Compendium › Reversion › CVX
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
CVX
Alpaca Tradeable

Reversion's Analysis

2024-01-02 00:00:00+00 to 2026-05-06 14:55:00+00 • 20 trades executed

-9.83%
2 Years Return
$9,135.65
Current Value
44%
Win Rate
$10,131.67
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 10:59:01

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
71.5 overbought
20d Trend
+9.1%
5d Trend
+1.1%
EMA20 Dist
+4.3%
ATR%
2.0%
Range Pos
90%
Bounce Ratio
3.3×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

6
Lifetime
Confidence: 73%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
3.8/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.0/10
Raw Quality 8.8/100
× Confidence 0.73 = 6.4

30-Day Momentum

0
-11.2%
30d Return
0%
Win Rate
3
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 0.0 Conf: 0.61×
Cooling (-6 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (73%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
54,230
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
530 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-05-27 — Memorial Day, 2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$10,131.67
Current Value
$9,135.65
Total P&L
$-996.02
Max Drawdown
-9.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.18

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
18
Winners / Losers
8 / 10
Best Trade
+5.54%
Worst Trade
-7.14%
Avg Trade Return
-0.53%
Avg Hold Time
2.4d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$95,969.93
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-996.02
Net P&L (after fees)
$-996.02
Gross Return
-9.83%
Net Return (after fees)
-9.83%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 CVX Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 530 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Reversion had $10,131.67 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 1, 2024 9:45am ET $156.84 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 1, 2024 1:05pm ET $153.69 0 $0.00 $9,930.07 $-201.60
(-2.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 2, 2024 9:30am ET $148.72 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 2, 2024 9:45am ET $150.31 0 $0.00 $10,035.01 +$104.94
(+1.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2024 9:30am ET $143.87 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 5, 2024 12:10pm ET $145.39 0 $0.00 $10,140.23 +$105.22
(+1.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 31, 2025 9:30am ET $151.65 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2025 9:30am ET $148.15 0 $0.00 $9,909.56 $-230.67
(-2.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2025 1:25pm ET $153.80 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 4, 2025 9:55am ET $150.54 0 $0.00 $9,700.60 $-208.96
(-2.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 3, 2025 9:30am ET $160.18 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 3, 2025 2:05pm ET $156.97 0 $0.00 $9,508.00 $-192.60
(-2.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 4, 2025 9:30am ET $150.53 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 4, 2025 10:10am ET $147.46 0 $0.00 $9,314.59 $-193.41
(-2.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2025 9:30am ET $139.35 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2025 9:55am ET $140.89 0 $0.00 $9,416.23 +$101.64
(+1.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2025 9:30am ET $141.84 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2025 10:55am ET $138.94 0 $0.00 $9,224.83 $-191.40
(-2.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2025 9:30am ET $134.56 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2025 9:30am ET $135.89 0 $0.00 $9,314.94 +$90.11
(+1.0%) 		END_OF_DAY
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2025 9:40am ET $135.81 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL May 1, 2025 9:40am ET $137.48 0 $0.00 $9,428.50 +$113.56
(+1.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
12 🟢 BUY May 19, 2025 9:30am ET $137.98 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL May 20, 2025 9:30am ET $138.12 0 $0.00 $9,438.02 +$9.52
(+0.1%) 		END_OF_DAY
0m held
13 🟢 BUY Nov 3, 2025 9:35am ET $155.15 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 4, 2025 9:35am ET $152.64 0 $0.00 $9,287.72 $-150.30
(-1.6%) 		END_OF_DAY
0m held
14 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2026 9:35am ET $186.87 49 $9,156.63 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2026 11:20am ET $196.45 49 $9,626.06 $9,757.15 +$469.43
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
2.1d held
15 🟢 BUY Mar 16, 2026 9:35am ET $196.05 49 $9,606.69 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET $206.91 49 $10,138.59 $10,289.05 +$531.90
(+5.5%) 		🎯 +5% Target
8d held
16 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 3:35pm ET $205.12 50 $10,256.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 9:30am ET $198.69 50 $9,934.50 $9,967.55 $-321.50
(-3.1%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
11.7d held
17 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 11:50am ET $202.16 49 $9,905.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 10:20am ET $187.73 49 $9,198.77 $9,260.48 $-707.07
(-7.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held
18 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 3:15pm ET $190.33 48 $9,135.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 3:15pm ET $187.73 48 $9,011.01 $9,135.65 $-124.83
(-1.4%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,135.65
Net Profit/Loss: $-864.35
Total Return: -8.64%
Back to Reversion