Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 05:16:11

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
28.2 oversold
20d Trend
-17.1%
5d Trend
-11.3%
EMA20 Dist
-10.7%
ATR%
4.7%
Range Pos
4%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
2/8
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 5, 2026

7
Lifetime
Confidence: 80%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
3.8/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.6/10
Raw Quality 8.3/100
× Confidence 0.80 = 6.7

30-Day Momentum

0
-11.5%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
3
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 0.0 Conf: 0.61×
Cooling (-7 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (80%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
42,674
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
507 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-05-27 — Memorial Day, 2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$9,893.64
Current Value
$7,689.96
Total P&L
$-2,203.68
Max Drawdown
-10.9%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.24

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
36
Winners / Losers
18 / 18
Best Trade
+5.38%
Worst Trade
-7.39%
Avg Trade Return
-0.66%
Avg Hold Time
1.8d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$98,557.51
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-2,203.68
Net P&L (after fees)
$-2,203.68
Gross Return
-22.27%
Net Return (after fees)
-22.27%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 ACN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 507 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Reversion had $9,893.64 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 9, 2024 9:40am ET $305.18 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL May 10, 2024 9:35am ET $308.61 0 $0.00 $10,003.32 +$109.68
(+1.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
2 🟢 BUY May 30, 2024 9:30am ET $288.10 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL May 31, 2024 9:30am ET $283.79 0 $0.00 $9,856.95 $-146.37
(-1.5%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 26, 2024 9:30am ET $301.70 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jun 26, 2024 11:15am ET $304.75 0 $0.00 $9,954.55 +$97.60
(+1.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2024 9:30am ET $312.76 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Aug 5, 2024 9:45am ET $316.15 0 $0.00 $10,059.79 +$105.24
(+1.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2024 10:10am ET $343.68 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2024 3:20pm ET $336.73 0 $0.00 $9,858.24 $-201.55
(-2.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Oct 30, 2024 9:40am ET $352.71 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Oct 31, 2024 9:40am ET $345.38 0 $0.00 $9,660.33 $-197.91
(-2.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Dec 3, 2024 9:30am ET $351.27 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Dec 4, 2024 9:30am ET $354.33 0 $0.00 $9,742.95 +$82.62
(+0.9%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Dec 23, 2024 9:30am ET $360.46 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Dec 24, 2024 9:30am ET $360.00 0 $0.00 $9,730.53 $-12.42
(-0.1%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Feb 21, 2025 9:30am ET $377.13 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 21, 2025 9:50am ET $368.42 0 $0.00 $9,512.78 $-217.75
(-2.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Feb 28, 2025 9:30am ET $345.29 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 28, 2025 10:10am ET $349.21 0 $0.00 $9,618.62 +$105.84
(+1.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Mar 20, 2025 9:30am ET $299.04 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Mar 20, 2025 9:35am ET $292.65 0 $0.00 $9,413.98 $-204.64
(-2.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Apr 3, 2025 9:30am ET $306.85 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Apr 4, 2025 9:30am ET $297.17 0 $0.00 $9,123.58 $-290.40
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
13 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2025 9:30am ET $279.09 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2025 10:10am ET $287.54 0 $0.00 $9,394.14 +$270.56
(+3.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
14 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2025 9:55am ET $289.69 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2025 11:35am ET $283.17 0 $0.00 $9,185.66 $-208.48
(-2.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
15 🟢 BUY Apr 11, 2025 9:30am ET $278.82 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Apr 11, 2025 12:05pm ET $281.91 0 $0.00 $9,284.54 +$98.88
(+1.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
16 🟢 BUY May 16, 2025 9:30am ET $311.06 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL May 16, 2025 10:10am ET $315.39 0 $0.00 $9,410.11 +$125.57
(+1.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
17 🟢 BUY May 23, 2025 9:30am ET $309.42 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL May 27, 2025 9:30am ET $313.63 0 $0.00 $9,536.26 +$126.15
(+1.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
18 🟢 BUY Jun 20, 2025 9:30am ET $283.24 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jun 20, 2025 9:35am ET $286.80 0 $0.00 $9,653.74 +$117.48
(+1.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
19 🟢 BUY Jul 10, 2025 9:30am ET $286.64 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jul 10, 2025 10:40am ET $289.86 0 $0.00 $9,760.00 +$106.26
(+1.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
20 🟢 BUY Aug 1, 2025 10:00am ET $260.68 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Aug 1, 2025 3:00pm ET $255.31 0 $0.00 $9,561.12 $-198.88
(-2.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
21 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2025 9:35am ET $251.16 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Aug 5, 2025 3:50pm ET $245.87 0 $0.00 $9,359.91 $-201.21
(-2.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
22 🟢 BUY Oct 10, 2025 10:00am ET $245.62 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Oct 13, 2025 9:35am ET $240.30 0 $0.00 $9,157.75 $-202.16
(-2.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
23 🟢 BUY Nov 6, 2025 10:00am ET $241.00 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Nov 7, 2025 10:00am ET $242.16 0 $0.00 $9,200.67 +$42.92
(+0.5%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
24 🟢 BUY Dec 18, 2025 9:45am ET $268.02 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Dec 18, 2025 10:40am ET $270.90 0 $0.00 $9,298.59 +$97.92
(+1.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
25 🟢 BUY Jan 2, 2026 10:15am ET $261.23 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 2, 2026 11:30am ET $263.88 0 $0.00 $9,391.34 +$92.75
(+1.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
26 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 9:30am ET $250.33 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 10:40am ET $244.44 0 $0.00 $9,173.41 $-217.93
(-2.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
27 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 9:30am ET $233.87 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 9:40am ET $236.71 0 $0.00 $9,284.17 +$110.76
(+1.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
28 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 9:40am ET $233.14 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 1:25pm ET $235.50 0 $0.00 $9,376.17 +$92.00
(+1.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
29 🟢 BUY Feb 11, 2026 9:35am ET $235.91 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 10:40am ET $231.03 0 $0.00 $9,185.85 $-190.32
(-2.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
30 🟢 BUY Feb 12, 2026 9:40am ET $225.54 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 12, 2026 10:45am ET $220.89 0 $0.00 $8,999.85 $-186.00
(-2.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
31 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 9:45am ET $213.46 42 $8,965.53
🔴 SELL Mar 11, 2026 11:10am ET $197.70 42 $8,303.40 $8,337.72 $-662.13
(-7.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
32 🟢 BUY Mar 13, 2026 11:05am ET $196.10 42 $8,236.41
🔴 SELL Mar 19, 2026 11:20am ET $206.66 42 $8,679.72 $8,781.03 +$443.31
(+5.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
6d held
33 🟢 BUY Mar 20, 2026 2:25pm ET $199.04 44 $8,757.54
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 2:25pm ET $197.01 44 $8,668.66 $8,692.15 $-88.88
(-1.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
34 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 9:40am ET $195.19 44 $8,588.36
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 10:50am ET $180.88 44 $7,958.50 $8,062.29 $-629.86
(-7.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
9d held
35 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 12:05pm ET $190.18 42 $7,987.56
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 9:45am ET $176.87 42 $7,428.33 $7,503.06 $-559.23
(-7.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
8.9d held
36 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 9:45am ET $176.15 42 $7,398.30
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 9:45am ET $180.60 42 $7,585.20 $7,689.96 +$186.90
(+2.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $7,689.96
Net Profit/Loss: $-2,310.04
Total Return: -23.10%
Back to Reversion