Compendium › Reversion › JNJ
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
JNJ
Alpaca Tradeable

Reversion's Analysis

2024-01-02 00:00:00+00 to 2026-06-22 19:55:00+00 • 17 trades executed

+0.26%
2 Years Return
$10,065.16
Current Value
44%
Win Rate
$10,039.06
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 4: RECOVERY
Signals generated 2026-06-22 16:10:24

Bounce in progress. Hold existing positions, let trailing stops manage exits.

Fear & Greed
20
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 1.0
Quiet
RSI(14)
88.4 overbought
20d Trend
+12.6%
5d Trend
+5.8%
EMA20 Dist
+6.5%
ATR%
1.5%
Range Pos
98%
Bounce Ratio
40.5×
Green/Red 10d
8/2

Strategy Score Scored Jun 22, 2026

14
Lifetime
Confidence: 70%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
2.4/35
Total Return
5.4/25
Win Rate
3.8/15
Profit Factor
1.0/15
Consistency
7.8/10
Raw Quality 20.3/100
× Confidence 0.70 = 14.1

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (70%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
46,899
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-06-24 → 2026-06-22
Trading Days
522 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$10,039.06
Current Value
$10,065.16
Total P&L
$26.10
Max Drawdown
-2.2%
Sharpe Ratio
0.02

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
16
Winners / Losers
7 / 9
Best Trade
+5.00%
Worst Trade
-2.73%
Avg Trade Return
+0.03%
Avg Hold Time
5.7d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$177,348.21
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$26.10
Net P&L (after fees)
$26.10
Gross Return
+0.26%
Net Return (after fees)
+0.26%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 JNJ Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 522 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Reversion had $10,039.06 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2025 9:30am ET $142.63 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 10, 2025 9:30am ET $142.03 0 $0.00 $9,996.71 $-42.35
(-0.4%) 		END_OF_DAY
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 22, 2025 9:30am ET $143.71 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 22, 2025 3:55pm ET $145.25 0 $0.00 $10,102.97 +$106.26
(+1.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2025 9:30am ET $159.38 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2025 1:15pm ET $155.86 0 $0.00 $9,880.89 $-222.08
(-2.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2025 9:30am ET $149.08 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2025 10:10am ET $151.37 0 $0.00 $10,031.70 +$150.81
(+1.5%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2025 9:30am ET $145.21 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2025 9:40am ET $146.72 0 $0.00 $10,135.89 +$104.19
(+1.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
6 🟢 BUY May 13, 2025 9:30am ET $150.44 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL May 14, 2025 9:30am ET $148.24 0 $0.00 $9,988.16 $-147.73
(-1.5%) 		END_OF_DAY
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Oct 7, 2025 9:35am ET $183.70 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 7, 2025 9:45am ET $185.87 0 $0.00 $10,105.07 +$116.91
(+1.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 1:50pm ET $241.90 41 $9,917.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 19, 2026 1:50pm ET $238.24 41 $9,767.84 $9,955.22 $-149.85
(-1.5%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
9 🟢 BUY Mar 20, 2026 3:15pm ET $235.01 42 $9,870.42 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 3:15pm ET $242.02 42 $10,165.05 $10,249.85 +$294.63
(+3.0%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 12:25pm ET $244.26 41 $10,014.66 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 9:30am ET $237.98 41 $9,757.18 $9,992.37 $-257.48
(-2.6%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
11.9d held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET $234.67 42 $9,856.14 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 9:30am ET $229.79 42 $9,651.18 $9,787.41 $-204.96
(-2.1%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
12 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET $225.55 43 $9,698.61 — — —
🔴 SELL May 7, 2026 9:30am ET $224.31 43 $9,645.33 $9,734.13 $-53.28
(-0.5%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
13 🟢 BUY May 8, 2026 9:40am ET $221.65 43 $9,531.16 — — —
🔴 SELL May 18, 2026 9:40am ET $226.62 43 $9,744.65 $9,947.61 +$213.48
(+2.2%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
14 🟢 BUY May 19, 2026 11:35am ET $229.25 43 $9,857.75 — — —
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 11:35am ET $227.05 43 $9,763.15 $9,853.01 $-94.60
(-1.0%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
15 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 9:30am ET $222.45 44 $9,787.58 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 11:25am ET $233.57 44 $10,277.08 $10,342.51 +$489.50
(+5.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
3.1d held
16 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 3:45pm ET $236.28 43 $10,160.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 22, 2026 9:30am ET $229.83 43 $9,882.69 $10,065.16 $-277.35
(-2.7%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
12.7d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,065.16
Net Profit/Loss: +$65.16
Total Return: +0.65%
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