BIIB Reversion's Analysis
2024-01-02 00:00:00+00 to 2026-05-05 19:55:00+00 • 43 trades executed
+19.88%
2 Years Return
$11,921.17
Current Value
68%
Win Rate
$9,943.85
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
62.5 neutral
20d Trend
-0.6%
5d Trend
+4.3%
EMA20 Dist
+4.6%
ATR%
2.6%
Range Pos
93%
Bounce Ratio
2.4×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026
37
Lifetime
Confidence: 85%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
12.1/35
Total Return
10.8/25
Win Rate
10.3/15
Profit Factor
3.7/15
Consistency
6.5/10
Raw Quality
43.4/100
× Confidence 0.85
= 37.0
30-Day Momentum
3
-1.3%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
4
Trades
0.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 5.2
Conf: 0.66×
Declining (-34 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (85%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
41,702
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
509 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)
Market Closed (21 days)
2024-05-27 — Memorial Day, 2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary
Starting Capital
$9,943.85
Current Value
$11,921.17
Total P&L
$1,977.32
Max Drawdown
-5.6%
Sharpe Ratio
0.22
Trade Statistics
Total Trades
40
Winners / Losers
27 /
13
Best Trade
+5.46%
Worst Trade
-7.40%
Avg Trade Return
+0.49%
Avg Hold Time
1.5d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$161,298.76
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,977.32
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,977.32
Gross Return
+19.88%
Net Return (after fees)
+19.88%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 BIIB Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 509 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Complete Trade History
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Reversion had $9,943.85 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | May 16, 2024 9:45am ET | $229.61 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 17, 2024 9:45am ET | $228.23 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,884.72 |
$-59.13 (-0.6%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | May 23, 2024 9:35am ET | $217.76 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 23, 2024 10:35am ET | $220.08 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,989.12 |
+$104.40 (+1.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | May 29, 2024 10:15am ET | $211.19 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 29, 2024 12:25pm ET | $213.40 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,092.99 |
+$103.87 (+1.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 6, 2024 9:40am ET | $230.42 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 6, 2024 9:50am ET | $233.50 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,225.25 |
+$132.26 (+1.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 26, 2024 9:30am ET | $215.50 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 26, 2024 2:20pm ET | $211.00 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,013.75 |
$-211.50 (-2.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 1, 2024 9:55am ET | $207.95 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 1, 2024 3:55pm ET | $210.57 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,139.51 |
+$125.76 (+1.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 5, 2024 9:35am ET | $200.30 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 6, 2024 9:35am ET | $199.95 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,122.01 |
$-17.50 (-0.2%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 5, 2024 9:35am ET | $200.24 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 5, 2024 1:35pm ET | $202.34 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,227.01 |
+$105.00 (+1.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 13, 2024 9:35am ET | $193.55 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 13, 2024 11:35am ET | $195.52 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,329.45 |
+$102.44 (+1.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 31, 2024 9:30am ET | $177.69 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 31, 2024 3:55pm ET | $173.96 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,113.11 |
$-216.34 (-2.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 13, 2024 10:00am ET | $150.98 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 13, 2024 11:00am ET | $152.62 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,221.35 |
+$108.24 (+1.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 8, 2025 9:35am ET | $150.10 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 8, 2025 10:20am ET | $151.73 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,332.19 |
+$110.84 (+1.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 12, 2025 9:30am ET | $130.28 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 12, 2025 9:40am ET | $132.21 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,484.46 |
+$152.27 (+1.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 14, 2025 10:35am ET | $136.16 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 14, 2025 11:20am ET | $137.83 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,613.44 |
+$128.98 (+1.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 11, 2025 9:30am ET | $149.01 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 11, 2025 9:55am ET | $145.52 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,365.74 |
$-247.70 (-2.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 31, 2025 9:30am ET | $136.19 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2025 9:30am ET | $135.86 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,341.04 |
$-24.70 (-0.2%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 4, 2025 9:30am ET | $128.46 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 4, 2025 11:30am ET | $125.44 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,099.44 |
$-241.60 (-2.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2025 9:30am ET | $119.69 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2025 10:10am ET | $121.50 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,251.48 |
+$152.04 (+1.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2025 3:35pm ET | $113.47 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 9, 2025 9:30am ET | $110.92 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,022.20 |
$-229.28 (-2.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2025 9:35am ET | $111.67 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 9, 2025 12:25pm ET | $112.97 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,137.90 |
+$115.70 (+1.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 1, 2025 1:00pm ET | $130.02 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 2, 2025 9:30am ET | $131.42 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,246.09 |
+$108.19 (+1.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 8, 2025 9:40am ET | $137.91 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 8, 2025 11:00am ET | $139.64 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,374.11 |
+$128.02 (+1.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 15, 2025 10:05am ET | $141.90 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 15, 2025 2:25pm ET | $143.32 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,477.95 |
+$103.84 (+1.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 6, 2025 10:20am ET | $154.28 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 7, 2025 10:20am ET | $153.56 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,429.51 |
$-48.44 (-0.5%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 30, 2025 9:30am ET | $142.91 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 30, 2025 9:35am ET | $144.57 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,549.03 |
+$119.52 (+1.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 3, 2025 10:25am ET | $150.19 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 3, 2025 11:35am ET | $151.70 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,654.86 |
+$105.83 (+1.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 17, 2025 9:45am ET | $164.12 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 17, 2025 9:50am ET | $166.12 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,782.86 |
+$128.00 (+1.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 10, 2025 9:30am ET | $172.72 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 10, 2025 11:00am ET | $174.50 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,893.22 |
+$110.36 (+1.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 16, 2025 9:35am ET | $170.17 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 16, 2025 3:15pm ET | $171.97 | 0 | $0.00 | $11,008.29 |
+$115.07 (+1.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 5, 2026 10:45am ET | $172.26 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 5, 2026 12:20pm ET | $174.08 | 0 | $0.00 | $11,122.95 |
+$114.66 (+1.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $172.66 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 14, 2026 9:45am ET | $167.17 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,771.27 |
$-351.68 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $160.94 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 20, 2026 9:40am ET | $162.96 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,904.26 |
+$132.99 (+1.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $193.08 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 9:35am ET | $196.09 | 0 | $0.00 | $11,072.82 |
+$168.56 (+1.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 6, 2026 9:35am ET | $182.60 | 60 | $10,956.01 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 11, 2026 10:40am ET | $192.15 | 60 | $11,528.70 | $11,645.51 |
+$572.69 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5d held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 12, 2026 3:00pm ET | $185.87 | 62 | $11,523.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $183.48 | 62 | $11,375.76 | $11,497.33 |
$-148.18 (-1.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
10.8d held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 9:35am ET | $182.70 | 62 | $11,327.41 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 26, 2026 2:45pm ET | $192.02 | 62 | $11,905.24 | $12,075.16 |
+$577.83 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.2d held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 27, 2026 3:20pm ET | $183.82 | 65 | $11,948.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 1:35pm ET | $170.21 | 65 | $11,063.65 | $11,190.51 |
$-884.65 (-7.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
9.9d held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2026 10:40am ET | $176.62 | 63 | $11,126.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $180.28 | 63 | $11,357.64 | $11,421.40 |
+$230.89 (+2.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
11d held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $182.36 | 62 | $11,306.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 22, 2026 10:20am ET | $192.32 | 62 | $11,923.53 | $12,038.61 |
+$617.21 (+5.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 23, 2026 11:30am ET | $188.07 | 64 | $12,036.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $186.24 | 64 | $11,919.04 | $11,921.17 |
$-117.44 (-1.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
10.9d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$11,921.17
Net Profit/Loss:
+$1,921.17
Total Return:
+19.21%