Simulated with $10,000 starting capital

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

31
Lifetime
Confidence: 69%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
7.8/35
Total Return
9.0/25
Win Rate
15.0/15
Profit Factor
5.2/15
Consistency
8.6/10
Raw Quality 45.6/100
× Confidence 0.69 = 31.5

30-Day Momentum

28
+5.9%
30d Return
67%
Win Rate
3
Trades
1.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 46.0 Conf: 0.61×
Cooling (-3 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (69%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
60,364
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
517 days
Data Gaps
10 days with gaps

Data Gap Notice

The following dates had fewer candles than expected. This could be due to early market closes, API rate limits during data collection, or low volume periods. Simulation results may be slightly affected.

2025-11-28 (no data), 2025-12-01 (no data), 2025-12-02 (no data), 2025-12-03 (no data), 2025-12-04 (no data) ... and 5 more

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-05-27 — Memorial Day, 2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$10,000.00
Current Value
$11,119.78
Total P&L
$1,119.78
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.46

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
10
Winners / Losers
8 / 2
Best Trade
+6.43%
Worst Trade
-2.65%
Avg Trade Return
+1.10%
Avg Hold Time
4.8d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$106,122.93
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,119.78
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,119.78
Gross Return
+11.20%
Net Return (after fees)
+11.20%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 KO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 517 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Reversion had $10,000.00 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Oct 23, 2024 9:40am ET $67.81 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Oct 23, 2024 1:45pm ET $68.56 0 $0.00 $10,109.52 +$109.52
(+1.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Nov 6, 2024 9:35am ET $63.68 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Nov 6, 2024 9:50am ET $64.38 0 $0.00 $10,220.12 +$110.60
(+1.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2025 9:30am ET $67.75 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2025 10:10am ET $68.54 0 $0.00 $10,339.37 +$119.25
(+1.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
4 🟢 BUY May 12, 2025 9:30am ET $69.03 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL May 13, 2025 9:30am ET $69.44 0 $0.00 $10,400.82 +$61.45
(+0.6%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Dec 12, 2025 9:30am ET $69.44 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Dec 12, 2025 2:05pm ET $70.13 0 $0.00 $10,504.37 +$103.55
(+1.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 9:35am ET $76.42 137 $10,470.16
🔴 SELL Mar 16, 2026 10:35am ET $78.26 137 $10,721.62 $10,755.83 +$251.46
(+2.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
7 🟢 BUY Mar 17, 2026 3:10pm ET $77.66 138 $10,717.08
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 3:10pm ET $75.79 138 $10,458.33 $10,497.08 $-258.75
(-2.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 3:10pm ET $76.43 137 $10,471.59
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 3:10pm ET $78.17 137 $10,709.29 $10,734.78 +$237.70
(+2.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 3:25pm ET $77.55 138 $10,701.90
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 3:25pm ET $75.50 138 $10,418.31 $10,451.19 $-283.59
(-2.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 3:35pm ET $74.77 139 $10,393.03
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET $79.58 139 $11,061.62 $11,119.78 +$668.59
(+6.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
6.7d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,119.78
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,119.78
Total Return: +11.20%
Back to Reversion