Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 12:23:20

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
39 neutral
20d Trend
-6.5%
5d Trend
-4.3%
EMA20 Dist
-3.4%
ATR%
2.4%
Range Pos
56%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

22
Lifetime
Confidence: 82%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
3.2/35
Total Return
9.2/25
Win Rate
6.0/15
Profit Factor
2.2/15
Consistency
5.5/10
Raw Quality 26.2/100
× Confidence 0.82 = 21.6

30-Day Momentum

52
+13.1%
30d Return
75%
Win Rate
4
Trades
7.4×
Profit Factor
Quality: 79.3 Conf: 0.66×
Accelerating (+31 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (82%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
10,672
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
133 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)

Market Closed (6 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$9,784.72
Current Value
$11,187.56
Period P&L
$1,402.84
Max Drawdown
-12.8%
Sharpe Ratio
0.36

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
13
Winners / Losers
8 / 5
Best Trade
+6.82%
Worst Trade
-3.36%
Avg Trade Return
+1.09%
Avg Hold Time
3.5d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$122,312.91
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,402.84
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,402.84
Gross Return
+14.34%
Net Return (after fees)
+14.34%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MS Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 133 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 13 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Reversion had $9,784.72 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Nov 14, 2025 9:30am ET $160.46 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Nov 14, 2025 9:45am ET $162.45 0 $0.00 $9,904.12 +$119.40
(+1.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Nov 20, 2025 12:10pm ET $161.16 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Nov 21, 2025 9:40am ET $155.75 0 $0.00 $9,574.11 $-330.01
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET $184.51 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 10:25am ET $186.45 0 $0.00 $9,673.04 +$98.93
(+1.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 10:10am ET $174.99 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 11:55am ET $176.87 0 $0.00 $9,776.44 +$103.40
(+1.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 11:05am ET $178.97 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 11:15am ET $175.25 0 $0.00 $9,575.56 $-200.88
(-2.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Feb 12, 2026 11:00am ET $171.79 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 12, 2026 11:15am ET $168.22 0 $0.00 $9,379.48 $-196.08
(-2.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Feb 13, 2026 9:35am ET $164.36 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 13, 2026 9:45am ET $166.04 0 $0.00 $9,475.24 +$95.76
(+1.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 9:30am ET $159.51 59 $9,411.09
🔴 SELL Mar 16, 2026 10:30am ET $157.94 59 $9,318.46 $9,382.61 $-92.63
(-1.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
9 🟢 BUY Mar 18, 2026 9:30am ET $157.57 59 $9,296.92
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 9:40am ET $166.16 59 $9,803.44 $9,889.13 +$506.52
(+5.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
5d held
10 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 11:10am ET $164.52 60 $9,871.20
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 9:30am ET $166.98 60 $10,018.79 $10,036.72 +$147.59
(+1.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
11.9d held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 9:35am ET $165.66 60 $9,939.60
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $176.96 60 $10,617.60 $10,714.72 +$678.00
(+6.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.9h held
12 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 9:30am ET $175.31 61 $10,693.91
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 11:35am ET $184.54 61 $11,256.94 $11,277.75 +$563.03
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
5.1d held
13 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 3:45pm ET $191.16 58 $11,087.57
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET $189.61 58 $10,997.38 $11,187.56 $-90.19
(-0.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
11.7d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,187.56
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,187.56
Total Return: +11.88%
Back to Reversion