CRM Reversion's Analysis
2024-01-02 00:00:00+00 to 2026-05-06 14:00:00+00 • 53 trades executed
-28.68%
2 Years Return
$7,159.26
Current Value
47%
Win Rate
$10,038.49
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
18.8 oversold
20d Trend
-22.1%
5d Trend
-11.2%
EMA20 Dist
-13.2%
ATR%
4.2%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
2/8
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026
7
Lifetime
Confidence: 85%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
3.4/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.8/10
Raw Quality
8.2/100
× Confidence 0.85
= 6.9
30-Day Momentum
3
-8.9%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
4
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 5.2
Conf: 0.66×
Cooling (-3 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (85%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
55,379
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
535 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)
Market Closed (21 days)
2024-05-27 — Memorial Day, 2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary
Starting Capital
$10,038.49
Current Value
$7,159.26
Total P&L
$-2,879.23
Max Drawdown
-15.2%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.28
Trade Statistics
Total Trades
47
Winners / Losers
22 /
25
Best Trade
+5.30%
Worst Trade
-7.66%
Avg Trade Return
-0.69%
Avg Hold Time
1.3d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$93,867.07
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-2,879.23
Net P&L (after fees)
$-2,879.23
Gross Return
-28.68%
Net Return (after fees)
-28.68%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 CRM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 535 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Complete Trade History
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Reversion had $10,038.49 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | May 24, 2024 9:30am ET | $271.23 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 24, 2024 11:00am ET | $274.29 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,151.53 |
+$113.04 (+1.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | May 30, 2024 9:30am ET | $223.42 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 30, 2024 9:50am ET | $218.65 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,937.11 |
$-214.42 (-2.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 2, 2024 9:30am ET | $242.90 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 2, 2024 9:35am ET | $245.56 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,043.31 |
+$106.20 (+1.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 5, 2024 9:30am ET | $233.88 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 5, 2024 9:35am ET | $237.21 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,183.15 |
+$139.84 (+1.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 14, 2024 10:00am ET | $331.67 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 15, 2024 10:00am ET | $325.73 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,004.95 |
$-178.20 (-1.8%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 27, 2024 9:30am ET | $334.64 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 29, 2024 9:30am ET | $330.81 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,893.74 |
$-111.21 (-1.1%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 18, 2024 3:35pm ET | $338.16 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 19, 2024 9:30am ET | $342.20 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,011.05 |
+$117.31 (+1.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 10, 2025 9:35am ET | $318.70 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 13, 2025 9:35am ET | $315.72 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,918.51 |
$-92.54 (-0.9%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 29, 2025 9:30am ET | $354.37 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 30, 2025 9:30am ET | $344.90 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,662.82 |
$-255.69 (-2.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 30, 2025 9:35am ET | $344.78 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 31, 2025 9:35am ET | $345.86 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,693.06 |
+$30.24 (+0.3%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2025 9:45am ET | $332.69 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2025 10:25am ET | $337.17 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,822.84 |
+$129.78 (+1.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2025 9:30am ET | $334.28 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 7, 2025 9:30am ET | $333.02 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,786.30 |
$-36.54 (-0.4%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 27, 2025 9:30am ET | $298.86 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 27, 2025 11:10am ET | $302.71 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,909.34 |
+$123.04 (+1.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 10, 2025 9:30am ET | $274.32 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 10, 2025 9:45am ET | $277.15 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,011.22 |
+$101.88 (+1.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 13, 2025 9:35am ET | $277.96 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 13, 2025 11:30am ET | $271.97 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,795.76 |
$-215.46 (-2.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 31, 2025 9:30am ET | $262.00 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 31, 2025 11:35am ET | $265.58 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,928.04 |
+$132.28 (+1.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 3, 2025 9:30am ET | $261.89 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 3, 2025 10:20am ET | $256.48 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,727.87 |
$-200.17 (-2.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 4, 2025 9:30am ET | $247.43 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 4, 2025 10:25am ET | $242.29 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,527.41 |
$-200.46 (-2.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2025 9:30am ET | $236.04 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2025 9:55am ET | $239.29 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,657.41 |
+$130.00 (+1.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2025 9:35am ET | $258.07 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 10, 2025 12:00pm ET | $252.00 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,432.82 |
$-224.59 (-2.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 21, 2025 9:30am ET | $241.93 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2025 10:05am ET | $237.00 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,245.67 |
$-187.15 (-2.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | May 23, 2025 3:15pm ET | $272.59 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 27, 2025 10:30am ET | $275.94 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,356.22 |
+$110.55 (+1.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | May 29, 2025 9:30am ET | $260.46 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 29, 2025 1:35pm ET | $263.08 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,447.92 |
+$91.70 (+1.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 1, 2025 9:30am ET | $254.24 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 4, 2025 9:30am ET | $251.13 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,332.85 |
$-115.07 (-1.2%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 12, 2025 9:50am ET | $227.60 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 12, 2025 10:10am ET | $230.10 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,435.56 |
+$102.71 (+1.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 21, 2025 9:40am ET | $241.00 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 21, 2025 10:15am ET | $243.74 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,542.23 |
+$106.67 (+1.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 4, 2025 9:30am ET | $236.49 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 4, 2025 10:20am ET | $239.67 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,669.63 |
+$127.40 (+1.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 30, 2025 10:30am ET | $237.35 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 1, 2025 9:30am ET | $240.22 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,784.23 |
+$114.60 (+1.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 14, 2025 9:35am ET | $242.70 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 14, 2025 11:45am ET | $245.18 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,883.51 |
+$99.28 (+1.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 15, 2025 9:30am ET | $237.68 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 15, 2025 9:45am ET | $240.29 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,990.32 |
+$106.81 (+1.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 29, 2025 9:30am ET | $250.12 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 29, 2025 12:20pm ET | $252.69 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,090.55 |
+$100.23 (+1.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 6, 2025 9:30am ET | $246.23 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 6, 2025 10:00am ET | $240.28 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,852.75 |
$-237.80 (-2.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 15, 2025 10:00am ET | $255.15 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 16, 2025 10:00am ET | $253.85 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,803.35 |
$-49.40 (-0.5%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 2, 2026 9:40am ET | $258.95 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 2, 2026 10:35am ET | $253.35 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,596.33 |
$-207.02 (-2.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 13, 2026 10:05am ET | $252.82 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 13, 2026 11:15am ET | $247.61 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,403.41 |
$-192.92 (-2.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 16, 2026 9:35am ET | $228.25 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 20, 2026 9:35am ET | $226.87 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,347.03 |
$-56.38 (-0.6%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $215.08 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 29, 2026 9:40am ET | $210.40 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,145.79 |
$-201.24 (-2.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $203.56 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 10:20am ET | $198.53 | 0 | $0.00 | $8,924.47 |
$-221.32 (-2.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 4, 2026 9:35am ET | $190.40 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2026 10:05am ET | $193.41 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,063.16 |
+$138.69 (+1.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 9:55am ET | $194.03 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 1:05pm ET | $189.92 | 0 | $0.00 | $8,873.94 |
$-189.22 (-2.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 11, 2026 9:35am ET | $188.97 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 11, 2026 10:05am ET | $184.47 | 0 | $0.00 | $8,667.02 |
$-206.92 (-2.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 6, 2026 9:40am ET | $200.07 | 43 | $8,603.01 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 16, 2026 10:40am ET | $196.08 | 43 | $8,431.61 | $8,495.62 |
$-171.40 (-2.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 17, 2026 1:50pm ET | $195.73 | 43 | $8,416.39 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2026 11:15am ET | $180.98 | 43 | $7,781.93 | $7,861.16 |
$-634.46 (-7.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
7.9d held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 26, 2026 11:55am ET | $184.91 | 42 | $7,766.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $187.54 | 42 | $7,876.68 | $7,971.62 |
+$110.46 (+1.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
10.9d held |
|
| 45 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $184.76 | 43 | $7,944.89 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 9, 2026 9:35am ET | $170.78 | 43 | $7,343.54 | $7,370.26 |
$-601.36 (-7.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 46 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 9:35am ET | $167.74 | 43 | $7,212.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 14, 2026 9:40am ET | $176.63 | 43 | $7,595.09 | $7,752.53 |
+$382.27 (+5.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4d held |
|
| 47 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 21, 2026 1:05pm ET | $188.88 | 41 | $7,744.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 9:45am ET | $174.41 | 41 | $7,150.81 | $7,159.26 |
$-593.27 (-7.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$7,159.26
Net Profit/Loss:
$-2,840.74
Total Return:
-28.41%