GOOGL Reversion's Analysis
2024-01-02 00:00:00+00 to 2026-05-06 13:40:00+00 • 51 trades executed
+65.47%
2 Years Return
$16,334.10
Current Value
81%
Win Rate
$9,871.37
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
43.2 neutral
20d Trend
-4.5%
5d Trend
-4.7%
EMA20 Dist
-2.7%
ATR%
3.8%
Range Pos
74%
Bounce Ratio
0.9×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score PRO Scored May 6, 2026
76
Lifetime
Confidence: 86%
Score ≥ 70 + Momentum ≥ 40
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
15.0/25
Win Rate
14.4/15
Profit Factor
14.6/15
Consistency
8.6/10
Raw Quality
87.6/100
× Confidence 0.86
= 75.6
30-Day Momentum
54
+24.2%
30d Return
100%
Win Rate
3
Trades
10.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 88.3
Conf: 0.61×
Declining (-21 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (86%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
82,985
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
536 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)
Market Closed (21 days)
2024-05-27 — Memorial Day, 2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary
Starting Capital
$9,871.37
Current Value
$16,334.10
Total P&L
$6,462.73
Max Drawdown
-3.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.47
Trade Statistics
Total Trades
43
Winners / Losers
35 /
8
Best Trade
+10.08%
Worst Trade
-7.12%
Avg Trade Return
+1.23%
Avg Hold Time
1.3d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$190,372.04
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$6,462.73
Net P&L (after fees)
$6,462.73
Gross Return
+65.47%
Net Return (after fees)
+65.47%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 GOOGL Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 536 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Complete Trade History
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Reversion had $9,871.37 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | May 13, 2024 9:30am ET | $164.88 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 13, 2024 1:10pm ET | $167.16 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,006.00 |
+$134.63 (+1.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 24, 2024 9:30am ET | $172.10 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 24, 2024 9:40am ET | $174.39 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,139.11 |
+$133.11 (+1.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 25, 2024 10:05am ET | $168.07 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 25, 2024 10:30am ET | $170.28 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,271.40 |
+$132.29 (+1.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 26, 2024 9:30am ET | $164.75 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 26, 2024 10:55am ET | $166.49 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,379.28 |
+$107.88 (+1.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 2, 2024 10:10am ET | $164.82 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 2, 2024 11:35am ET | $166.56 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,487.41 |
+$108.13 (+1.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 5, 2024 9:30am ET | $158.92 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 5, 2024 9:40am ET | $160.70 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,603.10 |
+$115.69 (+1.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 14, 2024 9:45am ET | $160.21 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 15, 2024 9:45am ET | $159.75 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,572.74 |
$-30.36 (-0.3%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 21, 2024 9:30am ET | $170.32 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 21, 2024 10:00am ET | $166.62 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,343.25 |
$-229.49 (-2.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 18, 2024 3:40pm ET | $188.01 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 19, 2024 9:30am ET | $192.55 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,592.68 |
+$249.43 (+2.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
0m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 20, 2024 9:30am ET | $185.66 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 20, 2024 10:10am ET | $187.53 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,699.26 |
+$106.58 (+1.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 13, 2025 9:35am ET | $187.96 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 13, 2025 10:35am ET | $190.12 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,820.22 |
+$120.96 (+1.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 27, 2025 9:30am ET | $193.54 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 27, 2025 10:25am ET | $195.50 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,928.02 |
+$107.80 (+1.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2025 9:30am ET | $189.67 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2025 9:35am ET | $192.37 | 0 | $0.00 | $11,081.53 |
+$153.51 (+1.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 7, 2025 10:00am ET | $186.31 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2025 10:00am ET | $187.32 | 0 | $0.00 | $11,141.24 |
+$59.71 (+0.5%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 10, 2025 9:30am ET | $166.20 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 10, 2025 9:40am ET | $168.10 | 0 | $0.00 | $11,268.54 |
+$127.30 (+1.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 18, 2025 9:40am ET | $161.33 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 18, 2025 10:10am ET | $157.91 | 0 | $0.00 | $11,032.56 |
$-235.98 (-2.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 31, 2025 9:40am ET | $150.88 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 31, 2025 11:20am ET | $152.62 | 0 | $0.00 | $11,159.89 |
+$127.33 (+1.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 3, 2025 9:30am ET | $152.23 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 4, 2025 9:30am ET | $149.11 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,932.13 |
$-227.76 (-2.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2025 9:30am ET | $141.85 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2025 9:50am ET | $143.40 | 0 | $0.00 | $11,051.53 |
+$119.40 (+1.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 17, 2025 10:35am ET | $148.90 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2025 10:45am ET | $150.47 | 0 | $0.00 | $11,167.71 |
+$116.18 (+1.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 21, 2025 9:55am ET | $147.11 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 22, 2025 9:30am ET | $148.93 | 0 | $0.00 | $11,304.21 |
+$136.50 (+1.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 30, 2025 9:35am ET | $156.72 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 30, 2025 3:50pm ET | $158.76 | 0 | $0.00 | $11,451.09 |
+$146.88 (+1.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | May 7, 2025 10:50am ET | $157.82 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 7, 2025 11:10am ET | $154.62 | 0 | $0.00 | $11,221.05 |
$-230.04 (-2.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | May 20, 2025 1:30pm ET | $163.86 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 21, 2025 9:35am ET | $165.61 | 0 | $0.00 | $11,340.05 |
+$119.00 (+1.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | May 23, 2025 9:45am ET | $168.10 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 23, 2025 1:15pm ET | $169.79 | 0 | $0.00 | $11,453.28 |
+$113.23 (+1.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 2, 2025 9:30am ET | $208.73 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 2, 2025 3:35pm ET | $210.82 | 0 | $0.00 | $11,566.06 |
+$112.78 (+1.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 25, 2025 9:30am ET | $242.08 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 25, 2025 10:15am ET | $245.16 | 0 | $0.00 | $11,710.82 |
+$144.76 (+1.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 21, 2025 11:10am ET | $246.16 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 21, 2025 12:10pm ET | $249.33 | 0 | $0.00 | $11,860.00 |
+$149.18 (+1.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 7, 2025 9:45am ET | $278.34 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 10, 2025 9:30am ET | $284.02 | 0 | $0.00 | $12,098.56 |
+$238.56 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 13, 2025 9:35am ET | $279.00 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 14, 2025 9:30am ET | $273.00 | 0 | $0.00 | $11,840.77 |
$-257.79 (-2.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 20, 2025 11:55am ET | $294.57 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 21, 2025 9:30am ET | $298.33 | 0 | $0.00 | $11,990.97 |
+$150.20 (+1.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 20, 2026 9:35am ET | $321.78 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 20, 2026 10:30am ET | $325.77 | 0 | $0.00 | $12,138.60 |
+$147.63 (+1.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 29, 2026 10:00am ET | $328.64 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 29, 2026 12:10pm ET | $332.85 | 0 | $0.00 | $12,290.16 |
+$151.56 (+1.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $314.86 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 9:35am ET | $322.64 | 0 | $0.00 | $12,593.58 |
+$303.42 (+2.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 10:10am ET | $320.27 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2026 10:30am ET | $323.93 | 0 | $0.00 | $12,736.32 |
+$142.74 (+1.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 10, 2026 9:40am ET | $315.09 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 10:05am ET | $318.94 | 0 | $0.00 | $12,890.44 |
+$154.12 (+1.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $295.99 | 43 | $12,727.57 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 11, 2026 10:30am ET | $311.03 | 43 | $13,374.29 | $13,537.16 |
+$646.72 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5d held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 12, 2026 3:55pm ET | $303.88 | 44 | $13,370.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $302.70 | 44 | $13,319.02 | $13,485.46 |
$-51.70 (-0.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
10.7d held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $298.99 | 45 | $13,454.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $277.69 | 45 | $12,496.16 | $12,526.98 |
$-958.48 (-7.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 2:30pm ET | $273.29 | 45 | $12,298.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 31, 2026 1:15pm ET | $287.08 | 45 | $12,918.60 | $13,147.53 |
+$620.55 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22.8h held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 2:15pm ET | $297.88 | 44 | $13,106.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $320.42 | 44 | $14,098.70 | $14,139.51 |
+$991.98 (+7.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
6.8d held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $315.90 | 44 | $13,899.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 14, 2026 11:45am ET | $332.33 | 44 | $14,622.52 | $14,862.21 |
+$722.70 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5.1d held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 9:35am ET | $339.69 | 43 | $14,606.67 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $373.92 | 43 | $16,078.56 | $16,334.10 |
+$1,471.89 (+10.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
10d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$16,334.10
Net Profit/Loss:
+$6,334.10
Total Return:
+63.34%