | $0.00 | $12,414.44 |
+$189.28 (+1.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 19, 2025 9:35am ET | $12.66 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 19, 2025 9:55am ET | $12.90 | 0 | $0.00 | $12,649.54 |
+$235.10 (+1.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 20, 2025 11:40am ET | $12.30 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 20, 2025 12:40pm ET | $12.01 | 0 | $0.00 | $12,355.02 |
$-294.52 (-2.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 21, 2025 10:30am ET | $11.52 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 21, 2025 10:45am ET | $11.66 | 0 | $0.00 | $12,505.10 |
+$150.08 (+1.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 1, 2025 9:30am ET | $13.13 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 1, 2025 10:10am ET | $12.80 | 0 | $0.00 | $12,186.47 |
$-318.63 (-2.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 5, 2025 11:15am ET | $13.63 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 8, 2025 9:30am ET | $12.86 | 0 | $0.00 | $11,502.56 |
$-683.91 (-5.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 8, 2025 9:35am ET | $12.83 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 8, 2025 10:30am ET | $12.50 | 0 | $0.00 | $11,206.88 |
$-295.68 (-2.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 9, 2025 9:35am ET | $12.37 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 9, 2025 11:45am ET | $12.50 | 0 | $0.00 | $11,320.01 |
+$113.13 (+1.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 11, 2025 9:30am ET | $12.77 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 11, 2025 10:20am ET | $12.90 | 0 | $0.00 | $11,435.19 |
+$115.18 (+1.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 15, 2025 9:50am ET | $12.40 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 15, 2025 11:45am ET | $12.14 | 0 | $0.00 | $11,193.17 |
$-242.02 (-2.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 16, 2025 10:05am ET | $11.64 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 16, 2025 12:55pm ET | $11.37 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,934.50 |
$-258.67 (-2.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 23, 2025 9:35am ET | $11.97 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 23, 2025 12:50pm ET | $11.72 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,701.68 |
$-232.82 (-2.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 26, 2025 9:45am ET | $11.51 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 29, 2025 9:45am ET | $11.31 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,515.68 |
$-186.00 (-1.7%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $11.40 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 7, 2026 9:40am ET | $11.13 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,266.74 |
$-248.94 (-2.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 13, 2026 9:45am ET | $11.00 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 14, 2026 9:45am ET | $10.96 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,224.94 |
$-41.80 (-0.4%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 15, 2026 9:50am ET | $10.58 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 15, 2026 1:50pm ET | $10.32 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,978.61 |
$-246.33 (-2.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $9.66 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 20, 2026 10:40am ET | $9.76 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,081.91 |
+$103.30 (+1.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 22, 2026 3:55pm ET | $11.46 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $11.19 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,844.58 |
$-237.33 (-2.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 23, 2026 9:35am ET | $11.18 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 23, 2026 10:30am ET | $11.34 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,981.42 |
+$136.84 (+1.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $10.74 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 2, 2026 10:00am ET | $10.50 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,755.02 |
$-226.40 (-2.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 11:10am ET | $10.22 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 1:30pm ET | $10.36 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,888.77 |
+$133.75 (+1.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 4, 2026 11:45am ET | $10.30 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2026 12:10pm ET | $10.40 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,989.57 |
+$100.80 (+1.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 11, 2026 9:35am ET | $10.65 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 11, 2026 10:00am ET | $10.43 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,783.21 |
$-206.36 (-2.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $9.63 | 1,015 | $9,774.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 9, 2026 11:30am ET | $10.11 | 1,015 | $10,266.32 | $10,275.08 |
+$491.87 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 10, 2026 1:30pm ET | $10.44 | 984 | $10,268.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 20, 2026 1:30pm ET | $10.33 | 984 | $10,164.72 | $10,171.76 |
$-103.32 (-1.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 23, 2026 3:25pm ET | $10.36 | 981 | $10,168.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 9:50am ET | $9.63 | 981 | $9,446.05 | $9,449.74 |
$-722.02 (-7.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 3:10pm ET | $9.11 | 1,037 | $9,447.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 31, 2026 1:20pm ET | $9.58 | 1,037 | $9,932.07 | $9,934.74 |
+$485.00 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22.2h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $9.40 | 1,056 | $9,926.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 2, 2026 1:45pm ET | $9.89 | 1,056 | $10,438.56 | $10,446.90 |
+$512.16 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.3h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $9.22 | 1,133 | $10,446.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $8.45 | 1,133 | $9,576.12 | $9,576.76 |
$-870.14 (-8.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $8.74 | 1,096 | $9,575.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $8.11 | 1,096 | $8,894.04 | $8,895.05 |
$-681.71 (-7.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 17, 2026 1:15pm ET | $7.61 | 1,168 | $8,888.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $7.05 | 1,168 | $8,240.24 | $8,246.81 |
$-648.24 (-7.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 21, 2026 12:35pm ET | $7.27 | 1,134 | $8,244.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $6.66 | 1,134 | $7,552.10 | $7,554.73 |
$-692.08 (-8.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 24, 2026 2:55pm ET | $6.30 | 1,198 | $7,553.39 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $5.84 | 1,198 | $6,996.32 | $6,997.66 |
$-557.07 (-7.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8d held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $5.83 | 1,200 | $6,996.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 30, 2026 12:20pm ET | $6.13 | 1,200 | $7,350.00 | $7,351.66 |
+$354.00 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | May 4, 2026 3:20pm ET | $6.64 | 1,108 | $7,351.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $6.03 | 1,108 | $6,680.02 | $6,680.10 |
$-671.56 (-9.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$6,680.10
Net Profit/Loss:
$-3,319.90
Total Return:
-33.20%