Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 05:15:57

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
19.1 oversold
20d Trend
-20.9%
5d Trend
-12.4%
EMA20 Dist
-13.6%
ATR%
4.1%
Range Pos
3%
Bounce Ratio
0.5×
Green/Red 10d
2/8
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 5, 2026

11
Lifetime
Confidence: 96%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
6.9/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.8/10
Raw Quality 11.7/100
× Confidence 0.96 = 11.3

30-Day Momentum

48
+13.8%
30d Return
75%
Win Rate
4
Trades
2.4×
Profit Factor
Quality: 72.9 Conf: 0.66×
Accelerating (+37 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (96%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
60,742
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
532 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-05-27 — Memorial Day, 2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$11,150.14
Current Value
$9,917.84
Total P&L
$-1,232.30
Max Drawdown
-22.4%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.06

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
74
Winners / Losers
39 / 35
Best Trade
+6.20%
Worst Trade
-7.00%
Avg Trade Return
-0.13%
Avg Hold Time
21.8h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$129,051.04
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,232.30
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,232.30
Gross Return
-11.05%
Net Return (after fees)
-11.05%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 ARKK Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 532 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Reversion had $11,150.14 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 8, 2024 9:30am ET $44.37 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL May 9, 2024 9:30am ET $44.05 0 $0.00 $11,069.82 $-80.32
(-0.7%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Jul 11, 2024 12:00pm ET $45.71 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jul 11, 2024 12:30pm ET $46.19 0 $0.00 $11,187.19 +$117.37
(+1.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 24, 2024 9:30am ET $46.31 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jul 24, 2024 2:30pm ET $45.31 0 $0.00 $10,946.19 $-241.00
(-2.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Aug 2, 2024 9:30am ET $41.71 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Aug 2, 2024 9:35am ET $42.15 0 $0.00 $11,061.47 +$115.28
(+1.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2024 9:30am ET $37.59 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Aug 5, 2024 9:35am ET $38.17 0 $0.00 $11,231.99 +$170.52
(+1.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 6, 2024 10:30am ET $42.37 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Sep 6, 2024 12:25pm ET $41.49 0 $0.00 $10,998.79 $-233.20
(-2.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Oct 1, 2024 10:15am ET $46.09 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Oct 2, 2024 10:15am ET $45.94 0 $0.00 $10,964.28 $-34.51
(-0.3%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Oct 10, 2024 9:45am ET $45.49 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Oct 10, 2024 10:00am ET $45.98 0 $0.00 $11,082.37 +$118.09
(+1.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Oct 31, 2024 9:30am ET $47.24 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Oct 31, 2024 10:40am ET $46.26 0 $0.00 $10,853.05 $-229.32
(-2.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Nov 15, 2024 9:35am ET $52.97 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Nov 15, 2024 9:45am ET $53.62 0 $0.00 $10,985.65 +$132.60
(+1.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Dec 9, 2024 10:50am ET $61.37 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Dec 10, 2024 9:40am ET $62.07 0 $0.00 $11,110.95 +$125.30
(+1.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Dec 18, 2024 2:50pm ET $60.74 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Dec 18, 2024 3:25pm ET $59.06 0 $0.00 $10,805.19 $-305.76
(-2.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
13 🟢 BUY Dec 27, 2024 10:00am ET $59.07 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Dec 30, 2024 9:30am ET $57.62 0 $0.00 $10,541.29 $-263.90
(-2.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
14 🟢 BUY Dec 30, 2024 9:35am ET $57.64 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Dec 31, 2024 9:35am ET $57.29 0 $0.00 $10,477.59 $-63.70
(-0.6%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
15 🟢 BUY Jan 7, 2025 10:30am ET $59.54 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 8, 2025 9:50am ET $58.33 0 $0.00 $10,265.84 $-211.75
(-2.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
16 🟢 BUY Jan 10, 2025 9:30am ET $57.50 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2025 9:30am ET $56.09 0 $0.00 $10,014.86 $-250.98
(-2.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
17 🟢 BUY Jan 13, 2025 9:35am ET $55.63 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2025 10:00am ET $56.25 0 $0.00 $10,126.46 +$111.60
(+1.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
18 🟢 BUY Jan 27, 2025 9:30am ET $60.13 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 27, 2025 9:45am ET $61.21 0 $0.00 $10,307.90 +$181.44
(+1.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
19 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2025 9:30am ET $60.67 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2025 10:25am ET $61.59 0 $0.00 $10,463.38 +$155.48
(+1.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
20 🟢 BUY Feb 20, 2025 9:35am ET $64.55 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 20, 2025 9:50am ET $63.22 0 $0.00 $10,247.24 $-216.14
(-2.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
21 🟢 BUY Feb 24, 2025 9:55am ET $58.70 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 24, 2025 11:40am ET $59.30 0 $0.00 $10,351.64 +$104.40
(+1.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
22 🟢 BUY Feb 25, 2025 9:30am ET $58.05 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 25, 2025 9:50am ET $56.75 0 $0.00 $10,120.24 $-231.40
(-2.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
23 🟢 BUY Feb 28, 2025 9:30am ET $53.26 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 28, 2025 9:35am ET $54.11 0 $0.00 $10,281.74 +$161.50
(+1.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
24 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2025 3:20pm ET $52.95 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Mar 4, 2025 9:30am ET $51.52 0 $0.00 $10,004.32 $-277.42
(-2.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
25 🟢 BUY Mar 4, 2025 9:35am ET $51.76 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Mar 4, 2025 10:05am ET $50.68 0 $0.00 $9,796.59 $-207.73
(-2.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
26 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2025 9:30am ET $53.03 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Mar 6, 2025 10:00am ET $53.64 0 $0.00 $9,908.83 +$112.24
(+1.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
27 🟢 BUY Mar 7, 2025 11:20am ET $50.65 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Mar 7, 2025 12:50pm ET $51.37 0 $0.00 $10,049.62 +$140.79
(+1.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
28 🟢 BUY Mar 13, 2025 9:50am ET $48.13 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Mar 13, 2025 1:15pm ET $47.09 0 $0.00 $9,832.88 $-216.74
(-2.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
29 🟢 BUY Mar 18, 2025 9:30am ET $48.71 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Mar 19, 2025 9:30am ET $48.82 0 $0.00 $9,854.99 +$22.11
(+0.2%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
30 🟢 BUY Mar 26, 2025 10:20am ET $52.32 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2025 9:30am ET $51.23 0 $0.00 $9,650.07 $-204.92
(-2.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
31 🟢 BUY Mar 28, 2025 10:05am ET $49.53 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Mar 28, 2025 1:50pm ET $48.52 0 $0.00 $9,454.13 $-195.94
(-2.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
32 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2025 9:30am ET $46.08 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2025 10:00am ET $46.73 0 $0.00 $9,587.18 +$133.05
(+1.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
33 🟢 BUY Apr 3, 2025 9:30am ET $46.32 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Apr 3, 2025 10:20am ET $45.37 0 $0.00 $9,390.43 $-196.75
(-2.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
34 🟢 BUY Apr 4, 2025 9:30am ET $43.09 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Apr 4, 2025 9:40am ET $42.16 0 $0.00 $9,187.53 $-202.90
(-2.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
35 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2025 9:30am ET $39.68 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2025 9:40am ET $38.86 0 $0.00 $8,998.11 $-189.42
(-2.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
36 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2025 9:30am ET $45.47 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2025 9:55am ET $44.45 0 $0.00 $8,797.17 $-200.94
(-2.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
37 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2025 11:45am ET $45.62 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2025 2:30pm ET $46.08 0 $0.00 $8,886.45 +$89.28
(+1.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
38 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2025 11:25am ET $50.18 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2025 2:50pm ET $50.74 0 $0.00 $8,984.69 +$98.24
(+1.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
39 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2025 9:30am ET $49.81 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2025 11:55am ET $50.31 0 $0.00 $9,075.59 +$90.90
(+1.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
40 🟢 BUY May 5, 2025 9:35am ET $50.83 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL May 6, 2025 9:30am ET $49.23 0 $0.00 $8,789.90 $-285.69
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
41 🟢 BUY May 6, 2025 9:35am ET $49.45 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL May 7, 2025 9:35am ET $49.05 0 $0.00 $8,719.10 $-70.80
(-0.8%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
42 🟢 BUY May 19, 2025 9:30am ET $56.79 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL May 19, 2025 1:00pm ET $57.40 0 $0.00 $8,812.43 +$93.33
(+1.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
43 🟢 BUY May 21, 2025 1:25pm ET $55.90 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL May 21, 2025 1:35pm ET $56.51 0 $0.00 $8,907.89 +$95.46
(+1.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
44 🟢 BUY May 23, 2025 9:35am ET $55.60 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL May 23, 2025 1:25pm ET $56.22 0 $0.00 $9,006.29 +$98.40
(+1.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
45 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2025 3:15pm ET $55.83 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2025 3:35pm ET $56.54 0 $0.00 $9,120.60 +$114.31
(+1.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
46 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2025 12:20pm ET $67.73 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jun 23, 2025 1:25pm ET $68.61 0 $0.00 $9,239.66 +$119.06
(+1.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
47 🟢 BUY Jul 22, 2025 9:50am ET $74.67 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jul 22, 2025 10:05am ET $75.75 0 $0.00 $9,372.50 +$132.84
(+1.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
48 🟢 BUY Aug 1, 2025 9:30am ET $71.79 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Aug 4, 2025 9:30am ET $71.78 0 $0.00 $9,371.20 $-1.30
(-0.0%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
49 🟢 BUY Aug 19, 2025 9:45am ET $75.37 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Aug 19, 2025 10:00am ET $76.14 0 $0.00 $9,466.93 +$95.73
(+1.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
50 🟢 BUY Aug 20, 2025 9:45am ET $72.24 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Aug 20, 2025 12:15pm ET $73.03 0 $0.00 $9,570.42 +$103.49
(+1.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
51 🟢 BUY Sep 25, 2025 9:30am ET $80.97 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Sep 25, 2025 10:10am ET $81.84 0 $0.00 $9,672.96 +$102.54
(+1.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
52 🟢 BUY Oct 10, 2025 11:00am ET $89.22 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Oct 10, 2025 11:30am ET $86.94 0 $0.00 $9,426.75 $-246.21
(-2.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
53 🟢 BUY Oct 14, 2025 9:30am ET $84.83 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Oct 14, 2025 10:10am ET $85.96 0 $0.00 $9,552.18 +$125.43
(+1.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
54 🟢 BUY Oct 22, 2025 10:25am ET $85.67 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Oct 22, 2025 1:35pm ET $83.93 0 $0.00 $9,359.04 $-193.14
(-2.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
55 🟢 BUY Nov 4, 2025 9:30am ET $84.66 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Nov 4, 2025 9:40am ET $85.74 0 $0.00 $9,477.84 +$118.80
(+1.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
56 🟢 BUY Nov 6, 2025 9:55am ET $83.16 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Nov 6, 2025 11:20am ET $81.37 0 $0.00 $9,275.06 $-202.78
(-2.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
57 🟢 BUY Nov 7, 2025 9:30am ET $78.84 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Nov 7, 2025 2:20pm ET $79.65 0 $0.00 $9,369.83 +$94.77
(+1.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
58 🟢 BUY Nov 13, 2025 9:35am ET $79.53 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Nov 13, 2025 11:35am ET $77.88 0 $0.00 $9,176.19 $-193.64
(-2.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
59 🟢 BUY Nov 14, 2025 9:30am ET $74.83 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Nov 14, 2025 9:35am ET $75.61 0 $0.00 $9,271.35 +$95.16
(+1.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
60 🟢 BUY Nov 20, 2025 11:35am ET $74.49 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Nov 20, 2025 12:15pm ET $72.72 0 $0.00 $9,051.87 $-219.48
(-2.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
61 🟢 BUY Dec 1, 2025 9:30am ET $77.78 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Dec 2, 2025 9:30am ET $78.48 0 $0.00 $9,133.65 +$81.78
(+0.9%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
62 🟢 BUY Dec 11, 2025 9:50am ET $81.18 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Dec 11, 2025 10:15am ET $82.10 0 $0.00 $9,236.13 +$102.48
(+1.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
63 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET $79.66 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 10:40am ET $80.51 0 $0.00 $9,334.46 +$98.33
(+1.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
64 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 9:55am ET $70.77 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 12:25pm ET $69.11 0 $0.00 $9,117.00 $-217.46
(-2.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
65 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 9:55am ET $68.42 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 10:10am ET $66.91 0 $0.00 $8,916.17 $-200.83
(-2.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
66 🟢 BUY Feb 11, 2026 10:05am ET $70.26 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 12, 2026 10:05am ET $69.67 0 $0.00 $8,841.83 $-74.34
(-0.8%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
67 🟢 BUY Feb 12, 2026 11:25am ET $67.66 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 12, 2026 1:40pm ET $68.34 0 $0.00 $8,930.23 +$88.40
(+1.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
68 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 9:30am ET $72.06 123 $8,863.38
🔴 SELL Mar 16, 2026 10:30am ET $71.96 123 $8,851.08 $8,917.93 $-12.30
(-0.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
69 🟢 BUY Mar 17, 2026 11:40am ET $72.47 123 $8,913.81
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 3:10pm ET $67.39 123 $8,289.58 $8,293.70 $-624.23
(-7.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
9.1d held
70 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 1:15pm ET $63.67 130 $8,277.75
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 12:45pm ET $66.89 130 $8,695.70 $8,711.65 +$417.95
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.5h held
71 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 2:05pm ET $68.67 126 $8,651.79
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $72.92 126 $9,188.07 $9,247.93 +$536.28
(+6.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
6.8d held
72 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 9:35am ET $69.38 133 $9,227.54
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET $73.53 133 $9,779.49 $9,799.88 +$551.95
(+6.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
5d held
73 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 12:45pm ET $76.45 128 $9,785.60
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 10:50am ET $80.46 128 $10,298.24 $10,312.52 +$512.64
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
74 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 10:55am ET $78.12 132 $10,311.84
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 10:55am ET $75.13 132 $9,917.16 $9,917.84 $-394.68
(-3.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,917.84
Net Profit/Loss: $-82.16
Total Return: -0.82%
Back to Reversion