ORCL Reversion's Analysis
Last 6 Months: 2025-11-06 to present • 35 trades in period
-6.37%
Last 6 Months Return
$9,128.66
Current Value
51%
Win Rate
$9,749.74
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
15.8 oversold
20d Trend
-34.3%
5d Trend
-19.1%
EMA20 Dist
-19.9%
ATR%
6.9%
Range Pos
0%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
1/9
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026
12
Lifetime
Confidence: 95%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
7.1/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.0/10
Raw Quality
12.1/100
× Confidence 0.95
= 11.5
30-Day Momentum
10
+0.6%
30d Return
60%
Win Rate
5
Trades
1.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 14.7
Conf: 0.70×
Cooling (-1 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (95%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
16,523
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
138 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)
Market Closed (6 days)
2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)
Period Start Capital
$9,749.74
Current Value
$9,128.66
Period P&L
$-621.08
Max Drawdown
-21.1%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.02
Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)
Trades in Period
35
Winners / Losers
18 /
17
Best Trade
+13.92%
Worst Trade
-7.75%
Avg Trade Return
-0.10%
Avg Hold Time
1.1d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$179,075.99
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-621.08
Net P&L (after fees)
$-621.08
Gross Return
-6.37%
Net Return (after fees)
-6.37%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 ORCL Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 138 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 6 Months - 35 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Reversion had $9,749.74 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 6, 2025 9:30am ET | $245.74 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 6, 2025 10:00am ET | $240.70 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,553.18 |
$-196.56 (-2.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 7, 2025 9:30am ET | $239.63 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 7, 2025 10:55am ET | $234.25 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,343.36 |
$-209.82 (-2.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 11, 2025 10:15am ET | $231.41 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 11, 2025 11:50am ET | $234.09 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,450.76 |
+$107.40 (+1.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 13, 2025 9:35am ET | $221.38 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 13, 2025 10:10am ET | $224.07 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,563.74 |
+$112.98 (+1.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 17, 2025 9:30am ET | $219.40 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 17, 2025 9:35am ET | $221.79 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,666.68 |
+$102.94 (+1.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 20, 2025 11:20am ET | $223.01 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 20, 2025 11:50am ET | $218.04 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,453.00 |
$-213.68 (-2.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 21, 2025 9:30am ET | $205.55 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 21, 2025 9:55am ET | $200.14 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,209.55 |
$-243.45 (-2.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 25, 2025 9:30am ET | $190.46 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 25, 2025 9:40am ET | $186.41 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,015.15 |
$-194.40 (-2.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 28, 2025 9:30am ET | $199.21 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 28, 2025 10:15am ET | $201.62 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,123.60 |
+$108.45 (+1.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 11, 2025 9:30am ET | $189.08 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 11, 2025 9:40am ET | $192.30 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,277.92 |
+$154.32 (+1.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 12, 2025 9:35am ET | $194.77 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 12, 2025 10:55am ET | $187.80 | 0 | $0.00 | $8,950.33 |
$-327.59 (-3.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 15, 2025 9:30am ET | $184.99 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 15, 2025 1:50pm ET | $186.88 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,041.05 |
+$90.72 (+1.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 23, 2025 9:35am ET | $193.84 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 23, 2025 11:20am ET | $195.83 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,132.43 |
+$91.38 (+1.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $188.32 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 8, 2026 12:00pm ET | $190.30 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,227.52 |
+$95.09 (+1.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 14, 2026 9:35am ET | $197.09 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 14, 2026 12:15pm ET | $193.00 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,039.17 |
$-188.35 (-2.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $185.35 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 20, 2026 1:45pm ET | $181.56 | 0 | $0.00 | $8,857.25 |
$-181.92 (-2.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $176.73 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 21, 2026 11:40am ET | $172.51 | 0 | $0.00 | $8,646.25 |
$-211.00 (-2.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $173.12 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 23, 2026 10:05am ET | $175.66 | 0 | $0.00 | $8,770.95 |
+$124.70 (+1.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $177.16 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $175.46 | 0 | $0.00 | $8,687.65 |
$-83.30 (-1.0%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $167.46 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 29, 2026 9:55am ET | $163.56 | 0 | $0.00 | $8,489.00 |
$-198.65 (-2.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $157.76 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 10:10am ET | $153.77 | 0 | $0.00 | $8,277.53 |
$-211.47 (-2.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $148.88 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2026 10:20am ET | $151.11 | 0 | $0.00 | $8,400.18 |
+$122.65 (+1.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 9:45am ET | $143.90 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 10:00am ET | $140.97 | 0 | $0.00 | $8,230.24 |
$-169.94 (-2.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 11, 2026 10:05am ET | $156.07 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 12, 2026 10:05am ET | $157.66 | 0 | $0.00 | $8,312.68 |
+$82.44 (+1.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 12, 2026 11:25am ET | $152.68 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 12, 2026 11:55am ET | $154.37 | 0 | $0.00 | $8,403.94 |
+$91.26 (+1.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 5, 2026 12:55pm ET | $150.57 | 55 | $8,281.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 6, 2026 10:35am ET | $158.23 | 55 | $8,702.65 | $8,825.03 |
+$421.09 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
21.7h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 9, 2026 1:15pm ET | $148.36 | 59 | $8,753.23 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 11, 2026 9:30am ET | $169.01 | 59 | $9,971.30 | $10,043.09 |
+$1,218.06 (+13.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.8d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 12, 2026 12:05pm ET | $160.12 | 62 | $9,927.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 20, 2026 3:10pm ET | $148.83 | 62 | $9,227.46 | $9,343.42 |
$-699.67 (-7.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
8.1d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $152.82 | 61 | $9,322.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $140.98 | 61 | $8,599.78 | $8,621.14 |
$-722.28 (-7.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 9:50am ET | $138.64 | 62 | $8,595.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 31, 2026 1:20pm ET | $145.90 | 62 | $9,045.80 | $9,071.26 |
+$450.12 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 2:00pm ET | $145.65 | 62 | $9,030.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 10, 2026 9:50am ET | $135.20 | 62 | $8,382.40 | $8,423.36 |
$-647.90 (-7.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
8.8d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 14, 2026 2:10pm ET | $161.60 | 52 | $8,403.21 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 15, 2026 9:45am ET | $171.10 | 52 | $8,897.20 | $8,917.36 |
+$494.00 (+5.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
19.6h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 17, 2026 11:45am ET | $177.39 | 50 | $8,869.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 22, 2026 10:10am ET | $187.07 | 50 | $9,353.75 | $9,401.61 |
+$484.25 (+5.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.9d held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 23, 2026 1:20pm ET | $175.93 | 53 | $9,324.29 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $162.43 | 53 | $8,608.79 | $8,686.11 |
$-715.50 (-7.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.8d held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $163.56 | 53 | $8,668.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 11:25am ET | $171.91 | 53 | $9,111.23 | $9,128.66 |
+$442.55 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.1d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$9,128.66
Net Profit/Loss:
$-871.34
Total Return:
-8.71%